Canterbury Title Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, title odds down 0.3 to 7.7%

6 points 2-0 4-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Champion	100.0*	Average seed
AKL vs STH	+1.2+0.8+0.8-0.1-0.1-1.6		+1.2+0.8+0.8-0.1-0.1-1.6		-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
AKL vs STH	+1.2+0.8+0.8-0.1-0.1-1.6		+1.2+0.8+0.8-0.1-0.1-1.6		-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the CBY finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100
If finish:									Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	wins title		Champion		1	2	3	Count

24		6	-	0	0		-	0	Yes		Yes		100			33,833,038
23		5	-	1	0		-	0	99.1	%	99.1	%	99	1		61,336,032
22		4	-	2	0		-	0	94.8		94.8		95	5		133,776,006	*
21		4	-	1	0		-	1	84.2		84.2		84	16		144,916,076
		5	-	0	1		-	0	81.1		81.1		81	19		173,674,267	*
20		4	-	1	1		-	0	59.6		59.6		60	40		300,976,220
		3	-	2	0		-	1	62.6		62.6		63	37		138,759,974
		4	-	0	0		-	2	63.5		63.5		64	36		89,143,470	*
19		4	-	0	1		-	1	32.1		32.1		32	68		300,948,256
		3	-	2	1		-	0	29.5		29.5		30	70		288,201,826
		3	-	1	0		-	2	33.9		33.9		34	66		138,741,603
		2	-	3	0		-	1	30.0		30.0		30	70		69,948,768	*
18		3	-	1	1		-	1	2.5		2.5		3	94	4	576,344,631
		4	-	0	2		-	0	2.6		2.6		3	94	4	312,675,626
		2	-	3	1		-	0	1.0		1.0		1	93	6	138,610,424
		2	-	2	0		-	2	2.6		2.6		3	94	4	162,656,058	*
17		3	-	1	2		-	0	No		No			68	32	598,862,660
		2	-	2	1		-	1	No		No			66	34	415,833,960
		3	-	0	1		-	2	No		No			70	30	288,153,374
		2	-	1	0		-	3	No		No			66	34	133,754,145	*
16		3	-	0	2		-	1	No		No			45	55	598,771,404
		2	-	2	2		-	0	No		No			42	58	432,071,692
		2	-	1	1		-	2	No		No			43	57	415,824,449
		1	-	3	1		-	1	No		No			40	60	189,289,817	*
15		2	-	1	2		-	1	No		No			25	75	864,136,761
		3	-	0	3		-	0	No		No			27	73	414,926,234
		1	-	2	1		-	2	No		No			23	77	200,110,528
		2	-	0	1		-	3	No		No			26	74	138,619,627
		1	-	3	2		-	0	No		No			22	78	175,885,288	*
14		2	-	1	3		-	0	No		No			13	87	598,799,195
		2	-	0	2		-	2	No		No			13	87	432,014,809
		1	-	2	2		-	1	No		No			11	89	415,867,659
		1	-	1	1		-	3	No		No			11	89	189,308,335	*
13		2	-	0	3		-	1	No		No			6	94	598,791,179
		1	-	1	2		-	2	No		No			5	95	415,837,437
		1	-	2	3		-	0	No		No			5	95	288,183,037
		0	-	3	2		-	1	No		No			3	97	66,740,566
		1	-	0	1		-	4	No		No			4	96	67,027,343	*
12		1	-	1	3		-	1	No		No			2	98	576,322,531
		2	-	0	4		-	0	No		No			3	97	312,698,230
		1	-	0	2		-	3	No		No			2	98	138,610,839
		0	-	2	2		-	2	No		No			1	99	162,673,235	*
11		1	-	1	4		-	0	No		No			1	99	300,941,867
		1	-	0	3		-	2	No		No			0	100	288,157,204
		0	-	2	3		-	1	No		No			0	100	138,735,636
		0	-	1	2		-	3	No		No			0	100	69,955,975	*
10		1	-	0	4		-	1	No		No			0	100	300,994,892
		0	-	1	3		-	2	No		No				100	155,440,791	*
		0	-	2	4		-	0	No		No			0	100	72,459,448
6	-9								No		No				100	547,496,780	*

Total:									7.7	%	7.7	%	8	31	61	14,067,839,202

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
AKL vs STH	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
AKL vs STH	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

									100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3

24		6	-	0	0		-	0	100
23		5	-	1	0		-	0	99	1
22		4	-	2	0		-	0	95	5
21		4	-	1	0		-	1	84	16
		5	-	0	1		-	0	81	19
20		4	-	1	1		-	0	60	40
		3	-	2	0		-	1	63	37
		4	-	0	0		-	2	64	36
19		4	-	0	1		-	1	32	68
		3	-	2	1		-	0	30	70
		3	-	1	0		-	2	34	66
		2	-	3	0		-	1	30	70
18		3	-	1	1		-	1	3	94	4
		4	-	0	2		-	0	3	94	4
		2	-	3	1		-	0	1	93	6
		2	-	2	0		-	2	3	94	4
17		3	-	1	2		-	0		68	32
		2	-	2	1		-	1		66	34
		3	-	0	1		-	2		70	30
		2	-	1	0		-	3		66	34
16		3	-	0	2		-	1		45	55
		2	-	2	2		-	0		42	58
		2	-	1	1		-	2		43	57
		1	-	3	1		-	1		40	60
15		2	-	1	2		-	1		25	75
		3	-	0	3		-	0		27	73
		1	-	2	1		-	2		23	77
		2	-	0	1		-	3		26	74
		1	-	3	2		-	0		22	78
14		2	-	1	3		-	0		13	87
		2	-	0	2		-	2		13	87
		1	-	2	2		-	1		11	89
		1	-	1	1		-	3		11	89
13		2	-	0	3		-	1		6	94
		1	-	1	2		-	2		5	95
		1	-	2	3		-	0		5	95
		0	-	3	2		-	1		3	97
		1	-	0	1		-	4		4	96
12		1	-	1	3		-	1		2	98
		2	-	0	4		-	0		3	97
		1	-	0	2		-	3		2	98
		0	-	2	2		-	2		1	99
11		1	-	1	4		-	0		1	99
		1	-	0	3		-	2		0	100
		0	-	2	3		-	1		0	100
		0	-	1	2		-	3		0	100
10		1	-	0	4		-	1		0	100
		0	-	1	3		-	2			100
		0	-	2	4		-	0		0	100
6	-9										100

Total:									8	31	61