How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Jean Rougeau Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rouyn-Noranda vs Blainville-Boisbriand+0.5+0.1+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.6
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Jean Rougeau Trophy100.0*Average seed
Shawinigan vs Victoriaville+1.4+1.4+1.4-1.9-1.9-3.9
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Charlottetown vs Saint John+1.7+0.3+0.3-1.1-1.1-1.0
Cape Breton vs Acadie-Bathurst-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Shawinigan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inJean RougeauChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718Count
98290-00In100.0%100026,445
97280-10In99.610001,126
96281-00In99.39915,790*
95271-10In98.699117,650*
94261-20In97.497354,544*
93262-10In95.49550129,232*
92252-20In92.39280302,406*
91253-10In87.788120595,513*
90243-20In81.88218001,132,550*
89244-10In73.87426001,906,077*
88234-20In64.26435103,095,467*
87235-10In53.05344304,570,823*
86225-20In41.14153606,501,005*
85215-30In29.3296010008,535,686*
84216-20In19.11964170010,815,672*
83206-30In11.11163260012,782,007*
82207-20In5.6657370014,583,763*
81197-30In2.42494800015,631,836*
80198-20In0.91396000016,206,476*
79188-30In0.30307000015,863,297*
78189-20In0.10217900015,032,428*
77179-30In0.0014860000013,504,762*
761710-20In0.008910000011,753,677*
751610-30In0.00594010009,723,329*
741611-20In0.00396011007,789,956*
731511-30InNo195021005,951,744*
721512-20InNo194033004,407,489*
711412-30InNo090046003,111,518*
701413-20InNo085041000002,133,708*
691313-30InNo07851701001,393,404*
681314-20InNo069425020000883,527*
671214-30InNo058435040000533,897*
661215-20InNo46344070000314,295*
651115-30InNo34251121000175,338*
641116-20InNo2415419300095,332*
631016-30InNo14052266001049,260*
621017-20InNo80453012014024,755*
61917-30InNo30343122019011,863*
60918-20InNo10242632115105,468*
59818-30InNo1141738123502,443*
58819-20InNo069430301111,082*
57820-10InNo3537292240399*
56720-20InNo1225223991165*
55620-30InNo114194222374*
54621-20InNo10142448521*
53521-30InNo3838258*
52522-20InNo80205*
51422-30InNo1002
50322-40InNo1001
40029-00InNo0297126,209
Total:In9.4%932570010000000000189,683,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs