How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Peterborough 5 Owen Sound 4 (ot)+0.8
Windsor 4 Sault Ste. Marie 3 (ot)+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Erie vs Niagara+1.3+1.3+1.3-3.5-3.5-9.8
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Kitchener vs London+3.0+1.2+1.2-1.4-1.4-1.4
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Guelph vs Sault Ste. Marie+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Erie finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHamiltonChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsSpectator Trophy12345678910Count
105-109InYes1002,347,254,667*
10462-1In98.4%982444,962,519
51-3In97.597324,794,311
40-5In96.5964162,947
10363-0In96.2964460,234,814
52-2In94.5946115,346,780
41-4In92.99372,535,757
30-6In78.578228,360
10253-1In83.183116238,630,763
42-3In68.569326215,727,445
31-5In65.8663292157,246
20-7In54.8552394279
10154-0In63.4633313185,142,403
43-2In58.959335348,812,501
32-4In49.14954061,221,896
21-6In34.735352105,817
10-8In33.33333333
10044-1In36.436550975,746,276
33-3In21.221651215,052,897
22-5In18.2186522453,960
11-7In12.81354834117
9945-0In16.7176522647,023,138
34-2In14.3145532711,763,516
23-4In8.6954938279,473
12-6In5.15349421,286
01-8InNo1001
9835-1In5.054484314,603,396
24-3In2.0233560868,418
13-5In1.312336307,751
02-7InNo366411
9736-0In1.112316617,555,666
25-2In0.912306711,614,915
14-4In0.4012276130,526
03-6InNo1582394
9626-1In0.101197831,672,583
15-3In0.0001185475,701
04-5InNo78211408
9527-0In0.00078112744,635
16-2In0.00078013118,215
05-4InNo483141,222
9417-1In0.00037324104,789
06-3InNo173262,686
9318-0InNo01564440,462
07-2InNo153463,473
9208-1InNo039602,747
9109-0InNo02278504,970
Total:In92.7%9306104,052,871,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs