"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Estonia vs Romania+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Poland vs Great Britain+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.5+0.2+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2
Belarus vs Austria-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Lithuania vs Romania-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Belarus+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Croatia*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Bulgaria vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Serbia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
4515-00-0NoYes1825342382000No35,716
4414-10-0NoYes04152930166100No7,543
4313-20-0NoYes017203125124100No16,463*
4214-01-0NoYes00211242921103100No74,515*
4113-11-0No100.0%004132427199310000No141,044*
4012-21-0No100.0001514242618931000No257,475*
3913-02-0No100.000015142325189310000No691,378*
3812-12-0No99.6000151321241911410000No1,117,160*
3712-02-1No97.2000141119232013621000No1,776,888*
3612-03-0No86.40001381622221694100000No3,608,429*
3511-13-0No59.7000025121922191262100000No5,096,969*
3411-03-1No26.50000013815202116104100000No7,184,176*
3310-13-1No6.20000014101721201483100000No12,017,596*
3210-14-0No0.600000126121821191373100000No15,063,973*
3110-04-1No0.000000137131921171152100000No19,041,959*
309-14-1No0.000000138142020161052000000No27,386,150*
299-15-0NoNo000001491620201594100000No30,709,618*
289-05-1NoNo0000125111721191373100000No17,972,660*
8-25-0NoNo0000012511172119137310000No17,080,668*
278-15-1NoNo0000013713192118115200000No25,290,045*
9-06-0NoNo0000013713192117115200000No19,049,931*
268-16-0NoNo00000149162121158310000No19,323,320
7-25-1NoNo00000149162121158310000No25,359,902*
258-06-1NoNo000001261320221811510000No17,142,052
7-26-0NoNo000001261320221811510000No29,106,693*
247-16-1NoNo00000014101823211462000000.0%52,145,705*
237-17-0NoNo00000138162323168200000.047,252,904*
227-07-1NoNo0000027152324188200000.044,431,076*
216-17-1NoNo0000026142325199200000.045,017,439*
206-18-0NoNo000001514232619820000.336,567,586*
196-08-1NoNo00001615252718710001.631,225,974*
185-18-1NoNo00000161626271661006.628,529,332*
175-19-0NoNo0000271829271440017.720,617,505*
165-09-1NoNo000029223124102035.315,952,134*
154-19-1NoNo00003122632206158.413,151,053*
144-110-0NoNo0001517313014277.58,342,255*
134-010-1NoNo00029243624589.75,822,794*
123-110-1NoNo000031433361396.64,321,171*
113-111-0NoNo0001726432399.02,349,377*
103-011-1NoNo000317443699.81,469,282*
93-012-0NoNo00162850161100.0975,944*
82-112-0NoNo0021751283100.0435,091*
72-012-1NoNo0019444070100.0240,494*
62-013-0NoNo0183741141Yes141,071*
51-113-0NoNo0022446262Yes47,774*
41-013-1NoNo011342387Yes23,009*
31-014-0NoNo0104446Yes11,474*
20-114-0NoNo43561Yes2,333*
10-014-1NoNo22871Yes927
00-015-0NoNo100Yes32,873
Total:No2.0%0000000000000111111222233344455666666544321000006.3%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship