How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
-9.6-4.6-4.6+1.0+1.0+7.3
+1.7+0.6+0.6-0.3-0.3-1.2
Bulgaria vs Hong Kong+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
-10.1-4.8-4.7+1.4+1.4+8.8
+1.6+0.6+0.6-0.4-0.4-1.3
South Africa vs Bulgaria-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
+10.3+2.7+2.7-3.9-3.9-9.7
-1.5-0.5-0.5+0.4+0.4+1.4
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.4
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.4+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Romania+0.9+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.3-1.0
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+1.2+0.7+0.7+0.0+0.0-0.7
-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Japan vs Netherlands-0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.6
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.9+0.3+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.7
Austria vs Kazakhstan-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.0*+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.8-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.5+1.2
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.5+0.0+0.1+0.7+0.7+1.3
Germany vs Belarus-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.5+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.6
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.8
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.3
Estonia vs Croatia+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bulgaria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
4214-00-0NoYes00282028241341000No33,316
4113-10-0NoYes0021021272112510No1,789
4013-00-1NoYes0141020252311520No4,210*
3913-01-0No99.9%0131119252213520000No22,347*
3812-11-0No99.40013918242214621000No40,916*
3712-01-1No95.60013716222316831000No83,188*
3612-02-0No81.40000261220231911520000No246,535*
3511-12-0No52.1000149172221158310000No398,354*
3411-02-1No21.000002613192218115210000No701,259*
3311-03-0No4.3000138152121169410000No1,561,356*
3210-13-0No0.4000014101721201483100000No2,235,594*
3110-03-1No0.0000012612182118126210000No3,491,964*
3010-04-0No0.00000013713192117115210000No6,355,227*
299-14-0NoNo000001481520201694100000No8,136,190*
289-04-1NoNo0000025101721201483100000No11,376,256*
278-14-1NoNo0000012612192118126210000No17,718,711*
268-15-0NoNo000001381521211694100000No20,387,879*
258-05-1NoNo000000251119222012620000No25,753,662*
247-15-1NoNo0000013916222216831000No35,103,725*
237-16-0NoNo000012614212418103100000.0%36,357,640*
227-06-1NoNo000000151221252011410000.018,785,911
6-15-2NoNo00000151221252011410000.022,863,674*
216-16-1NoNo00000141121262111410000.124,083,256*
7-07-0NoNo0000141121262111410000.126,302,455*
206-17-0NoNo00000141121272211300000.522,439,733*
6-06-2NoNo000014112127221130000.524,399,111*
196-07-1NoNo00001412232821920002.422,743,792
5-16-2NoNo00001412232821920002.426,030,535*
185-17-1NoNo0000141324292071008.921,361,415
6-08-0NoNo0000141324292071009.031,359,462*
175-18-0NoNo0000151527291751022.917,061,793
5-07-2NoNo0000151527291751022.826,637,885*
165-08-1NoNo000017193027133042.520,378,651
4-17-2NoNo000017193027133042.920,940,592*
154-18-1NoNo0000292332248165.839,983,791*
144-19-0NoNo00000313293318383.529,171,407*
134-09-1NoNo00016203630893.424,986,014*
124-010-0NoNo000021029401998.121,582,256*
113-110-0NoNo0000420433399.613,549,042*
103-010-1NoNo000111394899.910,461,892*
93-011-0NoNo000032053212100.08,000,046*
82-111-0NoNo0011049355100.04,152,848*
72-011-1NoNo0043944110Yes2,859,907*
62-012-0NoNo00062944201Yes1,910,246*
51-011-2NoNo011645353Yes750,399*
41-012-1NoNo00836469Yes455,614*
31-013-0NoNo0044154Yes258,431*
20-012-2NoNo003267Yes60,313*
10-013-1NoNo02278Yes31,329
00-014-0NoNo0100Yes46,982
Total:No0.1%00000000000000000000001111122233456788998764100026.2%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship