Botany Swarm Playoff Chances 2022
Did not play, playoff odds up 4 to 19.2%
15 points 4-1 6-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Bye To Finals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phoenix 4 Botany 1 | -11.7 | No | -0.2 | |||
| Phoenix 0 Botany 7 | +6.4 | +0.1 | ||||
| West Auckland 2 Skycity 1 | -5.4 | -0.1 | ||||
| West Auckland 1 Skycity 3 | +2.8 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Bye To Finals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Skycity vs Canterbury | +1.7+0.1*+0.1-2.3-2.6-3.8 | +0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Skycity vs Canterbury | +1.7*+0.1*+0.1-2.5-2.4-3.8 | +0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Botany finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Bye To | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | Finals | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Count | |||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 98.6 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 52 | 46 | 1 | 492,814 | ||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 96.3 | No | 40 | 56 | 4 | 216,190 | |||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 75.5 | No | 9 | 66 | 25 | 300,181 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 78.6 | No | 12 | 67 | 21 | 35,848 | ||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 43.4 | No | 1 | 42 | 57 | 2,696,745 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 56.3 | No | 3 | 53 | 44 | 100,037 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 65.6 | No | 5 | 61 | 34 | 2,587 | ||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 31.2 | No | 0 | 31 | 69 | 897,556 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 27.1 | No | 0 | 27 | 73 | 55,947 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 33.8 | No | 0 | 33 | 66 | 11,165 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 30.5 | No | 1 | 29 | 70 | 82 | ||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 11.5 | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 1,004,455 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 10.7 | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99,756 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 11.0 | No | 11 | 89 | 12,383 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 9.2 | No | 9 | 91 | 412 | |||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 6.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 0 | 4,523,308 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 6.7 | No | 7 | 93 | 222,720 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 6.2 | No | 6 | 94 | 3,703 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 6.6 | No | 7 | 93 | 2,838 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 6.0 | No | 6 | 94 | 670 | |||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 4.0 | No | 4 | 96 | 0 | 1,003,326 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 3.9 | No | 4 | 96 | 0 | 77,310 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 4.0 | No | 4 | 96 | 12,357 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 3.2 | No | 3 | 97 | 313 | |||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 0.8 | No | 1 | 99 | 0 | 698,783 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0.8 | No | 1 | 99 | 0 | 55,468 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0.9 | No | 1 | 99 | 8,494 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 4.0 | No | 4 | 96 | 50 | |||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 99 | 0 | 2,102,359 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 99 | 0 | 77,930 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 99 | 0 | 1,537 | ||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 99 | 0 | 233,911 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 99 | 1 | 21,356 | ||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 97 | 3 | 130,586 | ||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 89 | 11 | 303,473 | ||||||||
| Total: | 19.2 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 16 | 81 | 0 | 15,406,650 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:36 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
