West Auckland Admirals Playoff Chances 2022 50/50

Lost to Skycity 1-3, playoff odds down 5.4 to 85.1%

17 points 5-0 3-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 8/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye To Finals	100.0*	Average seed
West Auckland 2 Skycity 1	+6.2		+8.4		+0.3
Phoenix 4 Botany 1	+5.7				+0.1
West Auckland 1 Skycity 3	-5.5		-12.3		-0.3
Phoenix 0 Botany 7	-4.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 8/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye To Finals	100.0*	Average seed
Skycity vs Canterbury	+0.9-0.0-0.1-0.6-0.4-0.8		-2.4+0.3*+0.2+1.2+1.4+2.2
Skycity vs Canterbury	+0.9-0.0-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.8		-2.3+0.2+0.3+1.3+1.4+2.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the West Auckland finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Bye To		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		Finals		1	2	3	4	5	Count

35	6	-	0	0		-	0	In		95.9	%	96	4				45,220
34	5	-	1	0		-	0	In		93.3		93	7				28,454
33	5	-	0	0		-	1	In		83.9		84	16				28,465
	4	-	2	0		-	0	In		80.9		81	19				7,831
32	5	-	0	1		-	0	In		58.5		59	41				255,965
	4	-	1	0		-	1	In		65.6		66	34				15,661
	3	-	3	0		-	0	In		68.2		68	32				1,203
31	4	-	1	1		-	0	In		44.1		44	55	1			142,437
	4	-	0	0		-	2	In		42.0		42	58	0			7,958
	3	-	2	0		-	1	In		47.3		47	52	1			3,680	*
30	4	-	0	1		-	1	In		26.1		26	68	6			142,773
	3	-	2	1		-	0	In		23.9		24	71	5			31,729
	3	-	1	0		-	2	In		26.6		27	68	5			3,890	*
29	4	-	0	2		-	0	In		8.6		9	75	17			638,456
	3	-	1	1		-	1	In		10.3		10	74	16			63,272
	2	-	3	1		-	0	In		11.2		11	72	16			3,501
	3	-	0	0		-	3	In		9.6		10	75	16			1,732	*
28	3	-	1	2		-	0	In		3.3		3	60	37			283,168
	3	-	0	1		-	2	In		2.4		2	63	34			31,778
	2	-	2	1		-	1	In		3.0		3	61	36			11,002	*
27	3	-	0	2		-	1	99.3	%	0.6		1	42	56	1		283,371
	2	-	2	2		-	0	99.3		0.3		0	42	57	1		47,072
	2	-	1	1		-	2	99.5		0.4		0	42	57	1		11,294	*
26	3	-	0	3		-	0	97.9		0.0		0	28	70	2		852,548
	2	-	1	2		-	1	97.8		0.0		0	26	71	2		94,657
	2	-	0	1		-	3	97.8		No			22	76	2		3,492
	1	-	3	2		-	0	97.7		No			23	74	2		3,475
	1	-	2	1		-	2	97.5		No			24	73	2		1,213	*
25	2	-	1	3		-	0	94.7		No			12	83	5		284,470
	2	-	0	2		-	2	94.9		No			13	82	5		47,228
	1	-	2	2		-	1	94.5		No			11	84	6		11,690	*
24	2	-	0	3		-	1	79.4		No			4	76	21		283,403
	1	-	2	3		-	0	79.6		No			4	76	20		31,622
	1	-	1	2		-	2	79.3		No			3	76	21		10,934	*
23	2	-	0	4		-	0	72.1		No			1	71	28		640,345
	1	-	1	3		-	1	71.2		No			1	70	29		62,774
	1	-	0	2		-	3	71.4		No			1	71	29		3,614
	0	-	3	3		-	0	70.0		No			0	70	30		1,784	*
22	1	-	1	4		-	0	63.6		No			0	63	36		141,546
	1	-	0	3		-	2	63.9		No			0	64	36		31,192
	0	-	2	3		-	1	63.9		No			0	64	36		3,979	*
21	1	-	0	4		-	1	36.1		No				36	64		141,795
	0	-	2	4		-	0	36.5		No				37	63		7,865
	0	-	1	3		-	2	34.7		No				35	65		3,588	*
20	1	-	0	5		-	0	28.2		No				28	71	1	255,525
	0	-	1	4		-	1	29.2		No				29	70	1	16,837	*
19	0	-	1	5		-	0	21.9		No				22	76	2	28,572
	0	-	0	4		-	2	20.9		No				21	77	2	7,863
18	0	-	0	5		-	1	4.5		No				5	84	11	28,332
17	0	-	0	6		-	0	1.6		No				2	73	25	45,295

Total:								85.1	%	8.7	%	9	30	47	15	0	5,135,550

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs