How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan vs Lithuania-6.2-3.3-3.2+0.7+0.7+5.8
+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.4
-2.4-0.9-0.9+0.6+0.6+2.1
Lithuania vs Romania+5.4+0.4+0.5-3.5-3.5-6.4
-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
+2.0+0.5+0.5-1.0-1.0-2.5
Croatia vs Lithuania-6.7-4.1-4.2-0.7-0.7+3.7
+0.8+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4
-2.9-1.4-1.4+0.0+0.0+1.5
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Belarus+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lithuania finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
4513-00-0NoYes1926342182000No134,527
4412-10-0NoYes03163029165100No206,497
4311-20-0NoYes0172130241231000No342,760*
4212-01-0NoYes002112429211031000No1,336,960*
4111-11-0No100.0%0014132427199310000No2,164,500*
4010-21-0No100.00015142325189310000No3,098,837*
3911-02-0No100.00001513222519104100000No7,218,309*
3810-12-0No99.50001411202420125200000No9,807,995*
379-22-0No96.30001391723211573100000No12,410,119*
3610-03-0No82.80000026142022181052000000No21,897,615*
359-13-0No53.5000014101722201483100000No25,771,106*
348-23-0No21.50000126131921181262100000No29,142,656*
339-04-0No4.40000013815202116104200000No22,659,219*
8-13-1No4.40000013815202116104100000No19,778,535*
328-14-0No0.400000141016212014831000000No25,218,110
7-23-1No0.400000014101621201483100000No18,710,645*
318-04-1No0.000000126121821191362100000No17,279,055
7-24-0No0.000000126121821191363100000No27,408,546*
308-05-0No0.0000013713192117115200000No24,915,221*
7-14-1No0.00000013713192117115200000No31,101,364*
297-15-0No0.00000001491520211694100000No27,654,671
6-24-1NoNo0000014915202116941000000No23,675,365*
287-05-1NoNo0000002511182119137210000No18,757,434
6-25-0NoNo0000002511182119137210000No15,145,661
6-14-2NoNo0000025111821191372100000No13,324,292*
276-15-1NoNo00000013714202217104100000No20,547,610
7-06-0NoNo00000013714202217104100000No31,556,614*
266-16-0NoNo0000001410172220147210000No21,887,483
5-25-1NoNo000001410172220147210000No20,416,573*
256-06-1NoNo00000137152122179410000No35,252,092*
245-16-1NoNo00000251219232012510000No13,801,883
6-07-0NoNo00000251219232012510000No20,865,173*
235-17-0NoNo00000149172322157200000.0%24,828,403*
225-07-1NoNo00000138162323168200000.018,703,695*
215-08-0NoNo00000026142324189200000.016,531,343*
204-18-0NoNo00002613232619920000.410,309,052*
194-08-1NoNo00001513232719820002.17,005,608*
184-09-0NoNo0000151424281971008.75,563,780*
173-19-0NoNo0000151527291751023.32,954,514*
163-09-1NoNo000016183028133044.11,798,411*
153-010-0NoNo0000282233259167.61,286,180*
142-110-0NoNo000312293518385.0554,960*
132-010-1NoNo0015203730794.2299,246*
122-011-0NoNo0021031411698.3191,936*
111-111-0NoNo00422462899.661,542*
101-011-1NoNo0214444199.929,160*
91-012-0NoNo0042652171100.016,312*
80-112-0NoNo011551303Yes3,006*
70-012-1NoNo08434170Yes1,240
60-013-0NoNo073641141Yes33,085
Total:No11.7%0000000111122233344444555555444433222111000000000.6%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship