How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Italy vs Slovenia+9.0+3.1+3.2-2.6-2.6-8.2
-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3
+2.1+0.8+0.8-0.5-0.6-1.9
Great Britain vs Italy-8.6-3.1-3.1+2.7+2.7+8.5
+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
-2.1-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.7+2.0
Italy vs Poland+9.4+3.7+3.7-1.8-1.8-7.2
-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2
+2.2+0.9+0.9-0.4-0.4-1.7
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.2*-0.0-0.0-0.2
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.2+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Austria vs France+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Norway+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Germany vs France-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Romania vs Japan-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Italy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
7625-00-0NoYes595No32,489
70-73NoYes100No16*
6922-12-0NoYes397No32*
6821-22-0NoYes100No74*
6721-12-1NoYes199No220*
6621-13-0NoYes0990No516*
6520-23-0NoYes1000No961*
6420-13-1NoYes0990No2,016*
6320-14-0NoYes0991No4,154*
6219-24-0NoYes0991No7,905*
6119-14-1NoYes09820No15,509*
6018-24-1NoYes09730No27,485*
5918-14-2NoYes09550No48,621*
5818-15-1NoYes09370No85,317*
5717-25-1NoYes0891100No139,557*
5617-15-2NoYes0841510No227,357*
5517-16-1NoYes0782110No366,913*
5416-26-1NoYes07027300No560,281*
5316-16-2NoYes06134500No846,428*
5216-17-1NoYes050409100No1,269,753*
5115-27-1NoYes0394414200No1,810,087*
5015-17-2NoYes02845224000No2,553,554*
4915-18-1NoYes01842299100No3,575,355*
4814-28-1NoYes01135351630000No4,772,113*
4714-18-2NoYes0525372481000No6,315,177*
4614-19-1NoYes0215323015410000No8,269,814*
4513-29-1NoYes0182332231020000No10,365,917*
4413-19-2NoYes00314282918720000No12,913,698*
4313-110-1NoYes001618282614510000No15,860,715*
4212-210-1NoYes002921282312410000No18,711,349*
4112-110-2No100.0%00031121262111410000No21,938,728*
4012-111-1No100.00001411212521114100000No25,332,706*
3911-211-1No99.9000014112024211252000000No28,145,400*
3811-111-2No99.3000139182322147210000No31,116,435*
3711-112-1No95.300001381522221693100000No33,805,211*
3610-212-1No79.9000002512192219126200000No35,373,944*
3510-112-2No49.5000013816212116941000000No36,839,442*
3410-113-1No19.200000251118211913621000000No37,659,776*
339-213-1No3.900000137131921171152000000No37,084,051*
329-113-2No0.40000001491520201694100000No36,389,848*
319-114-1No0.000000025101720191483100000No34,955,561*
308-214-1No0.000000126121821181363100000No32,331,927*
298-114-2No0.000000013713192117115200000No29,849,631*
288-115-1NoNo000000149152020159410000No26,926,867*
278-015-2NoNo00000125111821191362100000No23,336,947*
267-115-2NoNo000001381420221710410000No20,229,357*
257-116-1NoNo000002511182220136200000No17,066,937*
247-016-2NoNo000001381622221683100000.0%13,812,554*
236-116-2NoNo0000127142224189310000.011,201,478*
226-117-1NoNo00000251321252010310000.08,817,387*
216-017-2NoNo00000151221262111310000.16,621,707*
205-117-2NoNo000014122227211030000.45,005,370*
195-118-1NoNo00001412232820920002.23,648,660*
185-018-2NoNo0000141325291971008.82,526,435*
174-118-2NoNo0000151628291651021.51,767,334*
164-119-1NoNo00027193127122040.81,184,853*
154-019-2NoNo0000292333248164.9745,533*
144-020-1NoNo0001414303316381.8478,756*
133-120-1NoNo0017223627692.2290,860*
123-020-2NoNo0021132391697.8163,652*
113-021-1NoNo01523442699.495,225*
102-121-1NoNo00215443999.851,935*
92-021-2NoNo0042652171100.025,329*
82-022-1NoNo021551303Yes13,189*
71-122-1NoNo08444070Yes6,044*
61-022-2NoNo083741141Yes2,332*
51-023-1NoNo22248262Yes1,045*
41-024-0NoNo01342368Yes413*
30-023-2NoNo64054Yes121*
20-024-1NoNo3961Yes41
10-025-0NoNo22672Yes32,496
Total:No43.2%01223334444444443333333333322222221111100000000000.4%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship