Spokane Playoff Chances

Lost to Victoria 5-7, playoff odds down 4 to 76.8%

19 points 8 7-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Victoria 7 Spokane 5	-3.6		-0.3
Kamloops 1 Everett 6	+0.5
Seattle 1 Kelowna 3	-0.2
Regina 5 Tri-City 1			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Victoria vs Spokane	-4.0-0.3-0.3+4.1+4.1+4.4		-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Vancouver vs Prince George	+0.7-0.0-0.1-1.0-1.0-1.0
Portland vs Kelowna	+0.7-0.1-0.1-0.9-0.9-0.7
Seattle vs Everett	-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.1+0.1+0.8

What If

Chances based on how well the Spokane finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Scotty Munro		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

105	-119						In		99.2	%	100												129,566	*
104		41	6		-	3	In		41.5		100	0											376	*
103		40	6		-	4	In		36.5		100	0											836	*
102		40	7		-	3	In		29.3		100	0	0										1,833	*
101		39	7		-	4	In		24.1		99	1	0										3,956	*
100		39	8		-	3	In		20.0		99	1	0										8,508	*
99		38	8		-	4	In		15.1		98	2	1										17,307	*
98		37	8		-	5	In		11.1		96	2	1										33,566	*
97		37	9		-	4	In		8.2		95	4	2		0								63,833	*
96		36	9		-	5	In		5.9		92	5	3		0								116,710	*
95		36	10		-	4	In		4.0		89	7	4	0	0								207,144	*
94		35	10		-	5	In		2.5		84	10	6	0	0								355,319	*
93		35	11		-	4	In		1.5		78	13	9	0	0		0						592,897	*
92		34	11		-	5	In		0.9		71	16	13	0	0		0						958,828	*
91		34	12		-	4	In		0.4		62	19	18	0	0		0						1,510,935	*
90		33	12		-	5	In		0.2		53	22	24	0	1		0						2,316,083	*
89		33	13		-	4	In		0.1		43	24	31	0	2	0	0						3,448,977	*
88		32	13		-	5	In		0.0		33	26	37	1	4	0	0						5,012,584	*
87		32	14		-	4	In		0.0		23	25	43	1	7	0	0	0					7,081,010	*
86		31	14		-	5	In		0.0		15	23	48	2	11	0	0	0					9,749,375	*
85		31	15		-	4	In		0.0		9	20	49	4	17	0	1	0					13,087,386	*
84		30	15		-	5	In		0.0		5	16	47	6	24	0	2	0					17,143,220	*
83		30	16		-	4	In		0.0		2	12	41	8	32	0	4	0					21,894,423	*
82		29	16		-	5	In		No		1	8	33	11	40	0	8	0					27,314,689	*
81		29	17		-	4	100.0	%	No		0	5	23	12	46	1	13	0	0				33,240,550	*
80		28	17		-	5	100.0		No		0	2	15	12	49	1	20	1	0				39,494,599	*
79		27	17		-	6	100.0		No		0	1	8	11	47	3	28	1	0				45,838,229	*
78		27	18		-	5	100.0		No		0	0	4	8	42	5	37	3	0	0			51,981,694	*
77		26	18		-	6	100.0		No		0	0	2	6	33	7	46	6	0	0			57,571,532	*
76		26	19		-	5	99.9		No		0	0	1	4	24	9	53	10	0	0			62,326,670	*
75		25	19		-	6	99.6		No			0	0	2	15	10	56	16	0	0			65,928,259	*
74		25	20		-	5	98.8		No			0	0	1	9	10	56	24	1	0			68,195,043	*
73		24	20		-	6	96.9		No			0	0	0	4	8	51	33	3	0			68,916,036	*
72		24	21		-	5	93.0		No			0	0	0	2	6	44	41	7	0			68,122,238	*
71		23	21		-	6	86.6		No			0	0	0	1	4	35	47	12	1			65,800,710	*
70		23	22		-	5	77.4		No				0	0	0	3	25	49	20	3			62,184,327	*
69		22	22		-	6	65.9		No				0	0	0	1	17	47	29	5			57,448,662	*
68		22	23		-	5	53.1		No				0	0	0	1	11	42	37	10			51,883,795	*
67		21	23		-	6	40.5		No					0	0	0	6	34	43	16			45,815,246	*
66		21	24		-	5	29.0		No					0	0	0	3	26	47	24			39,567,319	*
65		20	24		-	6	19.7		No					0	0	0	2	18	47	34			33,401,410	*
64		20	25		-	5	12.6		No					0	0	0	1	12	44	44			27,567,251	*
63		19	25		-	6	7.6		No						0	0	0	7	39	54			22,245,853	*
62		19	26		-	5	4.3		No					0		0	0	4	33	63			17,546,144	*
61		18	26		-	6	2.4		No							0	0	2	26	71			13,527,658	*
60		18	27		-	5	1.2		No							0	0	1	20	79			10,189,916	*
59		18	28		-	4	0.6		No							0	0	1	15	84			7,501,300	*
58		17	28		-	5	0.3		No							0	0	0	11	89			5,395,114	*
57		17	29		-	4	0.1		No							0	0	0	8	92			3,791,874	*
56		16	29		-	5	0.1		No								0	0	5	95			2,600,626	*
55		16	30		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	3	97			1,741,194	*
54		15	30		-	5	0.0		No									0	2	98			1,139,490	*
53		15	31		-	4	0.0		No									0	1	99			725,804	*
52		14	31		-	5	0.0		No									0	1	99			451,871	*
51		14	32		-	4	0.0		No									0	1	99			273,965	*
50		13	32		-	5	Out		No										0	100			162,718	*
49		13	33		-	4	Out		No										0	100			93,511	*
48		12	33		-	5	Out		No										0	100			52,176	*
47		12	34		-	4	Out		No										0	100			28,310	*
46		11	34		-	5	Out		No										0	100			15,143	*
19	-45						Out		No											100			144,482	*

Total:							76.8	%	0.0	%	1	2	6	3	14	4	27	21	13	10			1,143,960,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Victoria 7 Spokane 5	+0.6
Regina 5 Tri-City 1	-0.1
Seattle 1 Kelowna 3	-0.1
Kamloops 1 Everett 6	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Victoria vs Spokane	+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.5-0.5
Portland vs Kelowna	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Everett	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

119		50	0		-	0	99	1
109	-110						100
108		43	4		-	3	80	20
107		42	4		-	4	76	24
106		42	5		-	3	54	46
105		41	5		-	4	47	53
104		41	6		-	3	41	58	0
103		40	6		-	4	36	63	0
102		40	7		-	3	29	70	0		0
101		39	7		-	4	24	75	1		0
100		39	8		-	3	20	79	1		0
99		38	8		-	4	15	83	2	0	1	0
98		37	8		-	5	11	85	2	0	1
97		37	9		-	4	8	87	4	0	1	0			0
96		36	9		-	5	6	86	5	0	3	0			0
95		36	10		-	4	4	85	7	0	4	0	0		0
94		35	10		-	5	3	81	9	1	6	0	0		0
93		35	11		-	4	2	77	11	1	9	1	0		0				0
92		34	11		-	5	1	70	14	2	12	1	0		0				0
91		34	12		-	4	0	62	16	3	16	2	0		0	0			0
90		33	12		-	5	0	53	17	5	20	4	0	0	1	0			0
89		33	13		-	4	0	43	17	7	23	7	0	0	2	0	0		0
88		32	13		-	5	0	33	16	10	26	12	1	0	4	0	0		0
87		32	14		-	4	0	23	13	12	26	17	1	0	7	0	0		0		0
86		31	14		-	5	0	15	10	13	24	24	2	0	11	0	0		0	0	0
85		31	15		-	4	0	9	7	13	19	30	3	0	16	1	0		1	0	0
84		30	15		-	5	0	5	4	12	14	33	5	1	21	3	0	0	2	0	0
83		30	16		-	4	0	2	2	10	8	33	7	2	26	6	0	0	4	0	0
82		29	16		-	5		1	1	7	4	29	8	3	29	11	0	0	8	0	0	0
81		29	17		-	4		0	0	4	2	22	7	5	29	17	1	0	13	0	0	0	0
80		28	17		-	5		0	0	2	0	14	6	7	25	24	1	0	19	1	1	0	0
79		27	17		-	6		0	0	1	0	8	4	7	18	29	3	0	26	2	1	0	0
78		27	18		-	5		0	0	0	0	4	2	6	11	31	4	1	33	5	3	0	0	0
77		26	18		-	6		0	0	0	0	2	1	5	6	28	6	2	37	9	6	0	0	0
76		26	19		-	5		0	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	22	6	3	38	15	10	0	0	0
75		25	19		-	6			0	0	0	0	0	2	1	14	5	5	35	21	16	0	0	0
74		25	20		-	5				0		0	0	1	0	8	4	6	28	28	23	1	1	0	0
73		24	20		-	6				0		0	0	0	0	4	2	6	20	32	29	4	3	0	0	0
72		24	21		-	5				0		0	0	0	0	2	1	5	12	32	33	8	6	0	0	0
71		23	21		-	6				0		0	0	0	0	1	0	4	6	28	33	14	12	1	0	0	0
70		23	22		-	5						0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	23	28	21	19	4	0	0	0
69		22	22		-	6						0	0	0		0	0	1	1	16	21	26	25	8	1	0	0	0
68		22	23		-	5						0		0		0	0	1	0	10	13	28	30	15	2	0	0
67		21	23		-	6								0		0	0	0	0	6	7	27	31	23	6	1	0	0
66		21	24		-	5								0		0	0	0	0	3	3	22	28	30	11	2	0	0
65		20	24		-	6								0		0	0	0	0	2	1	17	22	35	19	4	0	0
64		20	25		-	5								0		0	0	0	0	1	0	11	15	35	27	9	1	0
63		19	25		-	6										0	0	0	0	0	0	7	10	31	34	15	2	0
62		19	26		-	5								0				0	0	0	0	4	5	25	38	23	5	0
61		18	26		-	6												0		0	0	2	3	18	37	31	8	0
60		18	27		-	5												0		0	0	1	1	11	34	38	14	0
59		18	28		-	4												0		0	0	1	0	6	27	43	21	1
58		17	28		-	5												0		0	0	0	0	3	20	44	30	2
57		17	29		-	4												0		0		0	0	2	14	42	39	3
56		16	29		-	5														0		0	0	1	9	38	47	5
55		16	30		-	4														0		0	0	0	5	32	55	8
54		15	30		-	5																0	0	0	3	25	60	12
53		15	31		-	4																0	0	0	2	19	63	17
52		14	31		-	5																0		0	1	14	63	22
51		14	32		-	4																0		0	0	9	62	28
50		13	32		-	5																		0	0	6	59	35
49		13	33		-	4																			0	4	54	43
48		12	33		-	5																			0	2	48	50
47		12	34		-	4																			0	1	42	57
46		11	34		-	5																				1	37	62
45		11	35		-	4																				0	31	69
44		10	35		-	5																				0	25	75
43		10	36		-	4																				0	19	81
42		9	36		-	5																					17	83
41		9	37		-	4																					13	87
40		9	38		-	3																					11	89
39		8	38		-	4																					8	92
38		8	39		-	3																					4	96
19	-37																											100

Total:							0	1	1	1	1	4	1	2	5	9	2	2	14	13	13	8	9	7	4	3	1	0