"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Germany vs Norway+3.3*+0.0+0.0-3.8-3.8-8.3
+0.8-0.0-0.0-1.0-1.0-2.0
Germany vs France+3.5+0.3+0.3-3.5-3.5-7.8
+0.9+0.0+0.0-0.9-0.9-1.9
Germany vs Belarus+4.4+1.4+1.4-2.2-2.3-6.5
+1.1+0.3+0.3-0.6-0.6-1.6
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Italy vs Poland-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Germany finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
7223-00-0NoYes298No32,512
7122-10-0NoYes397No109
7021-20-0NoYes199No266*
6922-01-0NoYes199No1,064*
6821-11-0NoYes1990No2,736*
6720-21-0NoYes1990No6,235*
6620-11-1NoYes0990No15,711*
6520-12-0NoYes0990No32,933*
6419-22-0NoYes0990No61,296*
6319-12-1NoYes0991No125,988*
6219-13-0NoYes09910No225,971*
6118-23-0NoYes09820No378,347*
6018-13-1NoYes09730No665,834*
5918-14-0NoYes095500No1,060,991*
5817-24-0NoYes093700No1,606,499*
5717-14-1NoYes0891000No2,508,243*
5616-24-1NoYes08415100No3,610,619*
5516-25-0NoYes07821100No4,988,082*
5416-15-1NoYes07027300No7,049,871*
5315-25-1NoYes061345000No9,298,826*
5215-26-0NoYes050409100No11,852,462*
5115-16-1NoYes03944152000No15,307,070*
5014-26-1NoYes02845224000No18,630,585*
4914-27-0NoYes019422981000No22,021,301*
4814-17-1NoYes01135351530000No26,248,637*
4713-27-1NoYes0626372371000No29,627,538*
4613-28-0NoYes021634301430000No32,601,179*
4513-18-1NoYes018253322820000No36,072,111*
4412-28-1NoYes00315292916510000No37,881,502*
4312-18-2NoYes001720292512410000No38,898,364*
4212-19-1NoYes00021023282111310000No40,101,190*
4111-29-1No100.0%001412232620103100000No39,289,008*
4011-19-2No100.00001513222519104100000No37,743,134*
3911-110-1No100.00001512212419114100000No36,314,631*
3810-210-1No99.500001411192320136200000No33,220,075*
3710-110-2No96.100001391722211583100000No29,859,962*
3610-111-1No82.1000012613202218115200000No26,859,767*
359-211-1No52.3000001491621201583100000No22,951,064*
349-111-2No20.90000126121821181262100000No19,301,720*
339-112-1No4.400000138141921171052000000No16,234,068*
328-212-1No0.4000001491520201594100000No12,936,486*
318-112-2No0.0000012511172019148310000No10,174,743*
308-113-1No0.00000012612182018137310000No7,993,508*
297-213-1NoNo0000013713192017115210000No5,924,471*
287-113-2NoNo00000149152020169410000No4,351,390*
277-114-1NoNo000012511172119137310000No3,190,294*
266-214-1NoNo00001371420211710410000No2,191,300*
256-114-2NoNo000025111822201362000No1,497,328*
246-115-1NoNo000013816222216831000No1,020,583*
235-215-1NoNo00001261421241910310000.0%647,517*
225-115-2NoNo000025122125201031000.0410,806*
215-116-1NoNo000015112125211141000.0258,008*
204-216-1NoNo000014112127221030000.4149,705*
194-116-2NoNo00141223282092002.187,569*
184-117-1NoNo000141324292071008.550,786*
174-118-0NoNo000151627291651021.726,345*
164-018-1NoNo0027203126122040.614,254*
153-118-1NoNo00292334238165.77,442*
143-018-2NoNo01415303216381.03,377*
133-019-1NoNo017223528792.31,617*
122-119-1NoNo031330391597.4836*
112-019-2NoNo5224527Yes316*
102-020-1NoNo1312463999.3152*
91-120-1NoNo2215819Yes52*
81-020-2NoNo226117Yes18*
70-120-2NoNo502525Yes4*
60-121-1NoNo3367Yes3*
30-023-0NoNo0084448Yes32,489
Total:No84.9%0810109876654433222211111111000000000000000000000000.0%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship