How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 +0.7
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.4
Regina 5 Tri-City 1 -0.4
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 +0.3
-0.0
Prince Albert 6 Swift Current 2 *+0.1
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer+2.5+2.5+2.5-0.5-0.5-3.3
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Kootenay vs Saskatoon-0.5-0.7-0.7+0.0+0.0+0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Regina vs Swift Current-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.7
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton-0.4-0.5-0.5*+0.0*+0.0+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Moose Jaw finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
111-123InYes100129,326*
110444-5In91.7%92812*
109456-2In88.2881217*
108446-3In84.3841651*
107436-4In79.88020129*
106437-3In73.17327279*
105427-4In62.463037699*
104417-5In57.758421,614*
103418-4In48.3495103,396*
102408-5In41.0420586,922*
101409-4In34.635065014,059*
100399-5In27.929071027,066*
993910-4In22.023076050,849*
983810-5In17.018081091,671*
973811-4In12.6140850162,351*
963711-5In8.810088010276,737*
953712-4In5.87091010462,315*
943612-5In3.85092020751,480*
933613-4In2.240920401,184,242*
923513-5In1.220920601,817,042*
913413-6In0.610900802,720,851*
903414-5In0.31087111003,969,498*
893314-6In0.10082116005,647,531*
883315-5In0.00076220017,837,676*
873215-6In0.000694260110,614,841*
863216-5In0.0006063202014,031,122*
853116-6In0.0004993903018,116,768*
843117-5In0.00039114415022,859,777*
833017-6In0.00028134918028,170,264*
823018-5InNo00191451312033,927,677*
812918-6100.0%No001214515180039,951,280*
802919-5100.0No00713488240045,983,633*
792819-6100.0No03114213310051,781,375*
782820-5100.0No01834173810057,007,544*
772720-6100.0No01626214520061,431,224*
762721-599.9No0417235150064,722,610*
752621-699.8No0211235590066,754,616*
742622-599.4No01622561510067,367,291*
732522-698.5No01319532210066,533,102*
722523-596.7No00115493130064,277,608*
712423-693.5No00112414060060,825,935*
702424-588.3No00083346111056,292,980*
692324-681.1No00625501720051,003,522*
682325-571.7No00417502530045,239,713*
672225-660.9No00211473260039,274,211*
662226-549.2No00174139111033,349,262*
652126-637.8No00143344172027,741,202*
642127-527.4No00022545244022,565,546*
632027-618.7No00011843317017,963,367*
622028-511.9No00011393811013,988,390*
611928-67.1No0007324317010,661,842*
601929-53.9No00425462417,948,928*
591829-62.0No00218453325,798,609*
581830-50.9No00112424134,131,338*
571730-60.4No0008375062,879,686*
561731-50.2No0004305691,965,398*
551631-60.1No0022360141,309,693*
541632-50.0No001176220851,300*
531532-60.0No01116127540,524*
521533-50.0No0075835335,697*
511534-40.0No0045342203,588*
501434-5OutNo034750120,259*
491435-4OutNo01405869,847*
481335-5OutNo01346538,831*
471336-4OutNo0277221,406*
461236-5OutNo0227811,375*
451237-4OutNo017836,067*
441137-5OutNo011882,954*
431138-4OutNo10901,485*
421038-5OutNo694669*
41938-6OutNo694340*
401040-3OutNo298140*
39940-4OutNo10063*
38840-5OutNo39732*
37841-4OutNo14867*
17-36OutNo100129,329*
Total:85.5%0.0%00741611301894101,143,960,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 +0.1
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.5
Kootenay vs Saskatoon-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
111-123100
110444-5928
109456-28812
108446-38416
107436-48020
106437-37327
105427-4620037
104417-558142
103418-4481510
102408-5411058
101409-43510650
100399-52810710
993910-422107600
983810-517108100
973811-4132008500
963711-59200880010
953712-46200910010
943612-54100920020
933613-42100921040
923513-511009010600
913413-611008720800
903414-50000834111000
893314-600007671016000
883315-5000066102020001
873215-60000551340260010
863216-500004317603210200
853116-600003019803710300
843117-50000192011042310500
833017-60000101812144510800
823018-5000515132429301200
812918-600021011338145017000
802919-50000694301880231000
792819-60003652022120292000
782820-50014512221613341000
772720-6001246201923692000
762721-5001321519436154000
752621-6000211017732228000
742622-5001061392630131100
732522-60010391018351941000
722523-50000151011372383000
712423-60000139636241661000
702424-500000173312125102000
692324-60000151241634144100
682325-5000040171140179200
672225-600020116411715610
662226-5000107338162111200
652126-6000104132132519500
642127-5000002025926281010
632027-6000001017523341730
622028-500000011317372560
611928-60000071123633110
601929-500004173140171
591829-60002042443261
581830-50001021742353
571730-6000011138445
561731-500000632529
551631-600003255813
541632-500002186119
531532-6001136026
521533-500085734
511534-400055342
501434-5034750
491435-4024058
481335-5013465
471336-402872
461236-502278
451237-401783
441137-501288
431138-41090
421038-5694
41938-6694
401040-3298
39940-4100
38840-5397
37841-41486
17-36100
Total:0000433297741515810443210