"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Germany vs Norway-4.8+0.4+0.4+5.9+5.9+11.6
+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.5
-1.2+0.2+0.2+1.6+1.6+2.9
Kazakhstan vs Norway-8.0-2.9-2.9+2.4+2.4+8.0
+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.4
-2.1-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.7+2.1
France vs Norway-7.5-2.5-2.6+2.8+2.8+8.4
+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
-2.0-0.6-0.6+0.8+0.8+2.2
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Austria vs France+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Hungary vs Poland-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Norway finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
7525-00-0NoYes496No32,489
7022-21-0NoYes100No4*
6923-02-0NoYes1090No10*
67-68NoYes100No77*
6621-12-1NoYes1991No137*
6521-13-0NoYes1000No347*
6420-23-0NoYes0991No670*
6320-13-1NoYes0991No1,612*
6219-23-1NoYes0991No3,222*
6119-24-0NoYes09820No6,212*
6019-14-1NoYes0982No12,024*
5918-24-1NoYes09730No21,562*
5818-14-2NoYes09460No38,324*
5718-15-1NoYes09280No67,800*
5617-25-1NoYes0871200No112,765*
5517-15-2NoYes0821710No185,424*
5417-16-1NoYes07523200No302,031*
5316-26-1NoYes06630300No464,948*
5216-16-2NoYes056377000No709,222*
5116-17-1NoYes0454211100No1,074,887*
5015-27-1NoYes03445183000No1,544,978*
4915-17-2NoYes02344266100No2,204,532*
4815-18-1NoYes0143833122000No3,110,523*
4714-28-1NoYes0729372061000No4,187,566*
4614-18-2NoYes031935281230000No5,601,394*
4514-19-1NoYes0110273221720000No7,396,071*
4413-29-1NoYes0041630281551000No9,359,546*
4313-19-2NoYes0018212924124100000No11,761,619*
4213-110-1NoYes00031122282111310000No14,582,956*
4112-210-1No100.0%00141223262010410000No17,352,329*
4012-110-2No100.00001412222520114100000No20,545,871*
3912-111-1No100.00001412202420125100000No23,940,197*
3811-211-1No99.400001410182321146210000No26,832,846*
3711-111-2No95.300001381522221693100000No29,936,098*
3611-112-1No79.90000026121922191262100000No32,807,879*
3510-212-1No49.200001381521211694100000No34,651,339*
3410-112-2No18.900000025111821191373100000No36,423,344*
3310-113-1No3.80000013713192117115210000No37,567,354*
329-213-1No0.40000014915202016941000000No37,319,608*
319-113-2No0.000000025101620191483100000No36,955,274*
309-114-1No0.00000012612182119137310000No35,808,666*
298-214-1No0.000000013713192117115200000No33,429,169*
288-114-2NoNo0000001491520201594100000No31,136,166*
278-115-1NoNo0000012511182119137210000No28,336,806*
268-015-2NoNo0000001381420221710410000No24,774,286*
257-115-2NoNo000000251118222013620000No21,658,959*
247-116-1NoNo0000013916222216831000No18,447,318*
237-016-2NoNo0000127142224189310000.0%15,057,720*
226-116-2NoNo00000261321251910310000.012,317,583*
216-117-1NoNo00000151221262111310000.19,771,143*
206-017-2NoNo000014122227211030000.47,410,642*
195-117-2NoNo000001413232820820002.15,649,547*
185-118-1NoNo0000151325281971008.64,150,828*
175-018-2NoNo0000151628281651021.32,899,691*
164-118-2NoNo000027203126122040.32,045,727*
154-119-1NoNo000292433238164.41,381,366*
144-019-2NoNo000414303316281.4878,893*
134-020-1NoNo00017223627692.1569,737*
123-120-1NoNo00021232391597.7348,518*
113-020-2NoNo001624442699.3197,924*
103-021-1NoNo00215443999.9116,701*
92-121-1NoNo0042652171100.063,576*
82-021-2NoNo021551293Yes31,353*
72-022-1NoNo008444170Yes16,317*
61-122-1NoNo00083542140Yes7,518*
51-022-2NoNo022446262Yes3,026*
41-023-1NoNo11241397Yes1,417*
31-024-0NoNo174151Yes517*
20-023-2NoNo53955Yes152*
10-024-1NoNo52669Yes42
00-025-0NoNo0100Yes32,501
Total:No35.4%01122233333333333333333333333322222211111000000000.7%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship