Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 2013Beat Philadelphia 5-1, playoff odds up 11.3 to 25.6% 9 points 4 4-1 0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 5/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 | +4.5 | | | | +0.5 | | Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 | +2.2 | | | | +0.3 | | Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 | +0.2 | | | | | | NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 | +0.1 | | | | | | Ottawa 5 Buffalo 2 | +0.1 | | | | | | Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so) | *-0.1 | | | | | | NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 | *+0.1 | | | | | | New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 | -0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | New Jersey vs Tampa Bay | -4.9-0.3-0.3+5.1+5.9+6.2 | | -0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.5-0.0-0.0+0.5+0.6+0.6 | | NY Rangers vs NY Islanders | +0.3*+0.1*-0.1-0.5*-0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Buffalo vs Montreal | *-0.1-0.5-0.3*-0.1*-0.2+0.3 | | | | | | Winnipeg vs Toronto | *+0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.2-0.5+0.1 | | | | | | Philadelphia vs Florida | *-0.0-0.4-0.4*-0.2*-0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Montreal vs Boston | +0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.5-0.1 | | | | +0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Winnipeg vs Florida | *+0.0-0.4*-0.2*-0.2-0.4+0.2 | | | | | | Ottawa vs Carolina | +0.2*-0.3*-0.1*-0.2-0.4-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 73 | -87 | | In | 98.6 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 291 | * | 72 | | 30 | 6 | - | 3 | 0 | In | 88.7 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | * | 71 | | 29 | 6 | - | 4 | 0 | In | 77.9 | | 95 | 4 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 136 | * | 70 | | 28 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | In | 72.6 | | 95 | 4 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 281 | * | 69 | | 28 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | In | 62.2 | | 89 | 10 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 503 | * | 68 | | 27 | 7 | - | 5 | 0 | In | 51.3 | | 83 | 14 | 0 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,014 | * | 67 | | 27 | 8 | - | 4 | 0 | In | 37.3 | | 73 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,748 | * | 66 | | 26 | 8 | - | 5 | 0 | In | 26.0 | | 65 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2,950 | * | 65 | | 26 | 9 | - | 4 | 0 | In | 13.9 | | 50 | 34 | 4 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 5,066 | * | 64 | | 25 | 9 | - | 5 | 0 | In | 6.4 | | 37 | 38 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 8,165 | * | 63 | | 25 | 10 | - | 4 | 0 | In | 2.2 | | 24 | 39 | 12 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 12,536 | * | 62 | | 24 | 10 | - | 5 | 0 | In | 0.6 | | 13 | 36 | 17 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 18,969 | * | 61 | | 24 | 11 | - | 4 | 0 | In | 0.1 | | 6 | 28 | 23 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 27,271 | * | 60 | | 23 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | In | 0.0 | | 2 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 38,016 | * | 59 | | 23 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 10 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 51,957 | * | 58 | | 22 | 12 | - | 5 | 0 | 99.9 | | No | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 29 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 68,313 | * | 57 | | 22 | 13 | - | 4 | 0 | 99.3 | | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 86,801 | * | 56 | | 21 | 13 | - | 5 | 0 | 96.3 | | No | | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 107,356 | * | 55 | | 21 | 14 | - | 4 | 0 | 86.2 | | No | | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 127,369 | * | 54 | | 20 | 14 | - | 5 | 0 | 65.7 | | No | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 148,523 | * | 53 | | 20 | 15 | - | 4 | 0 | 44.5 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 79,178 | * | | 19 | 14 | - | 6 | 0 | 34.7 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 88,594 | * | 52 | | 19 | 15 | - | 5 | 0 | 17.5 | | No | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 182,617 | * | 51 | | 19 | 16 | - | 4 | 0 | 7.4 | | No | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | 92,362 | * | | 18 | 15 | - | 6 | 0 | 4.2 | | No | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 102,034 | * | 50 | | 18 | 16 | - | 5 | 0 | 1.4 | | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 200,193 | * | 49 | | 18 | 17 | - | 4 | 0 | 0.2 | | No | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 200,790 | * | 48 | | 17 | 17 | - | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 119,333 | * | | 16 | 16 | - | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 74,558 | * | 47 | | 17 | 18 | - | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 86,715 | * | | 16 | 17 | - | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 3 | 96,372 | * | 46 | | 16 | 18 | - | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 30 | 7 | 167,722 | * | 45 | | 16 | 19 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 14 | 148,989 | * | 44 | | 15 | 19 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 23 | 128,341 | * | 43 | | 15 | 20 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 46 | 34 | 107,607 | * | 42 | | 14 | 20 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 46 | 87,376 | * | 41 | | 14 | 21 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 57 | 68,853 | * | 40 | | 13 | 21 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 30 | 67 | 53,230 | * | 39 | | 13 | 22 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 39,031 | * | 38 | | 12 | 22 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 28,152 | * | 37 | | 12 | 23 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 19,678 | * | 36 | | 11 | 23 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 13,154 | * | 35 | | 11 | 24 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 8,708 | * | 34 | | 10 | 24 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 5,459 | * | 33 | | 10 | 25 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 3,386 | * | 32 | | 9 | 25 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 2,019 | * | 31 | | 9 | 26 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 1,118 | * | 30 | | 8 | 26 | - | 5 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 630 | * | 29 | | 8 | 27 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 352 | * | 9 | -28 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 582 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 25.6 | % | 0.2 | % | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 2,914,460 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 5/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 | -1.1 | | Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 | -0.7 | | Colorado 6 Edmonton 9 | -0.0 | | Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 | -0.0 | | Colorado 1 Dallas 0 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | New Jersey vs Tampa Bay | +1.0+0.0+0.0-1.0-1.2-1.2 | | Ottawa vs Carolina | -0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Buffalo vs Montreal | +0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0 | | Winnipeg vs Florida | -0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Philadelphia vs Florida | -0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs Washington | -0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.0 | | Edmonton vs Dallas | -0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0 | | NY Rangers vs NY Islanders | -0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Montreal vs Boston | -0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Phoenix vs Chicago | *-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | -87 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 74 | | 31 | 5 | - | 3 | 0 | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 73 | | 30 | 5 | - | 4 | 0 | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 72 | | 30 | 6 | - | 3 | 0 | 89 | 10 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | | 29 | 6 | - | 4 | 0 | 78 | 17 | 4 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | | 28 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 73 | 22 | 4 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 28 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 62 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 68 | | 27 | 7 | - | 5 | 0 | 51 | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 27 | 8 | - | 4 | 0 | 37 | 36 | 20 | 1 | 1 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 66 | | 26 | 8 | - | 5 | 0 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 26 | 9 | - | 4 | 0 | 14 | 36 | 28 | 6 | 4 | | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | | 25 | 9 | - | 5 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 25 | 10 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 24 | 10 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 24 | 11 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 23 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 23 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 22 | 12 | - | 5 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 22 | 13 | - | 4 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 21 | 13 | - | 5 | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 21 | 14 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 20 | 14 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 53 | | 20 | 15 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 19 | 14 | - | 6 | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 52 | | 19 | 15 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 51 | | 19 | 16 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 50 | | 18 | 16 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 49 | | 18 | 17 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 48 | | 17 | 17 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47 | | 17 | 18 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 46 | | 16 | 18 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 45 | | 16 | 19 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 44 | | 15 | 19 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 43 | | 15 | 20 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 42 | | 14 | 20 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 41 | | 14 | 21 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 24 | 40 | | 13 | 21 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 35 | 39 | | 13 | 22 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 38 | | 12 | 22 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 59 | 37 | | 12 | 23 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 69 | 36 | | 11 | 23 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 35 | | 11 | 24 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 34 | | 10 | 24 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 33 | | 10 | 25 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 32 | | 9 | 25 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 31 | | 9 | 26 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 30 | | 8 | 26 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 29 | | 8 | 27 | - | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 28 | | 7 | 27 | - | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 9 | -27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
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