"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Windsor 4 Sault Ste. Marie 3 (ot)-0.3
-0.0
Peterborough 5 Owen Sound 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Erie vs Niagara-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+1.2
Guelph vs Sault Ste. Marie-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Kitchener vs London+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Sault Ste. Marie finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHamiltonChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsSpectator Trophy12345678910Count
10280-0In9.7%1090146,734,528
10170-1In2.7397151,981,782
10071-0In0.9199471,351,746
60-2In0.619966,909,484
9961-1In0.10100415,017,840
50-3In0.1010016,370,845
9862-0In0.00100643,633,083
51-2In0.00100152,293,027
40-4In0.001002,441,409
9752-1In0.0099011472,369,824
41-3In0.009901130,295,780
30-5In0.0099001227,731
9653-0In0.0097012488,528,250
42-2In0.0097012140,952,853
31-4In0.00970123,536,430
20-6InNo9102712,976
9543-1In0.0090018291,485,688
32-3In0.009001821,939,163
21-5InNo90019243,318
10-7InNo83116433
9444-0In0.00820116226,124,624
33-2InNo82011768,073,249
22-4InNo8201171,884,762
11-6InNo711289,110
00-8InNo50506
9334-1InNo670132105,618,054
23-3InNo6701327,794,646
12-5InNo6703285,091
01-7InNo55144133
9235-0InNo54004565,563,831
24-2InNo54004518,135,446
13-4InNo540046437,399
02-6InNo410591,579
9125-1InNo37006322,517,427
14-3InNo3700631,360,496
03-5InNo370639,646
9026-0InNo25007511,654,044
15-2InNo250752,533,770
04-4InNo2507537,311
8916-1InNo140862,621,272
05-3InNo1408693,317
8817-0InNo80921,163,221
06-2InNo8092144,663
8707-1InNo3097128,633
8608-0InNo1981553,920
Total:In0.6%19400504,052,871,840
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs