How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Germany vs Belarus+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Iceland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
5418-00-0NoYes682930No32,757
5317-10-0NoYes563760No734
5216-20-0NoYes47411110No1,786*
5117-01-0NoYes035441830No7,717*
5016-11-0NoYes254524510No16,608*
4915-21-0NoYes17403110200No33,997*
4816-02-0NoYes093336174000No92,757*
4715-12-0NoYes052337258200No170,990*
4614-22-0NoYes021432321541000No299,515*
4514-12-1NoYes017233324102000No628,508*
4414-13-0NoYes0313283018610000No1,014,752*
4313-23-0NoYes01619292614510000No1,588,660*
4213-13-1NoYes002921282312410000No2,785,376*
4113-14-0No100.0%000311222721114100000No4,021,754*
4012-24-0No100.0000141222262010410000No5,670,925*
3912-14-1No100.00001412212520115100000No8,678,047*
3812-15-0No99.400001410192421136200000No11,287,554*
3712-05-1No96.100001391722221583100000No14,497,070*
3611-15-1No82.8000002613202218115200000No19,761,673*
3511-16-0No53.900000141017222014731000000No23,369,093*
3411-06-1No22.30000126131921181152100000No27,481,719*
3310-16-1No4.8000001491520211694100000No33,832,577*
3210-17-0No0.50000025101721191483100000No36,572,602*
3110-07-1No0.000000126121821181262100000No39,524,533*
309-17-1No0.000000137141921171152000000No44,294,473*
299-18-0No0.00000001491520201694100000No43,853,968*
289-08-1NoNo0000002511172119137310000No43,662,294*
278-18-1NoNo00000013713192118115200000No44,768,667*
268-19-0NoNo000000149162121158310000No40,584,057*
258-09-1NoNo000001261320221811510000No37,244,322*
247-19-1NoNo000000141018232114620000No35,015,401*
237-110-0NoNo00000138162323168200000.0%29,015,591*
227-010-1NoNo00000027142224189300000.024,518,442*
216-110-1NoNo0000026132225199300000.021,142,243*
206-111-0NoNo000001513232620920000.415,944,496*
196-011-1NoNo00001514242719820001.912,383,522*
185-111-1NoNo0000151425281871007.89,774,581*
175-112-0NoNo0000161628281541020.36,645,254*
165-012-1NoNo000028203126112039.04,728,015*
154-112-1NoNo00002102432227162.63,401,978*
144-113-0NoNo0001415303216280.52,060,454*
134-013-1NoNo00017233626691.51,333,710*
123-113-1NoNo00021232381597.4870,185*
113-114-0NoNo001624442599.3457,414*
103-014-1NoNo00215443899.8266,543*
92-114-1NoNo00052651171100.0155,943*
82-115-0NoNo0021651293100.068,669*
72-015-1NoNo018444070Yes35,565*
62-016-0NoNo0083641141Yes18,268*
51-015-2NoNo022346272Yes6,181*
41-016-1NoNo01242396Yes2,812*
31-017-0NoNo194446Yes1,268*
20-016-2NoNo23761Yes259*
10-017-1NoNo23068Yes90
00-018-0NoNo100Yes32,531
Total:No13.3%00000011111222223333334444444444443332221110000001.7%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship