"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Kitchener 4 Windsor 3 (so)+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Sault Ste. Marie vs Flint-1.4-1.4-1.4+1.7+1.7+3.6
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
London vs Sarnia-0.7-0.7-0.7+1.0+1.0+2.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Erie finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHamiltonChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsSpectator Trophy12345678910Count
113260-0InYes10043,473
112250-1In99.9%100017,566
111251-0In99.9100084,357*
110241-1In99.710000214,347*
109231-2In99.39910600,625*
108232-1In98.398201,211,060*
107222-2In96.697302,510,531*
106223-1In93.4935104,220,169*
105213-2In88.7899207,094,882*
104214-1In81.181145010,232,828*
103204-2In71.3711990014,593,111*
102205-1In58.45826160018,431,461*
101195-2In44.64531241022,881,403*
100196-1In33.23333312013,444,688
185-3In27.72834353012,214,875*
99186-2In18.81933416015,914,006
197-0In19.01933426012,307,356*
98187-1In11.511304612114,113,910
176-3In8.69284715114,294,123*
97177-2In4.652347232015,638,382
166-4In4.752347242012,352,819*
96178-1In2.221843335012,132,249
167-3In1.411540377013,326,962*
95168-2In0.6110334412012,538,656
157-4In0.6110324512010,110,426*
94169-1In0.206235022018,722,698*
93159-2In0.003144934015,138,429*
921510-1In0.00184347011,420,786*
911410-2In0.00143560108,424,967*
901411-1In0.00022570305,806,055*
891311-2In0.00011777603,922,105*
881312-1InNo0011791002,479,833*
871212-2InNo006791501,530,592*
861213-1InNo00374220889,233*
851113-2InNo00268310503,497*
841114-1InNo0159400267,287*
831014-2InNo050501138,676*
821015-1InNo040591067,843*
81915-2InNo031673032,270*
80916-1InNo022725014,307*
79816-2InNo1576906,354*
78817-1InNo10751412,448*
77717-2InNo471241991*
76718-1InNo162325330*
75618-2InNo252406117*
74619-1InNo33164336*
73519-2InNo23621513*
72419-3InNo60405*
71521-0InNo1001
61026-042.1%No042481038,542
Total:100.0%23.4%231927191210000309,931,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Kitchener 4 Windsor 3 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
London vs Sarnia+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Sault Ste. Marie vs Flint+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234567891011121314151617181920
113260-0100
112250-11000
111251-01000
110241-110000
109231-29910
108232-19820
107222-29730
106223-193510
105213-2890920
104214-18101450
103204-271019900
102205-1580261600
101195-2450312410
100196-1330333120
185-3280343530
99186-2190334160
197-0190334260
98187-11103046121
176-3902847151
97177-25023472320
166-450234702420
96178-12018433350
167-310154003770
95168-2101033044120
157-4101032045120
94169-1006023050220
93159-2003014049340
921510-100108043470
911410-2001040356010
901411-100020257030
891311-200101707760
881312-100011079100
871212-20006079150
861213-10003074220
851113-20002068310
841114-101059400
831014-20050501
821015-1004005910
81915-203106730
80916-1002207250
79816-21507690
78817-110075141
77717-24071241
76718-11062325
75618-2252406
74619-1331643
73519-2236215
72419-36040
71521-0100
61026-00636302440
Total:230190270190120100000000