SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Plays at San Jose, playoff odds down 4 to 46.4%

0 points 0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose vs Tampa Bay	-7.7+7.7		-0.8+0.8
Calgary vs Washington	+0.7-0.7
Detroit vs Colorado	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Quebec City	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Columbus vs St. Louis	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Vegas vs Montreal	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Pittsburgh	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Arizona	+7.6-7.6		+0.8-0.8
St. Louis vs Boston	+0.7-0.7		+0.1-0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver	-0.7+0.7		-0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Columbus	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Washington vs Chicago	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Florida	-0.6+0.6
Ottawa vs Toronto	-0.3+0.3
Dallas vs New York R	+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

36	-38				In		100																100	*
34		17	-	2	In		100	0															284
32		16	-	3	In		99	1															1,582
30		15	-	4	In		94	6	0		0												6,080
28		14	-	5	In		78	20	2	0	1												18,345
26		13	-	6	In		32	40	15	1	11	1	0	0									43,007
24		12	-	7	99.9	%	2	11	19	7	35	19	5	1	0	0	0						80,100
22		11	-	8	96.0		0	1	4	7	20	30	23	11	3	1	0	0	0				120,004
20		10	-	9	56.2				0	6	1	7	17	25	24	14	5	1	0	0			146,528
18		9	-	10	16.7				0	6	0	0	2	8	18	26	23	12	4	1	0		147,272
16		8	-	11	5.7					5		0	0	0	1	6	15	26	26	15	4	0	120,740
14		7	-	12	5.6					6					0	0	2	9	23	33	22	5	79,986
12		6	-	13	5.5					5							0	0	2	14	38	40	43,417
10		5	-	14	5.4					5									0	1	16	77	18,653
8		4	-	15	5.8					6										0	4	90	6,128
6		3	-	16	6.5					7											1	92	1,499
4		2	-	17	4.0					4												96	274
2		1	-	18	6.3					6												94	32
0		0	-	19	1.5					2												98	65

Total:					46.4	%	4	4	3	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	5	5	834,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs