How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Estonia vs Croatia-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
+7.8-0.7-0.7-8.9-9.0-16.2
-0.9-0.0-0.0+0.9+0.9+1.8
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
-13.8-7.2-7.2-0.1-0.1+7.3
+1.7+0.8+0.8-0.1-0.1-0.9
Croatia vs Netherlands-11.9-4.5-4.5+3.2+3.2+11.3
+1.3+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.4-1.2
Estonia vs Romania+1.2+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.4-1.3
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.6+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.6
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-1.0-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.7+1.5
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+1.0+0.5+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.8
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.5*-0.0*+0.0+0.4+0.4+0.7
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+1.1+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.4-0.9
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.6
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.8+0.8+1.6
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Kazakhstan vs Belarus*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Austria vs Kazakhstan-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Norway-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-1.0
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5+0.5+0.7
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.0-0.1+0.4
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Bulgaria vs Hong Kong-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Croatia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
4113-00-0NoYes00141425271882000No32,721
4012-10-0NoYes016102428188210No544
3912-00-1No99.9%151422251894100No1,478*
3812-01-0No99.7001513212419125100No7,954*
3711-11-0No97.0014101823211472100No14,156*
3611-01-1No85.30013715212216941000No32,241*
3511-02-0No57.4000151118222013731000No102,931*
3410-12-0No24.90001371420211710520000No165,064*
3310-02-1No5.6000149162120158410000No325,497*
3210-03-0No0.600002511172119137310000No777,585*
319-13-0No0.0000013713192118126210000No1,115,480*
309-03-1No0.00000013814192017105200000No1,938,821*
299-04-0NoNo00001491520201594100000No3,761,553*
288-14-0NoNo0000002511172119147310000No4,878,171*
278-04-1NoNo0000012613192118126210000No7,559,468*
268-05-0NoNo00000148152121169410000No12,455,452*
257-15-0NoNo000000261219221912620000No14,564,125*
247-05-1NoNo0000013916222215831000No20,261,204*
236-15-1NoNo000001261421241810310000.0%14,340,190*
7-06-0NoNo000012614212418103100000.014,697,555*
226-16-0NoNo00000251221252011410000.030,506,777*
216-06-1NoNo00000141120252212410000.138,308,512*
205-16-1NoNo0000141020272212310000.629,929,241*
6-07-0NoNo00000141020262212310000.618,404,833
195-17-0NoNo0000014112228221030002.924,691,619*
5-06-2NoNo000014112228221030002.820,618,444*
185-07-1NoNo00001412232921820010.328,061,535
4-16-2NoNo00001412232921920010.623,325,204*
175-08-0NoNo0000141426301961025.122,421,680
4-17-1NoNo00000141426301961025.321,956,551
4-06-3NoNo000141326301961025.513,008,371*
164-07-2NoNo0000016173029143045.617,602,893
4-18-0NoNo000016173029143045.629,753,356*
154-08-1NoNo00000282233269168.328,127,895
3-17-2NoNo0000282133269169.020,354,952*
144-09-0NoNo0000312293518384.619,960,933
3-18-1NoNo0000312293518385.127,855,782*
133-08-2NoNo00015203730794.013,943,405
3-19-0NoNo00015203730793.920,073,691*
123-09-1NoNo00021031411698.331,303,166*
113-010-0NoNo0000422462799.627,091,290*
102-09-2NoNo000214444199.915,923,934*
92-010-1NoNo00042652171100.013,072,031*
82-011-0NoNo0011552303100.09,769,480*
71-010-2NoNo0007444170100.04,367,737*
61-011-1NoNo00073741141Yes3,162,546*
51-012-0NoNo0022446262Yes1,975,404*
40-011-2NoNo011341387Yes528,380*
30-012-1NoNo0084447Yes331,632
20-013-0NoNo043660Yes195,436
Total:No0.0%000000000000000000000000001111223456789101111106100039.2%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship