How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 +4.5
+0.5
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 +2.2
+0.3
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 +0.2
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 +0.1
Ottawa 5 Buffalo 2 +0.1
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)*-0.1
NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 *+0.1
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay-4.9-0.3-0.3+5.1+5.9+6.2
-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.5+0.6+0.6
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders+0.3*+0.1*-0.1-0.5*-0.2-0.2
Buffalo vs Montreal*-0.1-0.5-0.3*-0.1*-0.2+0.3
Winnipeg vs Toronto*+0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.2-0.5+0.1
Philadelphia vs Florida*-0.0-0.4-0.4*-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Montreal vs Boston+0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.5-0.1
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Winnipeg vs Florida*+0.0-0.4*-0.2*-0.2-0.4+0.2
Ottawa vs Carolina+0.2*-0.3*-0.1*-0.2-0.4-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
73-87In98.6%100291*
72306-30In88.798262*
71296-40In77.99541136*
70286-50In72.69541281*
69287-40In62.2891001503*
68277-50In51.38314031,014*
67278-40In37.373211501,748*
66268-50In26.065262702,950*
65269-40In13.9503441105,066*
64259-50In6.43738716108,165*
632510-40In2.2243912213012,536*
622410-50In0.61336172671018,969*
612411-40In0.16282328132027,271*
602311-50In0.021926262161038,016*
592312-40100.0%No0102520281330051,957*
582212-5099.9No0422122923810068,313*
572213-4099.3No0116522301851086,801*
562113-5096.3No011212282914300107,356*
552114-4086.2No060417312711200127,369*
542014-5065.7No030172233249100148,523*
532015-4044.5No020021228321851079,178*
1914-6034.7No010018243323810088,594*
521915-5017.5No0100313293217400182,617*
511916-407.4No00016203327102092,362*
1815-604.2No0000415313114300102,034*
501816-501.4No00018233425810200,193*
491817-400.2No00021230341840200,790*
481717-500.1No0001521362881119,333*
1616-700.0No000417353111174,558*
471718-400.0No00212313617286,715*
1617-600.0No0018283821396,372*
461618-500.0No00042039307167,722*
451619-40OutNo00111344014148,989*
441519-50OutNo005264623128,341*
431520-40OutNo002184634107,607*
421420-50OutNo0111434687,376*
411421-40OutNo006365768,853*
401321-50OutNo03306753,230*
391322-40OutNo002227639,031*
381222-50OutNo01168328,152*
371223-40OutNo0118919,678*
361123-50OutNo079313,154*
351124-40OutNo05958,708*
341024-50OutNo03975,459*
331025-40OutNo2983,386*
32925-50OutNo1992,019*
31926-40OutNo1991,118*
30826-50OutNo199630*
29827-40OutNo0100352*
9-28OutNo100582*
Total:25.6%0.2%113234568910111313112,914,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 -1.1
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 -0.7
Colorado 6 Edmonton 9 -0.0
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 -0.0
Colorado 1 Dallas 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay+1.0+0.0+0.0-1.0-1.2-1.2
Ottawa vs Carolina-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Winnipeg vs Florida-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Florida-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Washington-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.0
Edmonton vs Dallas-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0
Montreal vs Boston-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0
Phoenix vs Chicago*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
75-87100
74315-308614
73305-40919
72306-3089102
71296-40781741
70286-50732241
69287-40622790010
68277-505132140030
67278-4037362011400
66268-50263923320700
65269-40143628641010
64259-50631271170133100
632510-402222217121156300
622410-50112152215215116010
612411-40067211851216112200
602311-50022161797191655010
592312-40019131231716121123000
582212-500048141111019177711000
572213-400014120541815151545010
562113-5000190211182018121223000
552114-400160042151120189103100
542014-50003001074181418181141000
532015-400020002111621171913620000
1914-6000100010852016211683100
521915-50001000311281822181141000
511916-400000105281623221572000
501816-500000102614222318931000
491817-40000001512202520114100
481717-500000001410202522124100
471718-4000000131020262312410
461618-5000013112128231130
451619-40000141224292171
441519-5000015162930153
431520-40000282234267
421420-50000314323515
411421-400018264124
401321-50004184335
391322-40002113948
381222-500173459
371223-400042769
361123-50022078
351124-40011584
341024-5001189
331025-400793
32925-50595
31926-40397
30826-50397
29827-40199
28727-50199
9-27100
Total:000112111223233434455566677765