How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 -8.0
-1.4
-0.8
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)-1.5
-0.5
-0.2
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)*-0.2
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 +0.2
+0.1
Ottawa 5 Buffalo 2 +0.2
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 +0.2
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 +0.2
-0.0
Buffalo 5 Florida 6 *+0.1
Toronto 4 Boston 2 *+0.1
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 -0.1
-0.0
Toronto 7 Carolina 5 *-0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 *+0.1
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)*-0.1
NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 *+0.1
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.2
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 +0.1
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0 +0.1
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 -0.1
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3 +0.1
Columbus 2 Detroit 5 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Philadelphia vs Florida+5.6+5.2+4.5-2.0-2.0-8.1
+0.4+0.3+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.5
+0.5+0.5+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.7
Montreal vs Boston+0.3*-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.5-0.2
Buffalo vs Montreal-0.1-0.5-0.6*-0.0*-0.1+0.4
Ottawa vs Carolina+0.2*-0.3*-0.2*-0.2-0.7*-0.1
Winnipeg vs Toronto+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.7-0.4*+0.1
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders+0.4*+0.1*-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.3
Winnipeg vs Florida*-0.0-0.4-0.5*-0.2-0.4+0.3
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay*+0.1*-0.3-0.3*-0.1-0.5+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Washington*+0.0-0.3*-0.1*-0.3*-0.4+0.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
76-88In99.4%100325*
75305-30In99.0991102*
74295-40In96.51000230*
73296-30In92.09910475*
72286-40In86.79720946*
71287-30In81.695321,709*
70277-40In71.3926023,044*
69278-30In60.78790405,275*
68268-40In48.780130608,564*
67269-30In35.2711919013,227*
66259-40In22.05825214120,360*
65249-50In12.046313191029,465*
642410-40In5.032347243041,440*
632310-50In1.72034103150056,272*
622311-40In0.410301434101073,963*
612211-50In0.142218341830093,824*
602212-40100.0%0.01141929278100115,634*
592112-50100.0No0718213317300137,775*
582113-4099.9No031512312710200158,677*
572013-5099.0No011042134227100100,030*
2114-3099.3No0111524332051075,885*
562014-4095.6No071112932164000191,007*
551914-5084.6No040416322913300200,145*
541915-4067.6No020172334238100113,610*
1814-6059.2No020051933281120091,268*
531815-5036.6No0101925342271075,699
1916-3038.0No0100210263321710126,152*
521816-4016.4No0003132932174000192,802*
511716-505.3No001518332912200178,999*
501717-401.3No00018233525810161,336*
491617-500.2No00021230341840141,083*
481618-400.0No00015193529101119,283*
471518-500.0No000210293719399,041*
461519-40OutNo004203830778,870*
451419-50OutNo0011134391460,734*
441420-40OutNo00526452445,946*
431320-50OutNo0217453533,325*
421321-40OutNo0110424723,610*
411221-50OutNo006355816,174*
401222-40OutNo03286910,653*
391122-50OutNo0121787,075*
381123-40OutNo115854,300*
371023-50OutNo010902,602*
361024-40OutNo06941,542*
351025-30OutNo0396851*
34925-40OutNo397457*
33825-50OutNo199233*
32826-40OutNo59586*
31726-50OutNo29858*
12-30OutNo100297*
Total:52.7%1.0%3456889999876532,914,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 +1.6
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)+0.3
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 -0.1
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 +0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)+0.0
NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 -0.0
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 -0.0
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 -0.0
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 +0.0
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)+0.0
Buffalo 5 Florida 6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Philadelphia vs Florida-1.0-0.9-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.5
Pittsburgh vs Washington+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0
Winnipeg vs Toronto-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Winnipeg vs Florida-0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Montreal vs Boston-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0
Buffalo vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Ottawa vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Columbus vs Calgary-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
77-88100
76304-40964
75305-30991
74295-409730
73296-3092710
72286-40871120
71287-30821432
70277-407121602
69278-30612690040
68268-4049321300600
67269-3035361811900
66259-402236223201311
65249-5012342563017210
642410-40527231160195300
632310-502181816912195000
622311-4001011181222014101100
612211-500451714414201633000
602212-4001212127822208701000
592112-5000799318181514230000
582113-400035101111021198912000
572013-500012905319161817460100
562014-4000160111072218141434100
551914-50004003115102218101131000
541915-400020010631813201812510000
531815-50001000209521152015831000
521816-4000000311481822181041000
1715-60000000211061522211462000
511716-50000104271523221672000
501717-4000001016132124191041000
491617-50000001411202521125100
481618-4000000139192523135100
471518-50000013919262413410
461519-400013102028241130
451419-5000131124302181
441420-400015152930173
431320-5000272234278
421321-40000313313616
411221-500017254126
401222-4003184039
391122-5001103850
381123-40163361
371023-50032770
361024-4011880
351025-3011387
34925-401189
33825-500694
32826-40892
31726-50397
30828-20298
12-29100
Total:122323243445454544444444433221