"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Jean Rougeau Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rouyn-Noranda vs Blainville-Boisbriand+2.3+0.4+0.4-2.7-2.7-2.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Jean Rougeau Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlottetown vs Saint John-8.7-3.1-3.1+5.1+5.1+5.5
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Shawinigan vs Victoriaville-0.7-0.7-0.7+1.1+1.1+2.0
Cape Breton vs Acadie-Bathurst-0.8-0.9-0.9+0.8+0.8+1.8
-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Rouyn-Noranda vs Sherbrooke-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saint John finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inJean RougeauChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718Count
101-105InYes10098,315*
100282-10In100.0%1000115,262*
99272-20In100.01000267,563*
98273-10In100.01000522,702*
97263-20In100.01000992,878*
96264-10In100.0100001,670,354*
95254-20In99.9100002,717,773*
94255-10In99.8100004,028,505*
93245-20In99.51000005,763,256*
92235-30In98.9991007,640,061*
91236-20In97.89820009,767,533*
90226-30In95.896401011,692,552*
89227-20In92.392601013,530,052*
88217-30In86.186100306,852,697
228-10In87.487100307,910,293*
87218-20In80.280140507,973,157
207-40In77.377160707,611,475*
86208-30In66.96721111007,299,899
219-10In68.96920110008,290,603*
85209-20In57.457252150007,547,846
198-40In52.753262190107,560,039*
84199-30In39.540294260106,553,019
2010-10In41.942293250107,377,405*
831910-20In27.4272953503012,441,226*
821810-30In16.11626745060010,604,259*
811811-20In8.2820852012008,771,699*
801711-30In3.53138541020006,929,148*
791712-20In1.2177512031105,316,031*
781612-30In0.3034433042403,905,655*
771613-20In0.10123140530802,785,183*
761513-30In0.00012050581611,901,550*
751514-20In0.000010405702621,262,325*
741414-30In0.0000530500375804,229*
731415-20InNo002204004710497,604*
721315-30InNo01102805318293,442*
711316-20InNo0001805328169,086*
701216-30InNo000110503993,093*
691217-20InNo0006004252049,700*
681117-30InNo0303364025,806*
671118-20InNo102673012,976*
661018-30InNo10178206,128*
651019-20InNo00118802,857*
64919-30InNo79211,234*
63920-20InNo5941514*
62820-30InNo4915190*
61821-20InNo18812104*
60721-30InNo10815521*
59722-20InNo838812*
58723-10InNo75254*
43031-00InNo1217826,209
Total:In59.5%5914217006001000000189,683,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs