How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Italy vs Poland-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Austria vs France+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Belarus+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Finland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6321-00-0NoYes0991No32,492
61-62NoYes100No19*
6020-01-0NoYes964No78*
5919-11-0NoYes964No188*
5818-21-0NoYes89110No404*
5719-02-0NoYes87121No1,338*
5618-12-0NoYes0821710No2,829*
5517-22-0NoYes0772220No6,065*
5417-12-1NoYes06630400No14,313*
5317-13-0NoYes05736600No26,928*
5216-23-0NoYes0464111100No49,880*
5116-13-1NoYes0364517300No99,236*
5016-14-0NoYes02544245100No168,456*
4915-24-0NoYes016403110200No284,833*
4815-14-1NoYes0103336174100No497,503*
4715-15-0NoYes0523362592000No773,651*
4615-05-1NoYes02143131164100No1,193,843*
4514-15-1NoYes0172332241030000No1,883,786*
4413-25-1NoYes03132730187200000No2,687,824*
4313-15-2NoYes001618292614510000No3,814,021*
4213-16-1NoYes002921282312410000No5,492,791*
4112-26-1No100.0%00031122272111410000No7,234,174*
4012-16-2No100.0000141222252011410000No9,531,367*
3912-17-1No100.00001411202520125100000No12,626,338*
3811-27-1No99.40001410192421136200000No15,431,334*
3711-17-2No96.000001381622221583100000No18,912,179*
3611-18-1No82.3000026132022181152000000No23,163,987*
3510-28-1No53.2000014101721201483100000No26,343,144*
3410-18-2No21.800000126131921181162100000No30,083,962*
3310-19-1No4.7000001381520211694100000No34,200,460*
329-29-1No0.500000251016212014831000000No36,194,732*
319-19-2No0.0000000126121821181373100000No38,586,213*
309-110-1No0.000000137131921171162100000No40,780,095*
298-210-1No0.000000014814202016104200000No40,175,774*
288-110-2NoNo0000025101621201483100000No39,980,794*
278-111-1NoNo0000012612182118126210000No39,299,776*
267-211-1NoNo000000138152121169410000No35,986,174*
257-111-2NoNo0000012612192219125200000No33,408,208*
247-112-1NoNo0000014917222215720000No30,509,320*
237-012-2NoNo00000127152223179310000.0%25,873,319*
226-112-2NoNo000002613222519103100000.022,350,547*
216-113-1NoNo00000151221252010310000.018,918,088*
206-013-2NoNo00000151222272010300000.414,786,817*
195-113-2NoNo000001513242720820002.011,850,917*
185-114-1NoNo0000151425281871008.09,255,241*
175-014-2NoNo0000161628281541020.36,609,932*
165-015-1NoNo00028203126112038.94,894,283*
154-115-1NoNo00002102432237162.83,503,796*
144-015-2NoNo0001415313215280.32,257,343*
134-016-1NoNo00017233626691.41,533,885*
123-116-1NoNo000021232381597.4994,345*
113-016-2NoNo001624442599.3568,071*
103-017-1NoNo00215443899.8349,818*
92-117-1NoNo00052651171100.0202,613*
82-017-2NoNo0021551293100.098,435*
72-018-1NoNo008444070Yes54,476*
62-019-0NoNo0073641141Yes27,546*
51-018-2NoNo022446262Yes10,399*
41-019-1NoNo011341387Yes5,081*
31-020-0NoNo094348Yes2,119*
20-019-2NoNo43561Yes548*
10-020-1NoNo32473Yes210
00-021-0NoNo100Yes32,562
Total:No18.6%00001111122222333333333344444444333332221110000001.8%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship