Bracebridge Blues Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 41%

30 points 14 14-2 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colborne 3 Meaford 7	-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Meaford vs Grey Highlands	+1.1+0.2+0.3-0.8-1.0-0.9		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Norfolk vs Niagara	+0.2*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bracebridge finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Top	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	Count

54	12	0		-	0	0		In		No									0	0	23	44	27	5	0																		99,788
53	11	0		-	1	0		In		No									0	0	8	32	41	17	2	0																	221,579
52	11	1		-	0	0		In		No										0	2	18	41	31	8	0																	685,332
	10	0		-	2	0		In		No										0	2	15	40	34	9	0																	296,103
51	10	1		-	1	0		100.0	%	No										0	0	6	29	43	21	0	0																2,078,272	*
50	10	2		-	0	0		100.0		No											0	2	16	43	37	2	0																2,849,235
	9	1		-	2	0		100.0		No											0	1	14	42	41	2	0																2,374,584	*
49	9	2		-	1	0		99.9		No											0	0	6	32	55	7	0	0															6,947,548
	8	1		-	3	0		99.8		No											0	0	5	30	57	7	0	0															1,690,365	*
48	8	2		-	2	0		98.9		No											0	0	1	16	63	19	1	0															7,621,381
	9	3		-	0	0		99.1		No											0	0	2	19	62	17	1	0	0														7,176,846
	7	1		-	4	0		98.8		No												0	1	14	63	20	1	0															814,443	*
47	8	3		-	1	0		95.6		No												0	0	7	56	32	4	0	0	0													15,761,293
	7	2		-	3	0		95.0		No												0	0	6	54	34	5	0	0	0													5,229,487	*
46	7	3		-	2	0		84.7		No												0	0	2	37	46	14	1	0	0													15,369,743
	8	4		-	0	0		86.7		No												0	0	2	39	45	13	1	0	0													12,214,115
	6	2		-	4	0		83.5		No												0	0	1	35	47	15	1	0	0													2,181,536	*
45	7	4		-	1	0		67.6		No													0	0	21	47	27	5	0	0	0												23,835,639
	6	3		-	3	0		64.9		No												0	0	0	19	46	29	6	0	0	0												8,749,257
	5	2		-	5	0		63.4		No													0	0	18	45	30	6	1	0	0												631,547	*
44	6	4		-	2	0		41.0		No													0	0	7	34	41	15	2	0	0												20,336,896
	7	5		-	0	0		45.0		No													0	0	9	36	40	13	2	0	0												14,785,454
	5	3		-	4	0		38.7		No														0	6	32	41	17	3	0	0												3,324,561	*
43	6	5		-	1	0		21.0		No														0	2	19	41	28	9	1	0	0											25,229,002
	5	4		-	3	0		18.6		No														0	2	17	40	30	10	1	0	0											9,917,454
	4	3		-	5	0		17.7		No														0	2	16	39	31	11	2	0	0											798,577	*
42	5	5		-	2	0		6.5		No														0	0	6	28	38	22	6	0	0											18,454,846
	6	6		-	0	0		8.2		No														0	0	8	31	37	19	4	0	0											13,042,805
	4	4		-	4	0		5.7		No														0	0	5	26	38	24	6	1	0											3,153,061	*
41	5	6		-	1	0		1.7		No															0	2	14	34	34	15	2	0	0										19,076,856
	4	5		-	3	0		1.4		No														0	0	1	12	32	35	17	3	0	0										7,504,311
	3	4		-	5	0		1.2		No															0	1	11	31	35	18	3	0											603,443	*
40	4	6		-	2	0		0.2		No															0	0	4	20	37	30	8	0	0										11,631,280
	5	7		-	0	0		0.3		No															0	0	6	23	38	26	7	0	0										8,453,201
	3	5		-	4	0		0.2		No															0	0	4	18	37	32	10	0	0										1,903,354	*
39	4	7		-	1	0		0.0		No															0	0	1	9	29	40	19	1	0	0									10,303,529
	3	6		-	3	0		0.0		No															0	0	1	7	27	41	22	1	0	0									4,052,039	*
38	3	7		-	2	0		0.0		No																0	0	2	15	41	36	5	0	0									5,021,590
	4	8		-	0	0		0.0		No																0	0	3	19	42	32	4	0	0									3,991,753
	2	6		-	4	0		0.0		No																0	0	2	14	39	38	6	0	0									713,749	*
37	3	8		-	1	0		0.0		No																0	0	1	6	31	48	14	1	0									3,899,008
	2	7		-	3	0		0.0		No																0	0	0	5	28	49	16	2	0									1,295,115	*
36	2	8		-	2	0		Out		No																	0	0	2	16	49	28	5	0									1,427,298
	3	9		-	0	0		Out		No																	0	0	2	19	49	25	4	0									1,495,606	*
35	2	9		-	1	0		Out		No																		0	0	7	38	40	14	2									1,220,772	*
34	2	10		-	0	0		Out		No																		0	0	2	23	43	26	5	0								559,073	*
33	1	10		-	1	0		Out		No																			0	0	10	35	40	14	0								168,710	*
32	1	11		-	0	0		Out		No																				0	4	24	44	27	1								60,164	*
31	0	11		-	1	0		Out		No																					1	11	40	46	3								10,341
30	0	12		-	0	0		Out		No																					0	4	27	58	10	0							26,683

Total:								41.0	%	No									0	0	0	0	1	4	16	20	19	15	11	8	4	1	0	0	0	0							309,288,624

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Meaford vs Grey Highlands	-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

54	12	0		-	0	0										0	0	23	44	27	5	0
53	11	0		-	1	0										0	0	8	32	41	17	2	0
52	11	1		-	0	0											0	2	18	41	31	8	0
	10	0		-	2	0											0	2	15	40	34	9	0
51	10	1		-	1	0											0	0	6	29	43	21	0	0
50	10	2		-	0	0												0	2	16	43	37	2	0
	9	1		-	2	0												0	1	14	42	41	2	0
49	9	2		-	1	0												0	0	6	32	55	7	0	0
	8	1		-	3	0												0	0	5	30	57	7	0	0
48	8	2		-	2	0												0	0	1	16	63	19	1	0
	9	3		-	0	0												0	0	2	19	62	17	1	0	0
	7	1		-	4	0													0	1	14	63	20	1	0
47	8	3		-	1	0													0	0	7	56	32	4	0	0	0
	7	2		-	3	0													0	0	6	54	34	5	0	0	0
46	7	3		-	2	0													0	0	2	37	46	14	1	0	0
	8	4		-	0	0													0	0	2	39	45	13	1	0	0
	6	2		-	4	0													0	0	1	35	47	15	1	0	0
45	7	4		-	1	0														0	0	21	47	27	5	0	0	0
	6	3		-	3	0													0	0	0	19	46	29	6	0	0	0
	5	2		-	5	0														0	0	18	45	30	6	1	0	0
44	6	4		-	2	0														0	0	7	34	41	15	2	0	0
	7	5		-	0	0														0	0	9	36	40	13	2	0	0
	5	3		-	4	0															0	6	32	41	17	3	0	0
43	6	5		-	1	0															0	2	19	41	28	9	1	0	0
	5	4		-	3	0															0	2	17	40	30	10	1	0	0
	4	3		-	5	0															0	2	16	39	31	11	2	0	0
42	5	5		-	2	0															0	0	6	28	38	22	6	0	0
	6	6		-	0	0															0	0	8	31	37	19	4	0	0
	4	4		-	4	0															0	0	5	26	38	24	6	1	0
41	5	6		-	1	0																0	2	14	34	34	15	2	0	0
	4	5		-	3	0															0	0	1	12	32	35	17	3	0	0
	3	4		-	5	0																0	1	11	31	35	18	3	0
40	4	6		-	2	0																0	0	4	20	37	30	8	0	0
	5	7		-	0	0																0	0	6	23	38	26	7	0	0
	3	5		-	4	0																0	0	4	18	37	32	10	0	0
39	4	7		-	1	0																0	0	1	9	29	40	19	1	0	0
	3	6		-	3	0																0	0	1	7	27	41	22	1	0	0
38	3	7		-	2	0																	0	0	2	15	41	36	5	0	0
	4	8		-	0	0																	0	0	3	19	42	32	4	0	0
	2	6		-	4	0																	0	0	2	14	39	38	6	0	0
37	3	8		-	1	0																	0	0	1	6	31	48	14	1	0
	2	7		-	3	0																	0	0	0	5	28	49	16	2	0
36	2	8		-	2	0																		0	0	2	16	49	28	5	0
	3	9		-	0	0																		0	0	2	19	49	25	4	0
35	2	9		-	1	0																			0	0	7	38	40	14	2
34	2	10		-	0	0																			0	0	2	23	43	26	5	0
33	1	10		-	1	0																				0	0	10	35	40	14	0
32	1	11		-	0	0																					0	4	24	44	27	1
31	0	11		-	1	0																						1	11	40	46	3
30	0	12		-	0	0																						0	4	27	58	10	0

Total:																0	0	0	0	1	4	16	20	19	15	11	8	4	1	0	0	0	0