How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy
Regina vs Prince AlbertInInInInIn-0.1
+0.8+0.7+0.8-2.1-2.1-4.7
Vancouver vs Everett+2.4+1.3+1.3-0.6-0.6-0.7
Lethbridge vs Medicine Hat+0.6+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3
Moose Jaw vs Brandon-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy
Prince Albert vs Regina-0.1InInInInIn
-5.1-2.4-2.4+0.5+0.5+0.5
Everett vs Vancouver-0.9-0.9-0.9+1.1+1.1+2.2
Medicine Hat vs Lethbridge-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.6
Brandon vs Moose Jaw+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Regina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
119-130In100.0%10012,919,484*
118315-2In99.9100002,831,562
326-0In99.9100002,963,296*
117316-1In99.8100004,635,623
305-3In99.8100001,817,486*
116306-2In99.6100004,095,904
317-0In99.7100003,999,768*
115307-1In99.5100005,753,480
296-3In99.2100002,556,578*
114297-2In98.8100004,882,447
308-0In99.0100004,537,103*
113298-1In98.3100005,991,201
287-3In97.7100002,954,889*
112288-2In96.7100004,871,957
299-0In97.0100004,377,081*
111289-1In95.4100005,326,056
278-3In94.2100002,853,550*
110279-2In92.099104,151,502
2810-0In92.599103,635,031*
1092710-1In89.298204,078,956
269-3In87.198202,345,496*
1082610-2In83.197303,040,819
2711-0In83.797302,618,504*
1072611-1In77.0955004,372,802*
1062511-2In69.2928103,584,036*
1052512-1In60.28811102,598,877*
1042412-2In50.38216201,988,519*
1032413-1In40.275223001,353,300*
1022313-2In30.26628600973,152*
1012314-1In21.25635900622,032*
1002214-2In13.846401400417,984*
992215-1In8.135442001253,299*
982115-2In4.325462701160,897*
972116-1In1.91744360391,735*
962016-2In0.81040430655,287*
952017-1In0.36344911029,517*
941917-2In0.13275221616,636*
931918-1InNo1195332408,498*
921818-2InNo1134843404,578*
911819-1InNo083974502,216*
901719-2InNo53285501,066*
891720-1InNo22476602473*
881620-2InNo2197693252*
871621-1InNo1137709104*
861521-2InNo1496421144*
851421-3InNo672111118*
841422-2InNo116711119*
831423-1InNo67333*
821323-2InNo50502
54038-0OutNo17226112,863
Total:100.0%90.8%972000000000113,785,972

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Regina vs Prince Albert-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Prince Albert vs Regina+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
127-130100
126362-01000
125352-11000
124353-01000
123343-11000
122344-01000
121334-11000
120335-01000
119325-11000
118315-2100000
117316-1100000
116306-2100000
317-0100000
115307-199100
114297-299100
308-099100
113298-198200
112288-297300
299-097300
111289-195500
110279-2927100
1092710-18810200
1082610-28314300
1072611-177185000
1062511-269238010
1052512-1602711010
1042412-25031160200
1032413-140352203000
1022313-230362806000
1012314-121353419000
1002214-2143239214000
992215-182741320001
982115-242141527001
972116-121536836003
962016-2110301142106
952017-1052212473110
941917-20315134752160
931918-1181144932400
921818-21410361243300
911819-10262217704410
901719-2141418715140
891720-10181651561002
881620-223166255143
871621-111137452572
861521-214273430292
851421-3633391111
841422-21133331111
831423-16733
821323-25050
54038-00370251
Total:9162000000000000000