How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 -4.1
-0.1
-0.5
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 -3.0
-0.4
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 +0.3
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 +0.2
Toronto 4 Boston 2 +0.1
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)*-0.1
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 *+0.1
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 +0.1
Ottawa 5 Buffalo 2 +0.1
Toronto 7 Carolina 5 *-0.1
Montreal 4 Buffalo 2 *-0.1
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders+2.1+1.9+1.5-0.9-1.0-2.7
+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Buffalo vs Montreal*-0.1-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Winnipeg vs Toronto*+0.0-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Winnipeg vs Florida*+0.0*-0.1-0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Florida*-0.0-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
70-84In98.4%100254*
69306-30In80.093715*
68296-40In65.9901041*
67286-50In31.3791010199*
66287-40In24.37017111218*
65277-50In16.055272141407*
64278-40In7.540313242747*
63268-50In2.52632730401,361*
62269-40In0.5153111348002,347*
61259-50In0.2726133615103,941*
602510-40In0.03181633255006,345*
592410-50InNo11016253213209,973*
582411-40100.0%No041416342371015,217*
572311-5099.5No0210727331740022,746*
562312-4097.0No0621531291330032,478*
552212-5088.2No03052033261020044,134*
542112-6068.5No0201824332281059,385*
532113-5041.2No10021127322061076,895*
522013-6018.0No00031430311741096,080*
512014-505.6No001518322913300117,678*
501914-601.3No00017223425910138,292*
491915-500.2No00021128342050158,823*
481815-600.0No0003153333142100,632*
1916-400.0No001520352910175,640*
471816-500.0No00192737214110,239*
1715-70OutNo017233826679,183*
461716-60OutNo00314353612113,453*
1817-40OutNo004183732984,436*
451717-50OutNo01830421873,674
1616-70OutNo0018294220127,287*
441617-60OutNo0004204531198,391*
431618-50OutNo01134343190,439*
421518-60OutNo0063658100,193*
1619-40OutNo018385376,301*
411519-50OutNo033067159,120*
401419-60OutNo0022276140,255*
391420-50OutNo011683118,567*
381421-40OutNo00118997,488*
371321-50OutNo0079377,527*
361322-40OutNo049660,564*
351222-50OutNo039745,159*
341223-40OutNo029832,756*
331123-50OutNo19923,117*
321124-40OutNo19915,685*
311024-50OutNo010010,523*
301025-40OutNo01006,707*
29925-50OutNo01004,056*
28926-40OutNo01002,363*
27826-50OutNo01001,411*
6-26OutNo1001,818*
Total:8.0%0.0%0000112345791320342,914,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 +1.0
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 +0.8
Phoenix 4 Dallas 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders-0.7-0.6-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.9
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Montreal vs Boston-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Buffalo vs Montreal+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
74-84100
71304-505050
70294-607030
69306-3080137
68296-40662410
67286-50314710911
66287-4024461611101
65277-50163921621311
64278-407322210301952
63268-50224191370229400
62269-4011511209121148100
61259-5007719103162113210
602510-400331511610231965000
592410-501110884211814122200
582411-4000459115122217660100
572311-50002270752217161434000
562312-400150211492218111123000
552212-50003005218122017892000
542112-60002001084201419171041000
532113-5001000211162116191472100
522013-6000000311381822181041000
512014-500000105281622211472000
501914-600000102614212318103100
491915-50000001511202421125100
481815-60000001310182523145100
471816-5000013918262414510
461716-600001392027241330
451717-50000131023302391
441617-600013122732205
1718-400015152831174
431618-50000162034299
421518-60000312303817
411519-500016234228
401419-600003154240
391420-5000193852
381421-400053263
371321-500032572
361322-40011880
351222-50001386
341223-4000991
331123-5000694
321124-400496
311024-50397
301025-40199
29925-50199
28926-40199
27826-500100
26827-400100
25727-500100
6-24100
Total:000000000101111212233445689121518