Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Lost to Florida 0-1, Lost to Florida 42-85, Beat Florida 1-0, Lost to Florida 1-2, Lost to Florida 16-52, Lost to Florida 23-87, Beat Florida 6-1, Lost to Florida 58-107, Lost to Florida 22-39, Lost to Florida 0-1, Lost to Florida 7-15, Lost to Florida 4-7, playoff odds down 47 to 2.3%

4 points 2-10

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary vs Washington	+0.1-0.1
Columbus vs St. Louis	-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Quebec City	-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Colorado	-0.1+0.1
Vegas vs Montreal	+0.1-0.1
San Jose vs Tampa Bay	+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Pittsburgh	+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina vs Anaheim	+1.1-1.1		+0.4-0.4
Colorado vs Columbus	+0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles	-0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver	-0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Boston	+0.1-0.1
Washington vs Chicago	-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Arizona	-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Florida	-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs New York R	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

40	18	-	0	In		26	45	28		2												65
38	17	-	1	In		10	45	37	4	2	2											49
36	16	-	2	99.8	%	1	9	29	7	21	22	9	2		0							518
34	15	-	3	88.4		0	0	6	4	9	22	28	18	9	3	0						2,567
32	14	-	4	78.6			0	3	2	5	16	27	26	15	5	1	0					9,644
30	13	-	5	26.1				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	25	15	6	1	0	0		27,112
28	12	-	6	2.0				0	0	0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	16	5	1	0	58,959
26	11	-	7	0.8				0	0		0	0	1	4	12	22	28	21	9	2	0	101,416
24	10	-	8	0.0					0			0	0	0	1	4	14	28	31	18	4	139,525
22	9	-	9	0.0					0					0	0	0	1	8	26	40	24	155,119
20	8	-	10	0.0					0						0	0	1	5	19	41	34	139,353
18	7	-	11	0.0					0							0	0	0	4	27	68	100,772
16	6	-	12	0.0					0								0	0	3	23	74	59,020
14	5	-	13	Out															0	8	92	27,236
12	4	-	14	Out															0	2	98	9,583
10	3	-	15	Out																1	99	2,538
8	2	-	16	Out																1	99	494
6	1	-	17	Out																	100	57
4	0	-	18	1.4					1												99	69

Total:				2.3	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	8	11	16	23	29	834,096

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/14	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina vs Anaheim	-1.0+1.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

40	18	-	0	3	23	31	14	28				2
38	17	-	1	6	4	29	16	35	2	4		2		2
36	16	-	2		1	1	8	16	13	7		16	4	22	1	9		2			0
34	15	-	3		0		0	0	6	3	1	1	8	11	12	24	4	18	0	9	3	0
32	14	-	4				0	0	3	2	1	1	5	6	9	21	5	25	1	15	5	1	0
30	13	-	5					0	0	0	0		0	0	2	0	6	4	12	17	24	20	10	3	1	0	0
28	12	-	6						0	0	0		0		0		0		2	0	1	5	13	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
26	11	-	7						0	0	0				0		0		1	0	0	2	8	16	23	23	16	8	2	1	0	0
24	10	-	8							0	0						0		0				0	0	1	3	8	17	25	24	15	6	2	0	0
22	9	-	9								0															0	0	0	2	8	20	29	26	12	2
20	8	-	10								0															0	0	0	1	4	13	26	31	19	5
18	7	-	11								0																		0	0	1	4	19	41	35
16	6	-	12								0																			0	0	3	14	40	44
14	5	-	13																													0	1	18	80
12	4	-	14																														0	5	95
10	3	-	15																															3	97
8	2	-	16																															1	99
6	1	-	17																																100
4	0	-	18								1																								99

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	4	5	5	4	4	5	6	9	12	14	14	13