New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Lost to Ottawa 0-1, Beat Ottawa 145-89, Lost to Ottawa 0-1, Beat Ottawa 2-1, Lost to Ottawa 38-61, Lost to Ottawa 78-102, Beat Ottawa 15-13, Lost to Ottawa 144-166, Lost to Ottawa 46-53, Lost to Ottawa 9-13, Lost to Ottawa 28-29, Beat Ottawa 21-19, playoff odds down 40.6 to 8.9%

8 points 4-8

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vegas vs Montreal	+0.5-0.5		+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Quebec City	-0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Pittsburgh	+0.5-0.5		+0.1-0.1
Columbus vs St. Louis	-0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Colorado	-0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Tampa Bay	+0.5-0.5		+0.1-0.1
Calgary vs Washington	+0.4-0.4		+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey vs New York I	-4.1+1.6		-0.6+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Florida	-0.8+0.2		-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles	-0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Boston	+0.5-0.5		+0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Arizona	-0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver	-0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1
Washington vs Chicago	-0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Columbus	+0.4-0.4		+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the New York I finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

44	18	-	0	In		1	13	39	35	11	1											178
42	17	-	1	In				17	67	17												18
40	16	-	2	In			0	7	35	38	16	4										222
38	15	-	3	In				2	26	50	19	4										1,812
36	14	-	4	99.0	%			0	7	31	36	19	5	1	0							8,484
34	13	-	5	85.5				0	1	7	22	32	24	11	3	1	0	0				30,821
32	12	-	6	83.0				0	0	6	20	31	26	13	4	1	0	0	0			84,729
30	11	-	7	36.2				0	0	0	3	11	23	29	22	10	3	0	0			180,024
28	10	-	8	4.6					0	0	0	1	4	13	25	29	20	7	1	0		305,664
26	9	-	9	4.0					0	0	0	1	3	12	24	30	22	8	1	0		413,006
24	8	-	10	0.1					0		0	0	0	1	5	17	32	32	13	0		443,676
22	7	-	11	0.0					0				0	0	0	2	14	39	43	1	0	376,241
20	6	-	12	0.0									0	0	0	2	12	36	45	5	0	253,275
18	5	-	13	Out											0	0	1	15	62	21	1	132,209
16	4	-	14	Out											0	0	1	9	46	38	6	52,435
14	3	-	15	Out														1	21	52	26	15,054
12	2	-	16	Out															4	40	57	2,882
10	1	-	17	Out															0	15	85	391
8	0	-	18	Out																0	100	207

Total:				8.9	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4	7	10	14	17	20	20	3	0	2,301,328

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/14	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Jersey vs New York I	+1.4-0.5
Pittsburgh vs Florida	+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs New York R	+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

44	18	-	0		1	11	2	39		35		11		1
42	17	-	1					17		67		17
40	16	-	2				0	7		35		38		16		4
38	15	-	3					1	0	26	0	49	1	19		4
36	14	-	4					0	0	7	0	24	7	35	1	18	0	5		1	0
34	13	-	5						0	0	0	1	6	10	12	26	6	23	1	11	3	1	0	0
32	12	-	6					0	0	0	0	1	5	8	12	25	7	25	1	13	4	1	0	0	0
30	11	-	7						0	0	0		0	0	3	1	10	7	16	20	23	15	5	1	0	0
28	10	-	8								0		0		0		1	0	4	0	3	9	18	24	21	13	5	1	0	0	0
26	9	-	9							0			0		0	0	1	0	3	0	2	8	17	24	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
24	8	-	10							0					0		0		0		0	0	0	1	4	12	22	27	21	10	2	0	0
22	7	-	11								0								0					0	0	0	1	6	18	32	31	12	0	0
20	6	-	12																0						0	0	1	4	16	31	32	15	1	0
18	5	-	13																								0	0	1	6	26	47	18	2	0
16	4	-	14																									0	0	3	16	39	32	9	1
14	3	-	15																											0	1	13	39	37	9
12	2	-	16																												0	1	13	48	38
10	1	-	17																														2	26	73
8	0	-	18																															3	97

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	6	8	8	7	6	7	9	11	11	7	2	1	0