How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Niagara 1 Kitchener 4 -11.2
-0.2
North Bay 3 Barrie 4 (ot)+2.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Erie vs Niagara-5.7+6.1+6.1+17.7+17.7+17.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Mississauga vs North Bay+5.0-2.4-2.4-8.6-8.6-8.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kingston vs Ottawa+3.7-0.8-0.7-4.2-4.2-4.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Flint vs Sudbury+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.6-0.6-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Niagara finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHamiltonChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsSpectator Trophy12345678910Count
6680-0InNo09280804,751
6570-1InNo0811901,588,163
6471-0100.0%No7128104,924,572
60-2100.0No6732103,424,848
6361-1100.0No52453021,250,187
50-3100.0No4948403,932,849
6251-299.9No33589036,563,343
62-099.9No38548032,937,969
40-499.8No30591002,617,160
6152-199.2No1861201113,392,620
41-399.0No166221132,436,974
30-598.7No14622211,030,496
6042-296.0No753364150,927,654
53-096.8No954333117,228,730
31-495.2No65337515,987,429
20-694.1No451386235,137
5943-188.5No2384812312,051,834
32-386.7No237491399,162,957
21-584.5No13449154,371,791
10-781.4No131501928,041
5833-273.2No0215227307,524,444
44-076.1No1235324241,945,789
22-470.2No019513033,882,300
11-666.0No0174934613,439
00-863.0No1548371,351
5734-155.1No0104545476,945,724
23-351.5No094348140,105,490
12-546.9No0740535,709,132
01-740.4No5356034,288
5624-234.2No033166325,878,310
35-037.7No043462295,807,484
13-430.0No03287029,501,360
02-624.6No22375372,037
5525-119.2No118810404,319,678
14-316.1No11584091,474,053
03-512.1No0128802,304,812
5426-09.8No010900209,006,613
15-27.8No08920170,265,190
04-45.3No059508,927,228
5316-12.9No03970176,039,178
05-31.7No0298022,167,198
5217-01.0No0198178,008,112
06-20.4No0099134,366,244
5107-10.1No098230,460,274
5008-0OutNo95512,314,607
Total:50.1%No0316315004,052,871,840
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Niagara 1 Kitchener 4 +0.5
North Bay 3 Barrie 4 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Erie vs Niagara+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.8-0.8-0.8
Mississauga vs North Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Kingston vs Ottawa-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Flint vs Sudbury-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Guelph vs Sault Ste. Marie+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234567891011121314151617181920
6680-0092800
6570-10811900
6471-07128010
60-26732010
6361-152450300
50-349480400
6251-233589000
62-03854800
40-430591000
6152-1186120100
41-3166221100
30-514622211
6042-275336220
53-095433210
31-465337230
20-645138330
5943-123848470
32-323749490
21-5134495110
10-7131506130
5833-2021525220
44-0123536180
22-4019515240
11-6017496280
00-815486310
5734-1010455391
23-309434441
12-507404481
01-75355531
5624-203312603
35-004344563
13-403282643
02-62233694
5525-111817180
14-311517490
03-501217890
5426-0010073170
15-208074180
04-405076180
5316-10366310
05-30267310
5217-00153460
06-20053470
5107-1037621
5008-022743
Total:031603134070