How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Regina 5 Tri-City 1 +2.0
+0.2
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 +0.3
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 +0.3
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.1
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Regina vs Swift Current+1.9+1.8+1.8-1.3-1.3-3.4
+0.0-0.0-0.0No-0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton-0.6-0.7-0.7+0.0+0.0+0.7
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer-0.4-0.5-0.5*+0.0+0.0+0.6
Kootenay vs Saskatoon-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Regina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
112500-0In98.4%982129,320
96-98InNo10011*
95396-5In11.111899*
94397-4InNo10053*
93387-5In3.14942127*
92388-4In1.9309502260*
91378-5In2.2419104587*
90379-4In0.41093151,345*
89369-5In0.210911702,801*
883610-4In0.1008811005,624*
873510-5In0.000823140011,374*
863410-6In0.000755190122,050*
853411-5In0.0006672601041,797*
843311-6In0.0005693202076,887*
833312-5InNo00441338040135,223*
823212-6InNo00321544170235,074*
813213-5InNo002217473120394,302*
803113-6100.0%No0013164851710642,602*
793114-5100.0No071545824201,026,010*
783014-6100.0No03123812314001,593,839*
773015-599.9No0183016387002,408,757*
762915-699.7No00621184411003,558,145*
752916-599.1No003131947181005,123,611*
742816-697.7No0271746262007,187,628*
732817-594.8No0131442355009,849,317*
722717-689.8No001103543100013,172,726*
712718-582.2No00172747171017,201,585*
702618-672.0No00051948253021,940,366*
692619-560.1No00312453550027,325,305*
682519-647.5No0027384390033,244,872*
672520-535.4No00143049151039,520,111*
662420-624.8No00022251222045,902,598*
652421-516.3No00011550304052,086,688*
642321-610.1No00001045387057,772,031*
632322-55.8No00006394411062,608,785*
622222-63.1No003314917066,330,573*
612223-51.6No002245124068,663,667*
602123-60.7No001175031169,470,710*
592124-50.3No000124740268,701,785*
582024-60.1No00084248366,371,603*
572025-50.0No00053655562,669,414*
561925-60.0No00032961757,813,794*
551926-50.0No000122651152,098,355*
541826-60.0No00117671545,882,414*
531827-50.0No0012672139,464,092*
521727-60.0No008652733,141,408*
511728-50.0No005613427,184,321*
501628-6OutNo03564121,758,888*
491629-5OutNo02504817,001,328*
481529-6OutNo01435612,961,369*
471530-5OutNo0137639,640,186*
461430-6OutNo0031696,987,852*
451431-5OutNo0025754,941,225*
441331-6OutNo019803,404,439*
431332-5OutNo015852,283,245*
421232-6OutNo011891,494,857*
411233-5OutNo0892948,234*
401133-6OutNo0694587,169*
391134-5OutNo0496352,601*
381135-4OutNo397206,283*
371035-5OutNo298117,215*
361036-4OutNo19964,138*
35936-5OutNo19934,148*
34937-4OutNo010017,413*
33837-5OutNo01008,645*
32838-4OutNo01004,146*
31738-5OutNo01001,984*
30739-4OutNo100850*
29639-5OutNo0100357*
12-28OutNo100129,552*
Total:13.4%0.0%0000013919283181,143,960,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Regina 5 Tri-City 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Regina vs Swift Current-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
112500-09802
96-98100
95396-51189
94397-4982
93387-5319412
92388-421093102
91378-522189204
90379-4010090315
89369-50100846170
883610-4000078101100
873510-500006814314000
863410-6000057194019001
853411-50000442270251010
843311-600003026903120200
833312-500018261213530400
823212-60009231323861700
813213-50004181433710301100
803113-6000112124321650170100
793114-5000796242080231200
783014-60036616221202834000
773015-5001358211513267000
762915-600014417162331111000
752916-5000131111443016171100
742816-6002071162422242200
732817-500103771625305500
722717-600001461025331010100
712718-500001255223116162000
702618-600000142172523234000
692619-500000211217282910100
682519-60000107102931174000
672520-500010452629259100
662420-6000002220233117400
652421-5000001114173326810
642321-6000000091030331420
632322-500000006624382240
622222-6000003317383180
612223-5000021113439140
602123-600001062743211
592124-50000032045301
582024-60000021443392
572025-5000001938484
561925-6000000532566
551926-5000003256210
541826-600001196514
531827-50001136620
521727-6000096426
511728-500066133
501628-60045640
491629-50025048
481529-60014455
471530-5013762
461430-6003169
451431-5002575
441331-6002080
431332-501585
421232-601189
411233-50892
401133-60694
391134-50496
381135-40397
371035-50298
361036-4199
35936-5199
34937-40100
33837-50100
32838-40100
31738-50100
30739-40100
29639-50100
12-28100
Total:00000000000112366101521278