How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Niagara 1 Kitchener 4 +5.5
+0.1
North Bay 3 Barrie 4 (ot)-3.7
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mississauga vs North Bay-7.1+3.2+3.2+12.5+12.5+12.5
-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Erie vs Niagara+3.1-3.5-3.5-9.5-9.6-9.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Kingston vs Ottawa+3.0-0.5-0.5-3.4-3.4-3.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Flint vs Sudbury+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the North Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHamiltonChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsSpectator Trophy12345678910Count
6580-0InNo098205,868,063
6470-1InNo0928014,142,452
6371-0100.0%No83160043,843,350
60-2100.0No78221015,867,160
6261-1100.0No63342098,470,080
50-3100.0No5342409,951,496
6162-099.9No464770152,698,319
51-299.9No38539092,540,959
40-499.7No24601603,809,966
6052-199.3No2359181287,002,504
41-398.8No155925147,286,126
30-597.6No657342916,115
5953-097.1No1154333296,686,111
42-296.3No754354219,957,373
31-493.9No34645614,208,228
20-690.9No141509134,591
5843-189.8No2404810454,700,997
32-386.5No133521388,115,147
21-580.6No02555192,511,854
10-773.9No21532611,296
5744-077.2No1235323352,575,739
33-274.5No0215326273,257,357
22-467.9No015533219,490,293
11-660.3No114940243,487
00-854.9No94645439
5634-157.4No0104743423,819,150
23-351.6No07444880,616,475
12-542.4No438582,258,447
01-732.4No3306810,091
5535-037.7No043462262,890,289
24-234.7No0331650187,505,383
13-428.1No22672011,682,494
02-620.5No119790107,583
5425-119.8No119800232,650,445
14-315.6No11584036,241,728
03-59.5No09900667,420
5326-08.6No08910120,282,989
15-27.0No0793067,462,794
04-44.2No049502,582,357
5216-12.7No0397069,759,453
05-31.4No019716,415,461
5117-00.5No0198130,928,792
06-20.2No09739,951,856
5007-10.1No09648,822,531
4908-0OutNo9193,926,600
Total:68.6%No0927333104,052,871,840
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
North Bay 3 Barrie 4 (ot)+0.2
Niagara 1 Kitchener 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Mississauga vs North Bay+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.7-0.7-0.7
Kingston vs Ottawa-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Erie vs Niagara-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Flint vs Sudbury-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234567891011121314151617181920
6580-0098200
6470-1092800
6371-083160000
60-278220100
6261-163340200
50-35342400
6162-046477000
51-238539000
40-424601600
6052-1235918000
41-3155925100
30-565734110
5953-0115433120
42-275435220
31-434645330
20-614150360
5843-124048370
32-313352490
21-5025555140
10-721535210
5744-0123534190
33-2021534210
22-4015535271
11-611494351
00-89465400
5634-1010473381
23-307444422
12-54384513
01-73303623
5535-004342564
24-2033125760
13-422626370
02-611917080
5425-1119167130
14-3115168160
03-509173170
5326-008071210
15-207065280
04-404065300
5216-10357400
05-30152461
5117-00148511
06-2038602
5007-1026713
4908-017767
Total:092703322540