SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Plays Quebec City, playoff odds down 3.7 to 46.9%

0 points 0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo vs Quebec City	+7.5-7.5		+0.8-0.8
San Jose vs Tampa Bay	+0.7-0.8		+0.1-0.1
Columbus vs St. Louis	-0.7+0.7		-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Colorado	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Pittsburgh	+0.6-0.6
Vegas vs Montreal	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1
Calgary vs Washington	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo vs Detroit	+9.4-9.4		+0.9-0.9
Washington vs Chicago	-0.8+0.8		-0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Columbus	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Boston	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Arizona	-0.6+0.6
Ottawa vs Toronto	-0.5+0.5
Pittsburgh vs Florida	-0.4+0.4
Dallas vs New York R	+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

36	-38				In		100																92	*
34		17	-	2	In		100	0															269
32		16	-	3	In		99	1															1,551
30		15	-	4	In		95	5	0		0												6,138
28		14	-	5	In		79	19	1	0	1	0											18,514
26		13	-	6	In		32	40	15	1	10	1	0										43,695
24		12	-	7	99.9	%	2	11	20	8	35	18	5	1	0	0							80,082
22		11	-	8	96.5		0	1	4	8	21	30	22	10	3	1	0	0					119,935
20		10	-	9	57.6				0	6	1	7	17	26	23	13	5	1	0	0			146,665
18		9	-	10	17.1				0	6	0	0	2	9	19	26	22	12	4	1	0		147,202
16		8	-	11	5.9					6		0	0	0	1	6	15	26	26	15	4	0	119,700
14		7	-	12	5.8					6				0	0	0	2	9	23	33	23	5	80,227
12		6	-	13	5.7					6							0	0	2	13	38	41	43,239
10		5	-	14	5.7					6									0	1	15	79	18,709
8		4	-	15	6.0					6										0	5	89	6,220
6		3	-	16	5.6					6											1	93	1,511
4		2	-	17	5.2					5												95	251
2		1	-	18	16.7					17												83	30
0		0	-	19	1.5					2												98	66

Total:					46.9	%	5	4	3	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	5	5	834,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs