Holy capitalism Batman, we’re in the Wall Street Journal |
Botany Swarm Playoff Chances 2022 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 4.2 to 23.5%
15 points 4-1 6-1
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Bye To Finals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phoenix 4 Botany 1 | -10.4 | -0.1 | -0.2 | |||
| Phoenix 0 Botany 7 | +8.5 | +0.2 | ||||
| West Auckland 2 Skycity 1 | -4.6 | -0.1 | ||||
| West Auckland 1 Skycity 3 | +4.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Bye To Finals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Skycity vs Canterbury | +3.5+1.2+1.6-0.7-0.7-3.6 | No+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0 | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Skycity vs Canterbury | +3.5+1.4+1.3-0.7-0.8-3.5 | No*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0 | +0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Botany finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Bye To | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | Finals | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Count | |||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 96.7 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 46 | 51 | 3 | 213,723 | ||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 92.7 | No | 34 | 59 | 7 | 94,007 | |||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 75.3 | No | 13 | 62 | 25 | 93,408 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 71.7 | No | 11 | 61 | 28 | 15,603 | ||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 52.0 | No | 4 | 48 | 48 | 842,090 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 55.6 | No | 4 | 52 | 44 | 31,275 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 58.8 | No | 4 | 55 | 41 | 1,117 | ||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 41.0 | No | 2 | 39 | 59 | 279,923 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 37.2 | No | 1 | 36 | 63 | 15,647 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 40.1 | No | 1 | 39 | 60 | 3,414 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 40.7 | No | 41 | 59 | 27 | |||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 20.1 | No | 0 | 20 | 80 | 280,465 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 17.8 | No | 0 | 18 | 82 | 31,264 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 17.1 | No | 17 | 83 | 3,516 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 19.8 | No | 20 | 80 | 126 | |||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 11.5 | No | 0 | 11 | 88 | 0 | 1,261,926 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 11.9 | No | 12 | 88 | 61,872 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 11.9 | No | 12 | 88 | 1,150 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 11.4 | No | 11 | 89 | 1,134 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 12.4 | No | 12 | 88 | 186 | |||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 7.9 | No | 8 | 91 | 1 | 279,617 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 7.2 | No | 7 | 92 | 1 | 31,051 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 7.2 | No | 7 | 92 | 1 | 3,405 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 5.1 | No | 5 | 95 | 117 | |||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1.9 | No | 2 | 95 | 3 | 280,933 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2.0 | No | 2 | 94 | 4 | 15,652 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 1.8 | No | 2 | 95 | 3 | 3,420 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 2.9 | No | 3 | 94 | 3 | 34 | ||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.9 | No | 1 | 86 | 13 | 840,963 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 1.1 | No | 1 | 90 | 9 | 31,325 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 1.3 | No | 1 | 92 | 7 | 1,156 | ||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 81 | 19 | 93,163 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 77 | 23 | 15,647 | ||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 66 | 34 | 93,246 | ||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 37 | 63 | 213,948 | ||||||||
| Total: | 23.5 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 6 | 5,135,550 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:36 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
