"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 -7.0
-1.6
-0.7
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)-1.3
*-0.3
-0.1
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)*-0.3
Ottawa 5 Buffalo 2 +0.2
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 *+0.1
*+0.0
Toronto 7 Carolina 5 *+0.1
+0.0
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)*-0.1
+0.0
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 *+0.1
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 +0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.1
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 -0.1
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 +0.0
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Philadelphia vs Florida+6.0+5.7+5.1-1.2-1.4-7.3
+1.0+1.0+0.7-0.3-0.4-1.2
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.7
Winnipeg vs Florida+0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0*+0.0
Buffalo vs Montreal+0.0-0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders+0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Washington-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.1*-0.1*+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
75-88InYes100195*
74295-40In98.5%991130*
73296-30In97.1991274*
72286-40In95.19910474*
71287-30In94.19810893*
70277-40In89.297201,456*
69278-30In81.0945012,501*
68268-40In72.89170203,923*
67269-30In60.184130306,103*
66259-40In46.977181508,675*
652510-30In31.7652528012,571*
642410-40In18.05232412016,695*
632310-50In8.237387171022,123*
622311-40In2.82439122230027,927*
612211-50In0.61336172671034,352*
602212-40In0.15272328142041,543*
592112-50In0.021826252271047,628*
582113-40100.0%No082517281640053,226*
572013-5099.7No0321825271330021,510
2114-3099.7No0321926261230036,198*
562014-4098.2No1153163024920023,964
1913-6097.5No11531529251120037,046*
551914-5088.7No0905193124920023,218
2015-3089.5No0916203123920038,969*
541915-4068.7No05018233122810024,165
1814-6066.1No05017223123920037,939*
531815-5036.8No020029243222810060,102*
521816-4015.9No10021227311951031,737*
1715-6010.7No101823332491024,430*
511716-503.4No00031228321951051,100*
501717-400.6No00003153031163023,856*
1616-600.7No0014153131153021,127*
491617-500.1No0001519342911138,586*
481618-400.0No00029263722532,127*
471518-500.0No00031535341125,966*
461519-400.0No001727432220,344*
451419-50OutNo0318443515,671*
441420-40OutNo0110404911,441*
431320-50OutNo0532628,382*
421321-40OutNo0224735,691*
411221-50OutNo0116823,771*
401222-40OutNo012882,548*
391122-50OutNo9921,600*
381123-40OutNo0694988*
371124-30OutNo199555*
361024-40OutNo298312*
35924-50OutNo199190*
34925-40OutNo100108*
33926-30OutNo29850*
12-32OutNo100120*
Total:58.2%2.8%789777777776654904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 +1.5
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)+0.3
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 -0.1
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 -0.1
NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 *-0.0
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)-0.0
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 +0.0
Montreal 4 Buffalo 2 *-0.0
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)*+0.0
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 -0.0
Toronto 7 Carolina 5 -0.0
Toronto 4 Boston 2 *-0.0
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 *-0.0
Edmonton 7 Vancouver 8 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Philadelphia vs Florida-1.2-1.2-1.1+0.2+0.3+1.5
Pittsburgh vs Washington+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.0-0.1
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Montreal-0.0*+0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1-0.0
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.1*-0.0
Montreal vs Boston-0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1-0.0
Ottawa vs Carolina*-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Winnipeg vs Florida-0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0
Edmonton vs Dallas-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Nashville vs Los Angeles*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
75-88100
74295-409811
73296-309721
72286-4095410
71287-3094410
70277-4089820
69278-3081135001
68268-40731870020
67269-3060241200300
66259-4047301711500
652510-3032342222800
642410-401834265401110
632310-50829271070143100
622311-4032122171111663000
612211-50112152215216107010
602212-40057211851216122200
592112-5002215161061815761100
582113-400081214215131513340000
572013-500036150862016111123000
2114-300036140862016111023000
562014-400131303115102016881200
1913-6013120211392016991200
551914-50018005217121916792000
2015-300181062171219167820000
541915-40005001084191318161041000
1814-6000500107318131816115100
531815-50020001074181420171041000
1916-30003000211152215181372100
521816-400100021116152120136210
1715-6001010841220221794100
511716-5000000314101823201362000
501717-400000000271421231794100
491617-500000001411192421135100
481618-40000013817242415610
471518-500001281625261651
461519-400000027182727153
451419-5000292132269
441420-4001313293618
431320-500016214032
421321-40003133945
411221-500173161
401222-40032671
391122-50021880
381123-4011585
371124-300793
361024-400595
35924-50397
34925-40298
33926-30496
12-32100
Total:343445343434343433333333333322