How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Austria vs France+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Russia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6321-00-0NoYes0991No32,493
6220-10-0NoYes100No4
6119-20-0NoYes919No34*
6020-01-0NoYes1945No146*
5919-11-0NoYes973No317*
5818-21-0NoYes09180No774*
5719-02-0NoYes0861410No2,190*
5618-12-0NoYes0811810No4,803*
5517-22-0NoYes0752320No9,823*
5417-12-1NoYes0673040No22,442*
5317-13-0NoYes05736700No41,678*
5216-23-0NoYes0464211100No74,790*
5116-13-1NoYes0354517300No147,721*
5016-14-0NoYes0254524510No247,638*
4915-24-0NoYes016403110200No406,200*
4815-14-1NoYes093336174100No699,226*
4715-15-0NoYes0523362592000No1,066,855*
4614-25-0NoYes021431311651000No1,607,523*
4514-15-1NoYes17233324103000No2,489,779*
4413-25-1NoYes00313273018720000No3,492,036*
4313-15-2NoYes01618292614510000No4,854,029*
4213-16-1NoYes002921282312410000No6,863,042*
4112-26-1No100.0%00031122272111410000No8,881,724*
4012-16-2No100.00001412222620114100000No11,462,830*
3912-17-1No100.00001411202520125100000No14,911,779*
3811-27-1No99.400014101924211362000000No17,917,773*
3711-17-2No96.000001381622221583100000No21,507,178*
3611-18-1No82.4000002613202218115200000No25,904,447*
3510-28-1No53.30000014101721201483100000No28,951,305*
3410-18-2No21.80000126131921181162100000No32,441,200*
3310-19-1No4.700000013815202116941000000No36,249,266*
329-29-1No0.50000025101621201483100000No37,735,418*
319-19-2No0.000000126121821191373100000No39,458,798*
309-110-1No0.000000137131921171162100000No41,047,273*
298-210-1No0.0000000138142020161052000000No39,781,035*
288-110-2NoNo0000002510162120148310000No38,858,529*
278-111-1NoNo0000012612182119126210000No37,601,565*
267-211-1NoNo0000001381521211694100000No33,877,477*
257-111-2NoNo000001261219221912520000No30,888,273*
247-112-1NoNo0000001491722221572000000.0%27,793,781*
237-012-2NoNo00000127152223179310000.023,181,219*
226-112-2NoNo0000026132225199310000.019,683,069*
216-113-1NoNo00000151222262010310000.016,420,426*
206-013-2NoNo0000015122227201030000.412,625,803*
195-113-2NoNo00001513242719820002.09,954,643*
185-114-1NoNo00000151425281871008.07,667,851*
175-014-2NoNo0000161628281541020.25,394,847*
165-015-1NoNo000028203126112038.83,931,615*
154-115-1NoNo00002102432227162.72,773,981*
144-015-2NoNo0001415313215280.31,759,620*
134-016-1NoNo00017233626691.41,176,471*
123-116-1NoNo00021232381597.4753,545*
113-016-2NoNo001624442599.3424,931*
103-017-1NoNo00215443899.8257,343*
92-117-1NoNo00052651171100.0147,397*
82-017-2NoNo021551293Yes70,038*
72-018-1NoNo008444070Yes38,518*
62-019-0NoNo0083641141Yes19,285*
51-018-2NoNo22345272Yes7,287*
41-019-1NoNo011342376Yes3,396*
31-020-0NoNo084349Yes1,403*
20-019-2NoNo33364Yes361*
10-020-1NoNo12277Yes123
00-021-0NoNo100Yes32,534
Total:No21.7%00001112222233333333333334443333333322211100000001.4%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship