How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Phoenix 4 Dallas 2 +6.2
+0.8
+0.6
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 +0.3
+0.0
Colorado 1 Dallas 0 +0.3
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 +0.2
San Jose 4 Nashville 3 *+0.1
-0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.1
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Phoenix vs Chicago+6.2+5.5+5.1-1.3-1.5-7.5
+1.0+0.8+0.8-0.3-0.4-1.1
+0.6+0.5+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.7
Columbus vs Calgary+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*+0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Los Angeles+0.0-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phoenix finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
74-88In99.4%100335*
73296-30In98.21000273*
72286-40In97.39910523*
71287-30In94.59811867*
70277-40In89.596221,522*
69278-30In83.1933402,593*
68268-40In74.6885603,963*
67269-30In63.281901006,002*
66259-40In48.1721401318,951*
652510-30In32.860191191012,343*
642410-40In18.646242262017,028*
632310-50In8.632283335022,102*
622311-40In3.0192863891028,386*
612211-50In0.79249391620034,627*
602212-40100.0%0.1317113626610041,351*
592112-50100.00.01101228341420047,351*
582113-40100.0No051017352471021,008
2012-60100.0No041016352681032,659*
572013-5099.3No027625342051021,508
2114-3099.4No027726331951036,335*
562014-4096.6No05213313114300023,946
1913-6095.4No0421229311640037,270*
551914-5083.2No02031631301330023,242
2015-3087.4No03052033261020019,972
1813-7081.2No02031530301540019,450*
541915-4058.7No10151932271230032,496*
1814-6059.9No010162033271120029,473*
531815-5025.7No00161933271220036,856*
1916-3036.7No102925332271022,818*
521816-4010.3No00028233224910055,907*
511716-501.8No0002924332371031,429*
1817-303.4No00031328321851019,078*
501717-400.4No0003133032174045,204*
491617-500.0No001518342912138,570*
481618-400.0No0019263722532,024*
471518-50OutNo0031635351125,663*
461519-40OutNo01828432120,148*
451419-50OutNo00318443415,412*
441420-40OutNo0111404811,377*
431320-50OutNo00634608,188*
421321-40OutNo0326715,715*
411221-50OutNo0119803,959*
401222-40OutNo0113862,645*
391122-50OutNo08921,578*
381123-40OutNo595949*
371023-50OutNo0397573*
361024-40OutNo397357*
35924-50OutNo199219*
34925-40OutNo19988*
12-33OutNo100167*
Total:56.6%3.0%653998887777654904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Phoenix 4 Dallas 2 -1.2
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)*+0.1
San Jose 4 Nashville 3 +0.0
Colorado 1 Dallas 0 -0.0
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)+0.0
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3 -0.0
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 +0.0
Edmonton 7 Vancouver 8 (ot)*-0.0
Columbus 2 Detroit 5 *-0.0
Montreal 4 Buffalo 2 *-0.0
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 *+0.0
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Phoenix vs Chicago-1.2-1.1-1.0+0.2+0.2+1.5
Colorado vs Anaheim-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Anaheim-0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
Nashville vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Edmonton vs Dallas-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0
Montreal vs Boston*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.1-0.0
Columbus vs Calgary*-0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs Detroit-0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Winnipeg vs Toronto*-0.0+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
75-88100
74295-40982
73296-309810
72286-4097210
71287-3094311
70277-4089622
69278-308310340
68268-40751450600
67269-3063189001000
66259-40482413001301
652510-303327181119010
642410-401927213225120
632310-5092322630293500
622311-403161810603179010
612211-501811138128121612000
602212-400351292191723360100
592112-5001188410182681312000
582113-4000455314201521370100
2012-6000455313191522380100
572013-50002250681723111825010
2114-30002251791723101725010
562014-400140221213182381413000
1913-600014022111217238141400
551914-50002003313151723713310
2015-300020005416161721510200
1813-70002003312141623714410
541915-40001001065171716201241000
1814-6000100043141517231562000
531815-5000001075171722179310000
521816-40000021971623211362000
1715-6000010651322221793100
511716-500000214111923201362000
501717-4000001271422231793100
491617-50000001411192421135100
481618-4000013817252315610
471518-50000271726261551
461519-4000028182827143
451419-5000392232269
441420-40000313283619
431320-500016223932
421321-4002133946
411221-500183359
401222-40032670
391122-5021980
381123-4001486
371023-501891
361024-40694
35924-50496
34925-40199
12-33100
Total:333221545453534344433333333322