"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Red Deer vs Edmonton+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.1-0.1-0.7
+0.0NoNoNoNoNo
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Swift Current vs Saskatoon+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Calgary vs Kootenay-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2
Lethbridge vs Medicine Hat-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Edmonton vs Red Deer-1.0-0.3-0.3+0.5+0.5+0.6
NoNoNoNoNo+0.0
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Kootenay vs Calgary+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Medicine Hat vs Lethbridge+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Deer finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
106330-0In18.9%2572312,863
102-103InNo1007*
101302-1In4.34653023*
100292-2InNo6830169*
99293-1InNo062361213*
98283-2InNo050445642*
97284-1InNo4252601,697*
96274-2InNo033541304,230*
95275-1InNo026551919,646*
94265-2InNo02051271021,039*
93266-1InNo1447372042,059*
92256-2InNo1039464083,650*
91246-3InNo7315661152,275*
90247-2InNo4226391268,432*
89237-3InNo31568123445,231*
88238-2InNo1969146715,701*
87228-3InNo156716111,084,737*
86229-2InNo0262171801,599,856*
85219-3InNo0156162702,234,458*
842110-2InNo00481437003,033,577*
832010-3InNo00401148003,913,391*
822011-2InNo0033859004,910,527*
811911-3InNo0026669005,874,813*
801912-2InNo0019477006,833,850*
791812-3100.0%No00142830007,602,739*
781813-2100.0No00101881008,225,827*
771713-3100.0No0071911108,506,678*
761714-2100.0No50921108,570,803*
751614-3100.0No030922308,263,831*
741615-2100.0No20913507,766,677*
731515-399.9No108838006,976,444*
721516-299.8No1083412006,115,286*
711416-399.4No0077418105,126,695*
701417-298.6No0070325104,188,438*
691317-397.0No0061333303,268,276*
681318-294.0No052240602,492,516*
671218-389.1No0422461001,816,821*
661219-281.8No03214917101,289,011*
651119-372.1No0231482530873,921*
641120-260.2No0160443460577,449*
631020-347.1No1003743100362,205*
621021-234.7No602948170223,244*
61921-323.3No302050261130,000*
60922-214.4No20134737173,941*
59822-37.9No1074148339,586*
58823-23.9No043258520,857*
57824-11.7No02246510010,191*
56724-20.8No011568164,861*
55725-10.4No010672302,244*
54625-20.3No0563310948*
53626-1OutNo257410402*
52526-2OutNo51481141*
51426-3OutNo3362555*
50427-2OutNo2472425*
49428-1OutNo1008*
48429-0OutNo50502
45230-1OutNo1001
40033-0OutNo0277312,863
Total:98.4%0.0%00013373171000113,785,972

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Deer vs Edmonton-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.3
Lethbridge vs Medicine Hat+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Red Deer+0.4+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3
Medicine Hat vs Lethbridge-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
106330-01967203
102-103100
101302-1461430
100292-2644301
99293-10612361
98283-20464445
97284-136552060
96274-20267531130
95275-10197532191
94265-20128483270100
93266-177416370200
92256-246318460400
91246-3252010551601
90247-2141211612801
89237-302596261013
88238-20127581112360
87228-301145017115110
86229-2000239239818000
85219-30001282861026100
842110-200001830410353000
832010-30001030210417000
822011-2000527184415000
811911-3003230642260000
801912-2001180437400000
791812-30001402295400000
781813-20001001206801000
771713-30007011378010000
761714-20500785011100
751614-30030489021100
741615-20202890313000
731515-3101870326000
721516-21008304211000
711416-300077041170000
701417-200070031241100
691317-300061031321200
681318-2005220401410
671218-3004220452720
661219-20321048210600
651119-302310482141110
641120-201600441181820
631020-31000371192750
621021-26002911836110
61921-3302001543180
60922-2201301145291
59822-31070743402
58823-2040436515
57824-1020227609
56724-2011186515
55725-1001265220
54625-200762300
53626-1356400
52526-2150481
51426-333625
50427-224724
49428-1100
48429-05050
45230-1100
40033-002773
Total:000000491215580117011000