"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Italy vs Slovenia+9.0+3.1+3.2-2.6-2.6-8.2
-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3
+2.1+0.8+0.8-0.5-0.6-1.9
Great Britain vs Italy-8.6-3.1-3.1+2.7+2.7+8.5
+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
-2.1-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.7+2.0
Italy vs Poland+9.4+3.7+3.7-1.8-1.8-7.2
-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2
+2.2+0.9+0.9-0.4-0.4-1.7
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.2*-0.0-0.0-0.2
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.2+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Austria vs France+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Norway+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Germany vs France-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Romania vs Japan-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Italy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
7625-00-0NoYes595No32,489
70-73NoYes100No16*
6922-12-0NoYes397No32*
6821-22-0NoYes100No74*
6721-12-1NoYes199No220*
6621-13-0NoYes0990No516*
6520-23-0NoYes1000No961*
6420-13-1NoYes0990No2,016*
6320-14-0NoYes0991No4,154*
6219-24-0NoYes0991No7,905*
6119-14-1NoYes09820No15,509*
6018-24-1NoYes09730No27,485*
5918-14-2NoYes09550No48,621*
5818-15-1NoYes09370No85,317*
5717-25-1NoYes0891100No139,557*
5617-15-2NoYes0841510No227,357*
5517-16-1NoYes0782110No366,913*
5416-26-1NoYes07027300No560,281*
5316-16-2NoYes06134500No846,428*
5216-17-1NoYes050409100No1,269,753*
5115-27-1NoYes0394414200No1,810,087*
5015-17-2NoYes02845224000No2,553,554*
4915-18-1NoYes01842299100No3,575,355*
4814-28-1NoYes01135351630000No4,772,113*
4714-18-2NoYes0525372481000No6,315,177*
4614-19-1NoYes0215323015410000No8,269,814*
4513-29-1NoYes0182332231020000No10,365,917*
4413-19-2NoYes00314282918720000No12,913,698*
4313-110-1NoYes001618282614510000No15,860,715*
4212-210-1NoYes002921282312410000No18,711,349*
4112-110-2No100.0%00031121262111410000No21,938,728*
4012-111-1No100.00001411212521114100000No25,332,706*
3911-211-1No99.9000014112024211252000000No28,145,400*
3811-111-2No99.3000139182322147210000No31,116,435*
3711-112-1No95.300001381522221693100000No33,805,211*
3610-212-1No79.9000002512192219126200000No35,373,944*
3510-112-2No49.5000013816212116941000000No36,839,442*
3410-113-1No19.200000251118211913621000000No37,659,776*
339-213-1No3.900000137131921171152000000No37,084,051*
329-113-2No0.40000001491520201694100000No36,389,848*
319-114-1No0.000000025101720191483100000No34,955,561*
308-214-1No0.000000126121821181363100000No32,331,927*
298-114-2No0.000000013713192117115200000No29,849,631*
288-115-1NoNo000000149152020159410000No26,926,867*
278-015-2NoNo00000125111821191362100000No23,336,947*
267-115-2NoNo000001381420221710410000No20,229,357*
257-116-1NoNo000002511182220136200000No17,066,937*
247-016-2NoNo000001381622221683100000.0%13,812,554*
236-116-2NoNo0000127142224189310000.011,201,478*
226-117-1NoNo00000251321252010310000.08,817,387*
216-017-2NoNo00000151221262111310000.16,621,707*
205-117-2NoNo000014122227211030000.45,005,370*
195-118-1NoNo00001412232820920002.23,648,660*
185-018-2NoNo0000141325291971008.82,526,435*
174-118-2NoNo0000151628291651021.51,767,334*
164-119-1NoNo00027193127122040.81,184,853*
154-019-2NoNo0000292333248164.9745,533*
144-020-1NoNo0001414303316381.8478,756*
133-120-1NoNo0017223627692.2290,860*
123-020-2NoNo0021132391697.8163,652*
113-021-1NoNo01523442699.495,225*
102-121-1NoNo00215443999.851,935*
92-021-2NoNo0042652171100.025,329*
82-022-1NoNo021551303Yes13,189*
71-122-1NoNo08444070Yes6,044*
61-022-2NoNo083741141Yes2,332*
51-023-1NoNo22248262Yes1,045*
41-024-0NoNo01342368Yes413*
30-023-2NoNo64054Yes121*
20-024-1NoNo3961Yes41
10-025-0NoNo22672Yes32,496
Total:No43.2%01223334444444443333333333322222221111100000000000.4%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship