"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Romania vs Japan+8.9+3.6+3.6-2.2-2.2-8.3
+1.9+0.7+0.7-0.5-0.5-1.7
Lithuania vs Romania-7.6-1.5-1.5+4.1+4.1+9.2
-1.6-0.3-0.3+0.8+0.8+1.9
Estonia vs Romania-7.8-2.0-2.0+3.5+3.5+8.5
-1.6-0.4-0.4+0.7+0.7+1.8
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.2-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.4
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Austria vs France+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Romania finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6721-00-0NoYes1990No32,538
6620-10-0NoYes991No156
6519-20-0NoYes0100No320*
6420-01-0NoYes0990No1,452*
6319-11-0NoYes0991No3,644*
6218-21-0NoYes09820No7,860*
6119-02-0NoYes09730No21,008*
6018-12-0NoYes09640No42,387*
5917-22-0NoYes09360No78,516*
5817-12-1NoYes090900No165,204*
5717-13-0NoYes0861300No290,039*
5616-23-0NoYes0801910No479,926*
5516-13-1NoYes07324200No858,447*
5416-14-0NoYes06531400No1,343,503*
5315-24-0NoYes055377100No2,016,859*
5215-14-1NoYes04442121000No3,179,206*
5115-15-0NoYes03445183000No4,500,909*
5014-25-0NoYes02444256100No6,166,705*
4914-15-1NoYes0153932112000No8,748,676*
4813-25-1NoYes0932371841000No11,321,660*
4713-26-0NoYes04223626920000No14,274,884*
4613-16-1NoYes021331321751000No18,454,221*
4512-26-1NoYes0162233251030000No21,975,986*
4412-27-0NoYes00212273019720000No25,635,987*
4312-17-1NoYes001518292615510000No30,445,571*
4211-27-1No100.0%0028212823124100000No33,509,471*
4111-17-2No100.0000311222721114100000No36,303,510*
4011-18-1No100.00001412222620114100000No39,806,049*
3910-28-1No100.00001411202520125100000No40,600,928*
3810-18-2No99.4000014101924211362000000No40,898,606*
3710-19-1No95.800001381622221683100000No41,557,358*
369-29-1No81.70000026132022181152000000No39,315,932*
359-19-2No52.2000001491621211583100000No36,871,681*
349-110-1No20.90000126121921181262100000No34,793,267*
338-210-1No4.400000138142021161052000000No30,533,245*
328-110-2No0.400000014916202015841000000No26,639,257*
318-111-1No0.000000125111721191373100000No23,342,664*
307-211-1No0.000000136121821181262100000No18,964,511*
297-111-2NoNo0000013814192117105200000No15,390,984*
287-112-1NoNo00000149162020158310000No12,512,179*
276-212-1NoNo000001261218211913621000No9,383,264*
266-112-2NoNo0000013814202217104100000No7,056,267*
256-113-1NoNo00000251118222013620000No5,312,978*
245-213-1NoNo000013816222216831000No3,653,470*
235-113-2NoNo0001261421241810310000.0%2,540,710*
225-114-1NoNo000025122125201141000.01,764,269*
215-115-0NoNo000014112025211241000.11,103,837*
205-015-1NoNo000014112026221231000.6705,767*
194-115-1NoNo0001411222822102002.8450,142*
184-116-0NoNo0001412232921920010.5252,969*
174-016-1NoNo000141426301861025.0147,468*
163-116-1NoNo0016173029143045.785,824*
153-016-2NoNo00282133269169.141,766*
143-017-1NoNo00312293419384.922,259*
132-117-1NoNo015203630893.811,618*
122-017-2NoNo021031411798.34,787*
112-018-1NoNo0522462799.72,175*
102-019-0NoNo0212444299.9993*
91-119-0NoNo32552191Yes325*
81-019-1NoNo11749303Yes158*
71-020-0NoNo551405Yes43*
60-120-0NoNo335017Yes12*
50-020-1NoNo5050Yes2
40-021-0NoNo011341387Yes32,491
Total:No67.4%02356666655544433332222211111111000000000000000000.0%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship