How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Quebec City-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Tampa Bay+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Calgary vs Washington+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Pittsburgh+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Colorado-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Vegas vs Montreal+0.2-0.2
Columbus vs St. Louis-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Jersey vs New York I+2.8-2.8
+0.6-0.6
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Washington vs Chicago-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Arizona-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Columbus+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Boston+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Florida-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Anaheim-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
4218-0In5538665
4017-1In193234310168
3816-2In8234551450519
3615-399.5%052362923103002,658
3414-486.904210212821103009,865
3213-577.2011516272616610027,320
3012-625.00001717262615610058,920
2811-71.8000002617272716510101,536
2610-80.80001412232821920139,512
249-90.0000015152931173154,261
228-100.00000210294119139,031
207-110.000015214230101,221
186-120.000005316459,088
165-130.00003247327,189
144-140.0009919,658
123-15Out02982,580
102-16Out199470
81-17Out10065
60-181.419970
Total:6.1%000001234691213161816834,096
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/14None
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs New York I-1.2+1.2
Pittsburgh vs Florida+0.1-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
4218-031253536
4017-14152112343101
3816-2351310423514050
3615-301511126023622110300
3414-4004201991223520110300
3213-50011005610207251156100
3012-600000106412162420103100
2811-70000000201412212419114100
2610-800000100281623231683100
249-90000000138172524156100
228-100000029213025112
207-110000014142731195
186-1200015204133
165-1300002144043
144-140021979
123-150595
102-16496
81-17298
60-18199
Total:0000000000011111222457765678101096