How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 -4.2
-0.3
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 +0.7
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.5
Regina 5 Tri-City 1 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton+3.7+3.6+3.6-0.5-0.5-4.1
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Kootenay vs Saskatoon-0.8-1.0-1.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.9
Regina vs Swift Current-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.3+0.3+0.9
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.0*+0.0+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Medicine Hat finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
117490-0In99.7%1000129,320
107-108InYes1005*
106424-3In37.538638*
105425-2In60.0604020*
104415-3In54.8574342*
103405-4In46.64753148*
102406-3In38.23862356*
101396-4In32.03268880*
100397-3In24.425752,054*
99387-4In18.9208004,446*
98388-3In15.5178309,282*
97378-4In11.41387118,827*
96368-5In8.29891037,283*
95369-4In5.679120070,869*
94359-5In3.6592300129,998*
933510-4In2.2392400230,945*
923410-5In1.22916000395,335*
913411-4In0.61899100662,287*
903311-5In0.31851310001,071,295*
893312-4In0.10801621001,691,155*
883212-5In0.00742042002,583,387*
873213-4In0.00662473003,842,353*
863113-5In0.005726125005,567,924*
853114-4In0.0048261880007,845,016*
843014-5In0.003824241211010,774,432*
833015-4InNo03020301721014,417,694*
822915-5100.0%No022163423330018,813,215*
812916-4100.0No015113627750023,910,646*
802816-5100.0No10635291280029,660,756*
792817-4100.0No063312918130035,890,954*
782717-5100.0No322625251810042,395,896*
772718-4100.0No211920312430048,875,944*
762618-599.9No101415353050055,005,914*
752518-699.8No00993635100060,449,248*
742519-599.4No005534381710064,895,906*
732419-698.5No003329382510068,045,785*
722420-596.7No002124353430069,675,385*
712320-693.5No001118314360069,723,179*
702321-588.5No0000132550111068,142,523*
692221-681.4No000919541710065,114,322*
682222-572.4No000613542530060,780,841*
672122-661.8No00038503260055,412,187*
662123-550.5No00254339101049,384,695*
652023-639.3No00133544151043,004,238*
642024-529.1No00112746223036,590,494*
631924-620.3No00011945295030,417,370*
621925-513.4No0001341369024,694,974*
611926-48.2No0008354214019,592,728*
601826-54.7No005284621115,181,738*
591827-42.5No003214629111,483,910*
581727-51.2No00115443838,487,432*
571728-40.6No0019404646,115,711*
561628-50.2No0006345374,304,413*
551629-40.1No0032759112,957,984*
541529-50.0No022062161,981,931*
531530-40.0No011462231,295,870*
521430-50.0No00106129826,053*
511431-40.0No0065737512,424*
501331-50.0No0045145310,138*
491332-4OutNo024553182,930*
481232-5OutNo013960104,610*
471233-4OutNo1326858,575*
461133-5OutNo00267431,311*
451134-4OutNo0217916,651*
441034-5OutNo016848,618*
431035-4OutNo12884,272*
42935-5OutNo9911,915*
41936-4OutNo793945*
40836-5OutNo595442*
39837-4OutNo397188*
38838-3OutNo39778*
19-37OutNo100129,380*
Total:77.3%0.0%03287151825136301,143,960,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 +0.7
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 -0.1
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.0
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.6
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
117490-01000
107-108100
106424-33863
105425-26040
104415-355243
103405-44753
102406-338062
101396-432068
100397-324175
99387-4191800
98388-31518300
97378-41118701
96368-58189010
95369-4619112000
94359-5419113000
933510-4219024000
923410-51187460000
913411-41183690100
903311-500769120100000
893312-4006713151201000
883212-5005617182402000
873213-4004521204703000
863113-50033241961205000
853114-4002325179170800000
843014-500142413112311211100
833015-4082181228216220100
822915-50417411304193303000
812916-4021329297216705000
802816-519162511191011080000
792817-40060318131514180121000
782717-50302121410162411621000
772718-402017135152822043000
762618-501003102122952385000
752518-600001819279221310000
742519-5000150521131919151100
732419-60000303151514242241000
722420-50002019159262683000
712320-6000101513526281560000
702321-50000002112222525102000
692221-600000181182034144100
682222-50000050131340178200
672122-60000030884219145100
662123-5000205440182110200
652023-6000103234142517400
642024-5000101127102626810
631924-6000001019624331420
621925-500000013420372240
611926-4000008214373080
601826-50005193338140
591827-40003052742221
581727-50001032043312
571728-4001011341404
561628-500001835497
551629-400005295611
541529-50002226016
531530-40001166122
521430-5001106029
511431-400075737
501331-500045145
491332-4024553
481232-5013960
471233-4013267
461133-5002674
451134-402179
441034-501683
431035-41288
42935-5991
41936-4793
40836-5595
39837-4397
38838-3397
19-37100
Total:0012114434968111014666420