Edmonton Playoff Chances

Lost to Calgary 1-5, playoff odds down 0.4 to 0.3%

28 points 13 22-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary 5 Edmonton 1	-0.3		*No		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Prince Albert vs Vancouver	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Scotty Munro		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Count

90		31	0		-	0	In		0.0	%	10	44	46	0								1,901,544
83		27	3		-	1	In		No				57	43								7	*
82		26	3		-	2	In		No				67	33								27	*
81		25	3		-	3	In		No			5	51	42	3							108	*
80		24	3		-	4	In		No			1	44	49	7							343	*
79		24	4		-	3	In		No			1	31	54	14	1						1,131	*
78		23	4		-	4	In		No			0	19	51	27	4	0					3,395	*
77		23	5		-	3	In		No			0	11	43	36	9	1	0				9,719	*
76		22	5		-	4	In		No			0	5	32	42	18	3	0				26,423	*
75		22	6		-	3	100.0	%	No			0	2	19	42	29	7	1	0			67,382	*
74		21	6		-	4	99.9		No				1	9	33	39	16	2	0	0		164,843	*
73		21	7		-	3	99.5		No			0	0	3	21	40	28	7	1	0		382,548	*
72		20	7		-	4	97.7		No				0	1	10	33	38	16	2	0		845,867	*
71		20	8		-	3	92.8		No				0	0	4	21	40	28	7	0	0	1,786,440	*
70		19	8		-	4	82.9		No				0	0	1	10	33	38	15	2	0	3,611,754	*
69		18	8		-	5	67.7		No					0	0	4	22	41	27	5	0	7,000,506	*
68		18	9		-	4	49.5		No					0	0	1	12	37	39	12	0	13,007,738	*
67		17	9		-	5	32.1		No					0	0	0	5	27	45	22	1	23,204,344	*
66		17	10		-	4	18.3		No						0	0	2	16	45	35	2	39,743,193	*
65		16	10		-	5	9.3		No						0	0	1	9	39	48	3	65,424,961	*
64		16	11		-	4	4.1		No						0	0	0	4	30	59	7	103,624,016	*
63		15	11		-	5	1.6		No							0	0	2	21	66	12	157,862,096	*
62		15	12		-	4	0.6		No							0	0	1	13	68	18	231,525,701	*
61		14	12		-	5	0.2		No							0	0	0	7	66	26	326,865,532	*
60		14	13		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	4	61	35	444,468,777	*
59		13	13		-	5	0.0		No								0	0	2	54	44	581,981,406	*
58		13	14		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	1	46	54	734,024,565	*
57		12	14		-	5	0.0		No								0	0	0	37	62	891,632,982	*
56		12	15		-	4	0.0		No									0	0	29	70	1,043,141,235	*
55		11	15		-	5	0.0		No									0	0	22	77	1,174,942,287	*
54		11	16		-	4	0.0		No									0	0	17	83	1,273,823,609	*
53		10	16		-	5	Out		No										0	12	88	1,329,048,838	*
52		10	17		-	4	Out		No										0	8	92	1,333,716,389	*
51		9	17		-	5	Out		No										0	5	95	1,286,478,147	*
50		9	18		-	4	Out		No										0	3	97	1,192,141,350	*
49		9	19		-	3	Out		No										0	2	98	1,060,635,981	*
48		8	19		-	4	Out		No										0	1	99	905,038,107	*
47		8	20		-	3	Out		No										0	1	99	739,821,326	*
46		7	20		-	4	Out		No										0	0	100	578,886,775	*
45		7	21		-	3	Out		No										0	0	100	432,851,633	*
44		6	21		-	4	Out		No										0	0	100	308,886,181	*
43		6	22		-	3	Out		No										0	0	100	209,874,101	*
42		5	22		-	4	Out		No											0	100	135,632,286	*
41		5	23		-	3	Out		No											0	100	83,043,478	*
40		4	23		-	4	Out		No											0	100	48,105,805	*
39		4	24		-	3	Out		No											0	100	26,235,949	*
38		4	25		-	2	Out		No											0	100	13,441,080	*
37		3	25		-	3	Out		No											0	100	6,428,171	*
36		3	26		-	2	Out		No											0	100	2,858,484	*
35		2	26		-	3	Out		No											0	100	1,167,120	*
34		2	27		-	2	Out		No											0	100	436,306	*
28	-33						Out		No												100	2,105,950	*

Total:							0.3	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	18	80	16,817,907,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary 5 Edmonton 1	+0.2

Tuesday	None

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

90	31	0		-	0	0	10	4	40	36	9	0	0
83	27	3		-	1						57	43
82	26	3		-	2						67	11	22
81	25	3		-	3				5	2	49	6	35	3
80	24	3		-	4				1		44	7	41	3	4
79	24	4		-	3				1	0	30	3	51	7	7	1	0
78	23	4		-	4				0		19	2	49	9	18	4	0	0
77	23	5		-	3				0		11	1	42	9	27	8	1	1	0	0
76	22	5		-	4				0		5	0	32	7	35	15	3	3		0
75	22	6		-	3				0		2	0	19	4	38	22	7	7	0	1		0
74	21	6		-	4						1	0	9	2	31	25	13	16	0	2		0	0
73	21	7		-	3				0		0		3	1	20	22	18	27	1	7	0	1	0
72	20	7		-	4						0		1	0	10	15	18	35	2	16	0	2	0
71	20	8		-	3						0		0	0	4	7	14	35	4	28	0	7	0	0
70	19	8		-	4						0		0	0	1	3	8	27	6	38	0	15	2	0
69	18	8		-	5								0	0	0	1	3	16	6	41	1	27	5	0
68	18	9		-	4								0		0	0	1	7	5	35	1	39	12	0	0
67	17	9		-	5								0		0	0	0	2	3	25	2	45	22	1	0
66	17	10		-	4										0	0	0	1	1	14	2	45	35	2	0	0
65	16	10		-	5										0	0	0	0	0	7	2	39	48	4	0	0
64	16	11		-	4										0	0	0	0	0	3	1	29	58	9	0	0
63	15	11		-	5												0	0	0	1	1	19	62	16	1	0
62	15	12		-	4												0	0	0	0	0	11	60	26	3	0	0
61	14	12		-	5												0	0	0	0	0	6	52	35	7	0	0
60	14	13		-	4													0	0	0	0	2	40	43	13	1	0
59	13	13		-	5														0	0	0	1	28	46	22	3	0
58	13	14		-	4														0	0	0	0	18	44	31	7	0
57	12	14		-	5														0	0	0	0	10	37	40	13	0
56	12	15		-	4															0	0	0	5	28	45	21	0
55	11	15		-	5															0	0	0	2	19	46	32	1
54	11	16		-	4																0	0	1	12	43	43	1
53	10	16		-	5																	0	0	7	37	54	3
52	10	17		-	4																	0	0	3	29	63	5
51	9	17		-	5																	0	0	1	21	69	8
50	9	18		-	4																	0	0	1	14	72	13
49	9	19		-	3																		0	0	9	72	19
48	8	19		-	4																		0	0	5	69	26
47	8	20		-	3																		0	0	3	63	34
46	7	20		-	4																		0	0	1	56	43
45	7	21		-	3																			0	1	48	51
44	6	21		-	4																			0	0	40	60
43	6	22		-	3																			0	0	32	68
42	5	22		-	4																			0	0	25	75
41	5	23		-	3																			0	0	18	82
40	4	23		-	4																				0	13	87
39	4	24		-	3																				0	9	91
38	4	25		-	2																				0	6	94
37	3	25		-	3																				0	4	96
36	3	26		-	2																				0	2	98
35	2	26		-	3																					1	99
34	2	27		-	2																					1	99
33	1	27		-	3																					0	100
32	1	28		-	2																					0	100
31	1	29		-	1																					0	100
30	0	29		-	2																					0	100
29	0	30		-	1																						100
28	0	31		-	0																					0	100

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	13	23	43	13