Spokane Chiefs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 5.4 to 11%

46 points 20 21-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Kamloops vs Kelowna	+0.2-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Tri-City vs Spokane	-2.9-0.6-0.6+2.4+2.4+2.6
Portland vs Seattle	-2.5-2.6-2.6-0.4-0.4+2.0
Kelowna vs Kamloops	-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Spokane finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Scotty Munro		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

96	25	0		-	0	In		0.0	%	67	11	22	0	0								76,440
95	24	0		-	1	In		No				100										1
94	23	0		-	2	In		No			33	33		33								3	*
93	23	1		-	1	In		No		31	15	46		8								13	*
92	22	1		-	2	In		No		8	28	43	13	8								53	*
91	22	2		-	1	In		No		2	20	46	17	16	0							251	*
90	21	2		-	2	In		No		1	12	32	31	23	1	0						833	*
89	21	3		-	1	In		No		0	9	20	39	27	4	1						2,498	*
88	20	3		-	2	In		No		0	4	9	43	31	10	2						7,503	*
87	20	4		-	1	In		No			2	3	37	30	23	5	0					19,731	*
86	19	4		-	2	In		No			1	1	27	24	37	9	1					49,250	*
85	19	5		-	1	100.0	%	No			0	0	17	15	48	16	3	0				111,702	*
84	18	5		-	2	99.9		No			0	0	10	7	51	22	9	0				245,341	*
83	18	6		-	1	99.4		No			0	0	5	3	46	26	20	1				490,933	*
82	17	6		-	2	98.0		No			0		2	1	36	25	34	2				956,095	*
81	16	6		-	3	94.8		No			0		1	0	25	21	49	5				1,725,424	*
80	16	7		-	2	89.1		No					0	0	15	15	59	11				3,011,205	*
79	15	7		-	3	80.8		No					0	0	8	10	63	19	0			4,914,348	*
78	15	8		-	2	70.8		No					0	0	4	6	61	29	0			7,757,600	*
77	14	8		-	3	59.5		No					0	0	2	3	55	40	0			11,514,927	*
76	14	9		-	2	48.5		No					0	0	1	2	46	51	0			16,546,122	*
75	13	9		-	3	37.9		No					0		0	1	37	62	0			22,417,819	*
74	13	10		-	2	28.8		No							0	0	28	71	0			29,380,489	*
73	12	10		-	3	20.8		No							0	0	21	79	0			36,409,908	*
72	12	11		-	2	14.6		No							0	0	15	85	0			43,698,561	*
71	11	11		-	3	9.7		No							0	0	10	90	0			49,598,195	*
70	11	12		-	2	6.2		No							0	0	6	94	0			54,519,263	*
69	10	12		-	3	3.7		No							0	0	4	96	0			56,676,991	*
68	10	13		-	2	2.2		No							0	0	2	97	1			57,071,298	*
67	9	13		-	3	1.2		No								0	1	98	1			54,306,698	*
66	9	14		-	2	0.6		No								0	1	97	2			50,047,952	*
65	8	14		-	3	0.3		No								0	0	96	3			43,467,570	*
64	8	15		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	95	5			36,580,531	*
63	7	15		-	3	0.1		No									0	92	8			28,896,228	*
62	7	16		-	2	0.0		No									0	88	12			22,138,768	*
61	6	16		-	3	0.0		No									0	84	16			15,835,349	*
60	6	17		-	2	0.0		No									0	78	22			10,967,380	*
59	6	18		-	1	0.0		No									0	71	29			7,048,622	*
58	5	18		-	2	0.0		No									0	63	37			4,391,014	*
57	5	19		-	1	0.0		No									0	55	45			2,505,652	*
56	4	19		-	2	Out		No										46	54			1,386,487	*
55	4	20		-	1	Out		No										37	63			692,690	*
54	3	20		-	2	Out		No										29	71			337,045	*
53	3	21		-	1	Out		No										22	78			142,575	*
52	2	21		-	2	Out		No										16	84			59,254	*
51	2	22		-	1	Out		No										11	89			20,644	*
50	1	22		-	2	Out		No										8	92			7,187	*
49	1	23		-	1	Out		No										6	94			1,869	*
48	1	24		-	0	Out		No										2	98			512	*
47	0	24		-	1	Out		No										4	96			82
46	0	25		-	0	Out		No										1	99			76,454

Total:						11.0	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	86	3			676,113,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tri-City vs Spokane	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Portland vs Seattle	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

96	25	0		-	0	0	67	2	10	19	3	0		0
95	24	0		-	1					100
94	23	0		-	2				33	33				33
93	23	1		-	1		31		15	23	23			8
92	22	1		-	2		8		28	23	21	11	2	8
91	22	2		-	1		2	0	19	14	32	14	2	16		0
90	21	2		-	2		1		12	6	26	23	9	22	1	1		0
89	21	3		-	1		0	0	9	3	17	24	15	26	1	4		1
88	20	3		-	2		0		4	1	8	22	21	29	2	10	0	2
87	20	4		-	1				2	0	3	13	24	26	4	23		5	0	0
86	19	4		-	2				1	0	1	7	20	18	5	37	0	9	0	1
85	19	5		-	1				0	0	0	3	14	10	5	48	0	16	0	3		0
84	18	5		-	2				0		0	1	9	4	3	51	0	21	1	9		0
83	18	6		-	1				0		0	0	4	1	2	45	1	24	2	20		1
82	17	6		-	2				0			0	2	0	1	35	2	22	3	34	0	2
81	16	6		-	3				0			0	1	0	0	23	2	17	4	49	0	5
80	16	7		-	2							0	0	0	0	13	2	11	4	59	0	11
79	15	7		-	3							0	0	0	0	6	2	6	4	63	0	19	0
78	15	8		-	2							0	0	0	0	3	1	3	3	61	0	29	0
77	14	8		-	3								0		0	1	1	1	2	55	0	40	0
76	14	9		-	2								0		0	0	0	0	1	46	0	51	0
75	13	9		-	3								0			0	0	0	1	37	0	62	0
74	13	10		-	2											0	0	0	0	28	0	71	0
73	12	10		-	3											0	0	0	0	20	1	79	0
72	12	11		-	2											0	0	0	0	14	1	85	0
71	11	11		-	3											0	0	0	0	9	1	90	0	0
70	11	12		-	2											0	0	0	0	5	1	94	0	0
69	10	12		-	3												0	0	0	3	1	96	1	0
68	10	13		-	2												0	0	0	2	1	96	1	0	0
67	9	13		-	3														0	1	0	96	3	0	0
66	9	14		-	2														0	0	0	93	6	0	0
65	8	14		-	3														0	0	0	89	10	0	0
64	8	15		-	2														0	0	0	82	17	1	0
63	7	15		-	3															0	0	72	25	2	0
62	7	16		-	2															0	0	60	35	5	0	0
61	6	16		-	3															0	0	47	43	10	1	0
60	6	17		-	2															0	0	33	48	17	2	0
59	6	18		-	1															0	0	22	48	26	4	0
58	5	18		-	2																0	13	44	35	8	0
57	5	19		-	1															0	0	7	36	43	14	0	0
56	4	19		-	2																	3	27	47	23	0	0
55	4	20		-	1																	1	18	46	34	1	0
54	3	20		-	2																	0	11	42	46	1	0
53	3	21		-	1																	0	6	34	57	3	0
52	2	21		-	2																	0	3	26	65	6	0
51	2	22		-	1																		1	18	71	11	0
50	1	22		-	2																		0	12	72	16	1
49	1	23		-	1																		0	7	66	25	1
48	1	24		-	0																			2	62	33	3
47	0	24		-	1																			2	52	37	9
46	0	25		-	0																		0	1	39	49	11

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0	79	7	2	0	0	0