How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 -0.3
-0.4
-0.2
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 +0.1
-0.0
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.1
-0.0
Prince Albert 6 Swift Current 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.4
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Kootenay vs Saskatoon-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Regina vs Swift Current-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Deer finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
116-125InYes100129,344*
115454-2In97.5%98340*
114444-3In96.7973121*
113445-2In92.2937335*
112435-3In92.5937764*
111425-4In88.589111,909*
110426-3In85.285154,368*
109416-4In79.5802009,051*
108417-3In73.9742618,787*
107407-4In67.7683237,884*
106408-3In61.76238072,016*
105398-4In54.755450134,796*
104399-3In47.848520241,367*
103389-4In41.041590417,030*
1023810-3In34.435650698,238*
1013710-4In28.2297101,134,305*
1003610-5In22.7237701,786,233*
993611-4In17.71981002,733,170*
983511-5In13.41485004,063,276*
973512-4In9.811890005,870,256*
963412-5In6.98911008,240,971*
953413-4In4.769310011,275,723*
943313-5In3.049420015,013,970*
933314-4In1.8394300019,485,001*
923214-5In1.0293500024,648,002*
913215-4In0.5192710030,422,027*
903115-5In0.21899100036,595,503*
893116-4In0.108512200042,999,864*
883016-5In0.008015400049,301,783*
873017-4In0.007418710055,214,007*
862917-5In0.0067201120060,373,637*
852918-4In0.00592017300064,505,993*
842818-5In0.00512024500067,396,235*
832819-4In0.00421831810068,765,482*
822719-5100.0%No034153811200068,609,501*
812720-4InNo02611441541066,935,486*
802620-5100.0No01974618820063,865,551*
792621-4100.0No013446201430059,593,231*
782521-5100.0No8243202150054,381,604*
772522-4100.0No51371830810048,542,579*
762422-5100.0No303015381220042,380,561*
752423-499.9No102311441550036,220,067*
742323-599.6No10167481990030,253,623*
732324-499.0No0011447211610024,730,517*
722224-597.5No007243222420019,783,457*
712225-494.6No004137203250015,488,965*
702125-589.7No0020301740101011,850,154*
692126-482.3No010231345162008,873,628*
682026-572.6No00016946243006,505,006*
672027-461.1No00011644327004,659,304*
661927-548.8No0074383911103,264,663*
651928-436.7No0042314318202,234,749*
641828-526.0No0021234525401,496,257*
631829-417.2No01016423370979,826*
621729-510.7No010103740120628,579*
611730-46.2No0063144180392,718*
601630-53.3No0032346261240,191*
591631-41.7No0021645352142,796*
581531-50.8No001114144383,448*
571532-40.3No0063652647,253*
561432-50.1No042958926,322*
551433-40.1No00222631314,209*
541333-50.0No011664197,454*
531334-4OutNo01164253,851*
521234-5OutNo0761321,903*
511235-4OutNo0557381,033*
501236-3OutNo14950427*
491136-4OutNo14355211*
481137-3OutNo346686*
471037-4OutNo267434*
461038-3OutNo316916*
45938-4OutNo25754*
23-44OutNo100129,328*
Total:98.7%0.5%1429228114310001,143,960,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 +0.4
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 +0.1
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 -0.1
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
116-125100
115454-2983
114444-3973
113445-29207
112435-3937
111425-489011
110426-385015
109416-4790200
108417-374026
107407-468032
106408-3620380
105398-45504500
104399-3480520
103389-44105900
1023810-33406500
1013710-42817100
1003610-52317600
993611-418181000
983511-5131850000
973512-41018800000
963412-5719101000
953413-4519211000
943313-5319312000
933314-42192330000
923214-51189450000
913215-4118576010000
903115-500791090100000
893116-4007115111200000
883016-5006120132400000
873017-4005025143701000
862917-50038291451102000
852918-4002732138160300000
842818-500183310102315000000
832819-40011317112927110000
822719-50627411335102200000
812720-403232934911440100
802620-501171732151268010000
792621-40112042620101014030000
782521-50802192481221141000
772522-405011225514273711000
762422-50300723213326832000
752423-4010031911033121065000
742323-501021507291891081000
732324-4000110042324813132100
722224-5000060216285161862000
712225-400040192831720125000
702125-5000200525216192191000
692126-4001002201131629134100
682026-50000115091136169200
672027-400000110663818155100
661927-5000704335162111200
651928-4000402129132619500
641828-5000201022926281010
631829-40010015523341730
621729-50010010317372660
611730-400061123534110
601630-50003173040181
591631-4002042343271
581531-5001021642373
571532-400011038465
561432-500631548
551433-40003246013
541333-5002186219
531334-41126325
521234-5086031
511235-4055738
501236-324850
491136-414455
481137-33466
471037-42674
461038-33169
45938-42575
23-44100
Total:0026165414744832221100000