How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 -7.4
-0.8
-0.8
NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 -7.1
-1.1
-0.7
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)*-0.3
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 *+0.2
+0.0
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 *+0.1
Toronto 7 Carolina 5 *+0.1
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 *+0.1
+0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.1
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 +0.0
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 +0.0
Montreal 4 Buffalo 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders-7.3-1.5-1.9+4.7+5.9+6.1
-0.5-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.4+0.4
-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.6+0.6
Ottawa vs Carolina+0.3*-0.2*-0.2*-0.5-0.6*-0.0
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Florida-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
72-86In99.2%100251*
71306-30In94.99811176*
70296-40In90.89811348*
69297-30In85.29541634*
68287-40In75.5917021,010*
67288-30In64.78710031,783*
66278-40In51.580151402,842*
65279-30In37.771201804,506*
64269-40In24.05827212006,556*
63259-50In11.54533417109,522*
622510-40In5.131368233013,268*
612410-50In1.21734132870017,589*
602411-40In0.28291830132022,887*
592311-50In0.031922292161028,998*
582312-40100.0%0.01112221291330035,332*
572212-5099.8No0419122924920041,657*
562213-4099.1No0214623311851028,307*
2112-6098.3No113318312492020,027*
552113-5093.3No0918253219610019,831
2214-3093.2No091925301861033,578*
542114-4079.2No05021328301641022,420
2013-6074.6No050211273018610035,312*
532014-5046.8No20031328311751022,816
2115-3054.4No030041730281430018,314
1913-7042.4No02031126302061019,831*
522015-4024.6No01015183028143034,321*
1914-6016.3No10031227311961027,734*
511915-505.5No00141630301430022,880
2016-308.0No100172032271120018,297
1814-704.8No00041529301651020,084*
501916-401.1No0016193227122030,594*
1815-601.3No00017203327112028,541*
491816-500.2No00182334247120,381
1917-300.2No000292434238134,170*
481817-400.0No0000312293518350,123*
471717-500.0No0015193730943,629*
461718-40OutNo0011031401837,867*
451618-500.0No000421443031,489*
441619-40OutNo0213424425,523*
431519-50OutNo016355820,046*
421520-40OutNo003276915,220*
411420-50OutNo01198011,433*
401421-40OutNo113867,934*
391321-50OutNo08915,888*
381322-40OutNo05953,875*
371222-50OutNo03972,597*
361223-40OutNo2981,641*
351123-50OutNo1991,010*
341124-40OutNo199584*
8-33OutNo100844*
Total:41.5%1.1%3455566778889910904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 +1.5
NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 +1.5
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 -0.1
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)+0.1
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 -0.1
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 -0.1
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 -0.0
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 -0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders+1.5+0.3+0.4-1.0-1.2-1.2
Philadelphia vs Florida+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0*+0.1-0.1
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Washington+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Dallas-0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
Phoenix vs Chicago*-0.0+0.1-0.0*+0.1+0.0*-0.0
Winnipeg vs Florida-0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.1-0.0
Ottawa vs Carolina*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs Detroit*-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0
Montreal vs Boston+0.0*-0.1*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
75-86100
74314-40955
73315-30100
72316-20991
71306-3095311
70296-4091711
69297-30851041
68287-4076157002
67288-30652210003
66278-405129150140
65279-3038331911800
64269-4024342342011100
63259-50113325840152100
622510-40526231380185300
612410-50116161812119106000
602411-40089201441515112200
592311-500331615710191665010
582312-4001110111041816131123000
572212-50004712112920168812000
562213-400013110531813181556010
552113-50018109520151514451000
542114-400050021127211713136200
2013-6000400211162016141572100
532014-500020003113821171711520000
522015-40001010521610182015831000
1914-6001000311271722191252000
511915-5000104271521211683100
2016-300000105271521211683100
501916-40000101411182320136200
1815-6000001015121923201252000
491816-50000001381522231783100
481817-40000000251321242011410
471717-50000014112026221240
461718-400001411212823102
451618-5000014122531216
441619-40001516313214
431519-500028243927
421520-40003164040
411420-500193654
401421-400052966
391321-50022177
381322-40011485
371222-5000991
361223-400694
351123-50298
341124-40496
331125-30199
321025-40100
31925-50199
8-30100
Total:122223232324343433444444445555