Spokane Playoff Chances

Plays at Vancouver, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99998%

66 points 30 17-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swift Current 2 Lethbridge 7	*In
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Spokane			-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Tri-City vs Kamloops			-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tri-City vs Spokane			-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Portland vs Red Deer			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Spokane finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Scotty Munro	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

96	15	0		-	0	In		No	4	4	92		0								3,266
95	14	0		-	1	In		No	1	2	94		2								5,035
94	14	1		-	0	In		No	0	1	94		5								24,823	*
93	13	1		-	1	In		No	0	1	88		11								50,628	*
92	13	2		-	0	In		No	0	0	83		17								84,979
	12	1		-	2	In		No	0	0	77		23								53,711	*
91	12	2		-	1	In		No	0	0	69		31								226,175	*
90	12	3		-	0	In		No	0	0	60		40								253,842	*
	11	2		-	2	In		No	0	0	52		48		0						194,621
89	11	3		-	1	In		No		0	44		56		0						485,918
	10	2		-	3	In		No		0	38		62		0						124,012	*
88	11	4		-	0	In		No		0	34		66		0						455,189
	10	3		-	2	In		No		0	27		73		0						445,173
	9	2		-	4	In		No		0	24		76		0						49,725	*
87	10	4		-	1	In		No		0	21	0	79		0						829,461
	9	3		-	3	In		No		0	17	0	83		0						256,559	*
86	9	4		-	2	In		No		0	11	0	89		0						680,584
	10	5		-	0	In		No		0	15	0	85		0						622,811
	8	3		-	4	In		No		0	9		90		1						90,946	*
85	9	5		-	1	In		No		0	7	0	92		1						1,019,784
	8	4		-	3	In		No			6	0	93		2						351,147	*
84	8	5		-	2	In		No			3	0	94		4						738,924
	9	6		-	0	In		No		0	5	0	93		2						637,571
	7	4		-	4	In		No			2	0	92		5						108,397	*
83	8	6		-	1	In		No			2	0	92		6						921,115
	7	5		-	3	In		No			1	0	89		10						335,974	*
82	7	6		-	2	In		No			1	0	84		15						583,282
	8	7		-	0	In		No			1	0	89		10						493,011
	6	5		-	4	In		No			0	0	79		20						88,807	*
81	7	7		-	1	In		No			0	0	77		23						625,421
	6	6		-	3	In		No			0	0	70		30						229,012	*
80	6	7		-	2	In		No			0	0	61		39						341,091
	7	8		-	0	In		No			0	0	70		30						292,383
	5	6		-	4	In		No			0		53		47						51,137	*
79	6	8		-	1	In		No			0	0	50		50						320,624
	5	7		-	3	In		No			0		41		59						112,852	*
78	5	8		-	2	In		No			0	0	31		68						147,481
	6	9		-	0	In		No			0		39		61						153,576	*
77	5	9		-	1	In		No				0	21	0	79						162,320	*
76	4	9		-	2	In		No					13	0	87	0					98,234	*
75	4	10		-	1	In		No					6	0	94	0					45,009	*
74	4	11		-	0	In		No					3	0	97	0					23,514	*
73	3	11		-	1	In		No					1	0	99	0					8,682	*
72	3	12		-	0	In		No					0		100						3,863	*
71	2	12		-	1	In		No						0	100	0					1,114	*
70	2	13		-	0	In		No							100	0					424	*
69	1	13		-	1	In		No							99	1					73	*
68	1	14		-	0	In		No							96	4					23	*
67	0	14		-	1	In		No							75	25					4
66	0	15		-	0	99.9	%	No							86	13	0				1,449

Total:						100.0	%	No	0	0	13	0	75	0	12	0	0				12,833,756

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Spokane	+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Tri-City vs Kamloops	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tri-City vs Spokane	+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.4
Portland vs Red Deer	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Moose Jaw vs Regina	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

96	15	0		-	0		4	4		81	11			0
95	14	0		-	1		1	2		72	22			2
94	14	1		-	0		0	1		61	33			5	0
93	13	1		-	1		0	1		43	46			11	0
92	13	2		-	0		0	0		31	52			16	0
	12	1		-	2		0	0		25	52			22	1
91	12	2		-	1		0	0	0	14	55			28	3
90	12	3		-	0		0	0	0	8	52			34	6
	11	2		-	2		0	0		6	46			39	9			0
89	11	3		-	1			0	0	2	41			41	15			0
	10	2		-	3			0		1	36			43	20			0
88	11	4		-	0			0	0	1	33			40	26			0
	10	3		-	2			0	0	1	27			42	30			0
	9	2		-	4			0		0	24			39	37			0
87	10	4		-	1			0	0	0	21	0		37	42			0
	9	3		-	3			0		0	17	0		36	47			0
86	9	4		-	2			0	0	0	11	0		29	60			0
	10	5		-	0			0	0	0	15	0		30	55			0
	8	3		-	4				0	0	9			24	66			1
85	9	5		-	1			0		0	7	0		21	70			1	0
	8	4		-	3					0	6	0		19	73			2
84	8	5		-	2						3	0	0	13	80			4	0
	9	6		-	0				0	0	5	0	0	14	79			2	0
	7	4		-	4						2	0		10	82			5	0
83	8	6		-	1					0	2	0	0	8	84			6	0
	7	5		-	3						1	0	0	6	83			10	0
82	7	6		-	2						1	0	0	3	81			15	0
	8	7		-	0						1	0	0	4	85			10	0
	6	5		-	4						0	0	0	2	78			19	1
81	7	7		-	1						0	0	0	1	76			20	2
	6	6		-	3						0	0	0	1	69			26	4
80	6	7		-	2						0		0	0	61			27	12
	7	8		-	0						0	0	0	0	69			23	7
	5	6		-	4						0			0	53			31	16
79	6	8		-	1						0		0	0	50			25	25
	5	7		-	3						0			0	41			26	33
78	5	8		-	2						0		0	0	31			17	51
	6	9		-	0						0			0	39			19	42
77	5	9		-	1								0		21		0	10	69
76	4	9		-	2										13		0	5	82	0	0
75	4	10		-	1										6		0	1	93	0	0
74	4	11		-	0										3		0	0	97	0	0
73	3	11		-	1										1		0	0	99		0
72	3	12		-	0										0			0	100
71	2	12		-	1												0		100		0
70	2	13		-	0														100		0
69	1	13		-	1														99		1
68	1	14		-	0														96		4
67	0	14		-	1														75		25
66	0	15		-	0														86		13		0

Total:							0	0	0	1	12	0	0	18	57		0	7	5	0	0		0