Sturgeon Falls Lumberjacks Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.03%

17 points 8 19-1 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Average seed
Orangeville 5 Tottenham 12	+0.1
Colborne 3 Meaford 7	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Average seed
Haliburton vs Sturgeon Falls	-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Sturgeon Falls finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Top	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	Count

45	14	0		-	0	0		60.4	%	No														0	18	42	30	8	1	0													42,898
44	13	0		-	1	0		27.4		No														0	4	23	38	26	7	1	0												64,469
43	13	1		-	0	0		10.7		No														0	1	10	29	35	19	5	1	0											303,232	*
42	12	1		-	1	0		2.4		No														0	0	2	14	32	32	16	4	0											733,604	*
41	12	2		-	0	0		0.4		No															0	0	4	19	34	29	12	2	0										1,977,342	*
40	11	2		-	1	0		0.0		No															0	0	1	7	24	36	26	6	0	0									3,736,565	*
39	10	2		-	2	0		0.0		No																0	0	2	10	30	39	18	1	0									3,850,593
	11	3		-	0	0		0.0		No																0	0	2	12	31	38	16	1	0									3,489,614	*
38	10	3		-	1	0		0.0		No																0	0	0	4	19	42	33	3	0									7,968,427
	9	2		-	3	0		0.0		No																0	0	0	3	17	41	35	3	0									3,358,639	*
37	9	3		-	2	0		Out		No																	0	0	1	7	32	49	10	0									9,715,226
	10	4		-	0	0		Out		No																	0	0	1	9	34	47	9	0									6,178,957
	8	2		-	4	0		Out		No																	0	0	1	7	31	50	11	0									1,792,054	*
36	9	4		-	1	0		Out		No																	0	0	0	2	20	54	21	2									15,059,367
	8	3		-	3	0		Out		No																		0	0	2	19	54	23	2									7,789,286	*
35	8	4		-	2	0		Out		No																		0	0	0	8	46	38	7									16,520,143
	9	5		-	0	0		Out		No																		0	0	1	10	48	36	6									9,342,451
	7	3		-	4	0		Out		No																		0	0	0	8	46	39	7									3,661,614	*
34	8	5		-	1	0		Out		No																		0	0	0	3	34	48	15	0								20,493,620
	7	4		-	3	0		Out		No																			0	0	3	32	49	16	0								11,973,827	*
33	7	5		-	2	0		Out		No																			0	0	1	18	51	31	0								19,987,577
	8	6		-	0	0		Out		No																			0	0	1	20	51	28	0								10,594,528
	6	4		-	4	0		Out		No																				0	1	17	51	32	0								4,881,159	*
32	7	6		-	1	0		Out		No																				0	0	9	45	46	1								20,668,020
	6	5		-	3	0		Out		No																				0	0	8	43	48	1								11,372,248
	5	4		-	5	0		Out		No																				0	0	8	43	48	1								1,392,844	*
31	6	6		-	2	0		Out		No																				0	0	3	30	64	2								17,636,058
	7	7		-	0	0		Out		No																				0	0	3	33	62	2								9,161,241
	5	5		-	4	0		Out		No																					0	3	29	65	3								4,441,793	*
30	6	7		-	1	0		Out		No																					0	1	19	73	7	0							15,666,146	*
	5	6		-	3	0		Out		No																					0	1	18	73	8	0	0						9,615,172	*
29	5	7		-	2	0		Out		No																					0	0	8	75	16	0	0						11,429,109
	6	8		-	0	0		Out		No																					0	0	10	76	14	0	0						6,226,060	*
	4	6		-	4	0		Out		No																						0	8	74	18	0	0						2,623,020	*
28	5	8		-	1	0		Out		No																						0	4	66	29	1	0	0					8,871,419
	4	7		-	3	0		Out		No																						0	3	63	33	2	0						5,174,612	*
27	4	8		-	2	0		Out		No																						0	1	49	45	5	0	0					5,404,474
	5	9		-	0	0		Out		No																						0	1	50	44	5	0	0					4,250,825	*
26	4	9		-	1	0		Out		No																						0	0	29	54	15	1	0	0				3,727,636
	3	8		-	3	0		Out		No																						0	0	25	56	18	2	0	0				1,925,441	*
25	3	9		-	2	0		Out		No																							0	12	50	31	6	0	0	0			1,816,171
	4	10		-	0	0		Out		No																							0	14	51	29	6	0	0	0			1,489,524	*
24	3	10		-	1	0		Out		No																							0	3	31	42	20	4	0	0			1,601,287	*
23	2	10		-	2	0		Out		No																								1	14	37	34	12	2	0			786,166	*
22	2	11		-	1	0		Out		No																								0	3	19	39	29	9	1			302,020	*
21	2	12		-	0	0		Out		No																								0	1	8	28	39	21	4	0		121,003	*
20	1	12		-	1	0		Out		No																									0	1	12	36	37	13	0		34,300	*
19	1	13		-	0	0		Out		No																										0	5	24	45	26	0		10,651	*
18	0	13		-	1	0		Out		No																											0	12	41	44	2		1,783
17	0	14		-	0	0		Out		No																										0	0	5	30	58	7		24,409

Total:								0.0	%	No														0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	20	27	33	6	1	0	0	0	0	0		309,288,624

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Orangeville 5 Tottenham 12	-0.1
Colborne 3 Meaford 7	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Haliburton vs Sturgeon Falls	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3

What If

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

45	14	0		-	0	0															0	18	42	30	8	1	0
44	13	0		-	1	0															0	4	23	38	26	7	1	0
43	13	1		-	0	0															0	1	10	29	35	19	5	1	0
42	12	1		-	1	0															0	0	2	14	32	32	16	4	0
41	12	2		-	0	0																0	0	4	19	34	29	12	2	0
40	11	2		-	1	0																0	0	1	7	24	36	26	6	0	0
39	10	2		-	2	0																	0	0	2	10	30	39	18	1	0
	11	3		-	0	0																	0	0	2	12	31	38	16	1	0
38	10	3		-	1	0																	0	0	0	4	19	42	33	3	0
	9	2		-	3	0																	0	0	0	3	17	41	35	3	0
37	9	3		-	2	0																		0	0	1	7	32	49	10	0
	10	4		-	0	0																		0	0	1	9	34	47	9	0
	8	2		-	4	0																		0	0	1	7	31	50	11	0
36	9	4		-	1	0																		0	0	0	2	20	54	21	2
	8	3		-	3	0																			0	0	2	19	54	23	2
35	8	4		-	2	0																			0	0	0	8	46	38	7
	9	5		-	0	0																			0	0	1	10	48	36	6
	7	3		-	4	0																			0	0	0	8	46	39	7
34	8	5		-	1	0																			0	0	0	3	34	48	15	0
	7	4		-	3	0																				0	0	3	32	49	16	0
33	7	5		-	2	0																				0	0	1	18	51	31	0
	8	6		-	0	0																				0	0	1	20	51	28	0
	6	4		-	4	0																					0	1	17	51	32	0
32	7	6		-	1	0																					0	0	9	45	46	1
	6	5		-	3	0																					0	0	8	43	48	1
	5	4		-	5	0																					0	0	8	43	48	1
31	6	6		-	2	0																					0	0	3	30	64	2
	7	7		-	0	0																					0	0	3	33	62	2
	5	5		-	4	0																						0	3	29	65	3
30	6	7		-	1	0																						0	1	19	73	7	0
	5	6		-	3	0																						0	1	18	73	8	0	0
29	5	7		-	2	0																						0	0	8	75	16	0	0
	6	8		-	0	0																						0	0	10	76	14	0	0
	4	6		-	4	0																							0	8	74	18	0	0
28	5	8		-	1	0																							0	4	66	29	1	0	0
	4	7		-	3	0																							0	3	63	33	2	0
27	4	8		-	2	0																							0	1	49	45	5	0	0
	5	9		-	0	0																							0	1	50	44	5	0	0
26	4	9		-	1	0																							0	0	29	54	15	1	0	0
	3	8		-	3	0																							0	0	25	56	18	2	0	0
25	3	9		-	2	0																								0	12	50	31	6	0	0	0
	4	10		-	0	0																								0	14	51	29	6	0	0	0
24	3	10		-	1	0																								0	3	31	42	20	4	0	0
23	2	10		-	2	0																									1	14	37	34	12	2	0
22	2	11		-	1	0																									0	3	19	39	29	9	1
21	2	12		-	0	0																									0	1	8	28	39	21	4	0
20	1	12		-	1	0																										0	1	12	36	37	13	0
19	1	13		-	0	0																											0	5	24	45	26	0
18	0	13		-	1	0																												0	12	41	44	2
17	0	14		-	0	0																											0	0	5	30	58	7

Total:																					0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	20	27	33	6	1	0	0	0	0	0