How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3 -4.8
-3.8
-0.6
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 +4.7
+2.5
+0.5
San Jose 4 Nashville 3 +4.5
+2.8
+0.5
Colorado 1 Dallas 0 +0.2
*+0.1
+0.0
Colorado 6 Edmonton 9 *+0.1
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.2
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 +0.2
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 +0.1
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 *-0.1
Montreal 4 Buffalo 2 *+0.1
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Minnesota vs Vancouver+0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Phoenix vs Chicago-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.4*-0.3*-0.1*-0.4*-0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Montreal vs Boston*-0.1-0.4*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
Buffalo vs Montreal+0.2*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.2
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
76-92In99.9%1001,107*
75287-30In99.810000902*
74277-40In99.1100001,556*
73278-30In98.499002,520*
72268-40In97.599014,021*
71269-30In95.098115,991*
70259-40In92.397218,833*
692510-30In86.79530212,444*
682410-40In79.291504016,680*
672310-50In68.485906022,176*
662311-40In55.8781309028,037*
652211-50In40.36719113034,394*
642212-40In25.354262181040,997*
632112-50In13.440313242047,584*
622113-40In5.5263462940053,357*
612013-50In1.41432103491021,840
2114-30In1.91633103381018,625
1912-70In1.413321134101017,947*
602014-40In0.362714341620023,793
1913-60In0.362514351630037,184*
591914-50In0.021717302571023,238
2015-30In0.021917312461019,810
1813-70In0.021617282891019,422*
581915-40100.0%0.00101722321530024,014
1814-60100.00.00816193318500018,052
2016-20100.0No091721321640020,085*
571815-5099.8No03141029291230033,650*
1916-3099.8No0414133126102026,624*
561816-4098.6No1104203223810021,602
1715-6098.0No01104183125920034,275*
551716-5089.7No0516213224920031,138*
1817-3093.9No061926311951019,578*
541717-4072.4No03021026322061044,716*
531617-5043.2No0100212273119610038,446*
521618-4017.4No10031329311751032,269*
511518-505.0No00141530301540026,126*
501519-400.9No0016183328122020,194*
491419-500.1No0000182234258115,424*
481420-400.0No00212293518311,359*
471320-500.0No001519373088,262*
461321-40OutNo01103140175,652*
451221-50OutNo0142142313,919*
441222-40OutNo011342442,549*
431122-50OutNo00736571,641*
421123-40OutNo0329681,040*
411124-30OutNo21980589*
401024-40OutNo11584345*
39924-50OutNo892186*
38925-40OutNo595123*
16-37OutNo100184*
Total:82.0%12.5%2012714108654432211904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3 +1.3
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 -1.1
San Jose 4 Nashville 3 -1.1
Colorado 1 Dallas 0 -0.1
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 -0.0
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 +0.0
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)+0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 -0.0
Phoenix 4 Dallas 2 *+0.0
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Colorado vs Anaheim-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Anaheim-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Phoenix vs Chicago+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Montreal vs Boston-0.0+0.1-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.0
Nashville vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay-0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Winnipeg vs Toronto*-0.0+0.0-0.0*+0.1-0.0+0.0
Edmonton vs Dallas-0.0*+0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Vancouver-0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Columbus vs Calgary-0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
77-92100
76286-401000
75287-3010000
74277-4099100
73278-3098100
72268-4098201
71269-3095311
70259-40925201
692510-30878302
682410-40791250040
672310-506817900600
662311-4056221300900
652211-50402718111200
642212-4025292332017110
632112-50132725630222200
622113-405212310602544000
612013-501121715912699010
2114-302131715912588010
602014-4006101712221131512000
1913-600691712221141513000
591914-5002314125131721470100
2015-300241512514182046010
1813-700231212511172259010
581915-40001898516211115140000
2016-200189761621111514000
571815-50003591912172271213000
1916-30004681111417206101200
561816-40013704416181519470100
1715-600012704415171520590200
551716-50015011761719131837100
541717-400030021981820121882000
531617-500010000211191820191141000
521618-4001000321210202216941000
511518-50001042816222115731000
501519-400001015121923201251000
491419-50000000138162223168310
481420-40000261321251910310
471320-5000014112126211130
461321-400141221282392
451221-50014132331226
441222-4001517303314
431122-50028244124
421123-4003184039
411124-300193356
401024-40062866
39924-5012278
38925-401486
37825-50595
36826-40397
16-35100
Total:1387543956453423232222111111100