How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 +0.9
+0.1
+0.2
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.1
-0.0
Regina 5 Tri-City 1 -0.1
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 +0.1
Prince Albert 6 Swift Current 2 -0.0
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Kootenay vs Saskatoon-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Regina vs Swift Current-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
120480-0In100.0%1000129,320
114-115InYes10014*
113443-1In95.595544*
112433-2In95.5955110*
111423-3In92.7937273*
110424-2In91.3919861*
109414-3In87.387132,075*
108415-2In81.281194,859*
107405-3In75.4752511,016*
106406-2In69.4703024,028*
105396-3In62.16238050,079*
104386-4In55.25644099,021*
103387-3In47.848520187,073*
102377-4In40.441590341,926*
101378-3In33.534660598,446*
100368-4In27.02872001,010,938*
99369-3In21.22277001,649,657*
98359-4In16.117820002,600,524*
973510-3In11.813861003,969,867*
963410-4In8.310891005,874,419*
953411-3In5.67912008,405,195*
943311-4In3.559230011,692,218*
933312-3In2.139340015,778,721*
923212-4In1.229260020,695,920*
913213-3In0.61908100026,387,047*
903113-4In0.318711100032,728,072*
893114-3In0.108314300039,497,332*
883014-4In0.007817510046,433,460*
872914-5In0.007219810053,165,526*
862915-4In0.0064211220059,330,411*
852815-5In0.00572218300064,534,002*
842816-4In0.00482125600068,472,882*
832716-5In0.00401832810070,829,388*
822717-4InNo03115391220071,536,843*
812617-5InNo02411451541070,494,892*
802618-4100.0%No01774718820067,804,893*
792518-5100.0No12447201430063,687,958*
782519-4100.0No8243202250058,412,102*
772419-5100.0No51371830810052,302,064*
762420-4100.0No303014391220045,770,871*
752320-599.9No102310451550039,122,261*
742321-499.6No101674819900032,671,195*
732221-598.9No0011447211610026,646,461*
722222-497.4No007243212430021,227,729*
712122-594.4No004137203350016,534,097*
702123-489.4No0020301740101012,582,400*
692023-581.9No001022134516209,354,451*
682024-472.0No00016946244006,795,065*
671924-560.4No00011644327004,815,316*
661925-447.9No0073383912103,339,994*
651825-535.9No0042304418202,261,355*
641826-425.3No0021224526401,495,672*
631726-516.7No01015423370965,990*
621727-410.3No010103740120608,834*
611627-56.0No0063145190374,486*
601628-43.3No0032346261225,556*
591528-51.6No0021746352131,676*
581529-40.8No001114243375,547*
571530-30.3No0073651541,735*
561430-40.1No042958822,694*
551431-30.0No0223631211,835*
541331-40.0No011766166,178*
531332-3OutNo11363233,105*
521232-4OutNo0765281,489*
511233-3OutNo65836719*
501133-4OutNo25444317*
491134-3OutNo33959158*
481034-4OutNo336763*
471035-3OutNo227818*
461036-2OutNo336712*
24-45OutNo100129,325*
Total:98.7%0.4%13710238124310001,143,960,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Kootenay 2 Edmonton 5 -0.4
Medicine Hat 1 Saskatoon 3 -0.1
Brandon 6 Red Deer 3 -0.1
Lethbridge 4 Calgary 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Medicine Hat vs Edmonton+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.5
Moose Jaw vs Red Deer-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
120480-01000
114-115100
113443-1955
112433-2955
111423-3937
110424-2919
109414-38713
108415-281019
107405-375025
106406-269030
105396-3620380
104386-4550440
103387-34805200
102377-44015900
101378-33416600
100368-427172000
99369-3211770000
98359-41618200000
973510-31218601000
963410-4818901000
953411-3619012000
943311-4419113000
933312-3219034000
923212-4118746000
913213-3118378010000
903113-4007710100100000
893114-3006815131300000
883014-4005820152501000
872914-5004724163801000
862915-40036281661202000
852815-5002631148180300000
842816-400173111102415000000
832716-50010297113028110000
822717-4062641134510220000
812617-503212935912440100
802618-401161732151268020000
792518-5011042620111014030000
782519-40702192481221150000
772419-505011225513283711000
762420-40300723212326932000
752320-5010032011033121065000
742321-4010021506291810991000
732221-5000110042324813142100
722222-4000070216286161862000
712122-5000401928317211250000
702123-4000200525215202092000
692023-50001002201121629134100
682024-40000115091135179200
671924-50000010066371815510
661925-4000703335172211200
651825-5000402129142619500
641826-4000201022926281010
631726-50010015623341730
621727-40010010318372660
611627-500061123534110
601628-40003173040181
591528-5002042343271
581529-4001021642362
571530-300011038464
561430-4000632547
551431-3003266011
541331-4002196416
531332-31146223
521232-4186527
511233-385735
501133-425444
491134-333958
481034-43565
471035-32278
461036-23367
24-45100
Total:0022156415854832221100000