SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.4
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Poland vs Great Britain+0.3+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.2*-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.3+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Austria vs France+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Norway+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Romania vs Japan-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Korea finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6020-00-0NoYes0981No32,748
5919-10-0NoYes964No778
5818-20-0NoYes9550No1,799*
5719-01-0NoYes09280No7,304*
5618-11-0NoYes088110No16,931*
5517-21-0NoYes0821810No34,252*
5418-02-0NoYes0742420No87,899*
5317-12-0NoYes06431400No168,347*
5216-22-0NoYes05438810No295,269*
5116-12-1NoYes0424313200No593,113*
5016-13-0NoYes03045214000No983,964*
4915-23-0NoYes02042288100No1,528,693*
4815-13-1NoYes01235351530000No2,598,074*
4715-14-0NoYes0626362381000No3,830,117*
4614-24-0NoYes031632301541000No5,371,393*
4514-14-1NoYes018243223920000No8,008,689*
4414-15-0NoYes00314282918610000No10,647,972*
4313-25-0NoYes001619292614510000No13,612,559*
4213-15-1No100.0%0029212823124100000No18,183,731*
4113-16-0No100.0000311222721114100000No22,004,117*
4012-26-0No100.00001412222620114100000No25,795,091*
3912-16-1No100.00001411202520125100000No31,287,430*
3811-26-1No99.40001410192421136200000No34,685,680*
3711-27-0No95.900001381622221683100000No37,476,557*
3611-17-1No82.1000002613202218115200000No41,595,121*
3510-27-1No53.00000014101722201583100000No42,432,374*
3410-28-0No21.700000126131921181152100000No42,380,344*
3310-18-1No4.7000001381520211694100000No43,269,713*
329-28-1No0.50000025101721191483100000No40,691,878*
319-18-2No0.000000126121821181263100000No37,621,843*
309-19-1No0.000000137131920171152100000No35,443,163*
298-29-1NoNo000001491520201694100000No30,753,102*
288-19-2NoNo00000025111721191473100000No26,333,329*
278-110-1NoNo00000013713192118115200000No22,936,149*
267-210-1NoNo000000149162121168310000No18,318,914*
257-110-2NoNo00001261219221911520000No14,527,527*
247-111-1NoNo000001491722211572000000.0%11,693,325*
236-211-1NoNo0000137152223179310000.08,580,899*
226-111-2NoNo00000261321241910310000.06,280,647*
216-112-1NoNo00000015122125201131000.14,669,183*
206-113-0NoNo000014112126211130000.53,131,331*
196-013-1NoNo00001412222721920002.62,111,601*
185-113-1NoNo0000141224282082009.91,443,446*
175-114-0NoNo000151426291861024.4877,178*
165-014-1NoNo00016183028143044.7542,452*
154-114-1NoNo000282232259168.0339,441*
144-115-0NoNo000312293419384.5184,026*
134-015-1NoNo0015193730893.8103,447*
123-115-1NoNo0021030411898.359,204*
113-116-0NoNo00421453099.627,893*
103-016-1NoNo0212424399.914,178*
92-116-1NoNo042552181Yes7,203*
82-117-0NoNo021254302Yes2,859*
72-017-1NoNo07424380Yes1,257*
62-018-0NoNo063940140Yes616*
51-017-2NoNo42144293Yes179*
41-018-1NoNo1041418Yes49*
31-019-0NoNo74152Yes27*
20-119-0NoNo7525Yes4*
10-019-1NoNo5050Yes2
00-020-0NoNo100Yes32,489
Total:No43.4%00112334444444444444333333222222111111000000000000.2%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2023-10-27 6:57 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)