Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 51.8%

10 points 4 3-1 1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton 7 Vancouver 8 (ot)	*-0.3				-0.0
San Jose 2 Chicago 0	+0.2
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)	*-0.2
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0	*+0.1
Calgary 4 Chicago 1	*+0.1				-0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5	*-0.1		+0.1
Buffalo 5 Florida 6					*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Minnesota vs Vancouver	+6.2+6.0+5.1-1.6-1.8-7.4		+0.8+0.8+0.6-0.3-0.4-0.9		+0.7+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.2-0.8
Edmonton vs Dallas	-0.2-0.6-0.3-0.1-0.4+0.4				-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1
Phoenix vs Chicago	+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.7*+0.1
Colorado vs Anaheim					-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0
St. Louis vs Detroit					+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0
Dallas vs Anaheim			+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Columbus vs Calgary					+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

73	-88								In		Yes		100															414	*
72		29	6		-	4	0		In		97.4	%	99	1		0												346	*
71		29	7		-	3	0		In		95.1		98	2	0													613	*
70		28	7		-	4	0		In		91.2		97	3														1,033	*
69		28	8		-	3	0		In		81.1		91	9	0	0												1,833	*
68		27	8		-	4	0		In		74.6		87	12	0	1												2,854	*
67		27	9		-	3	0		In		63.0		80	18	0	2												4,418	*
66		26	9		-	4	0		In		47.7		70	25	2	3	0											6,428	*
65		25	9		-	5	0		In		33.0		59	33	3	5	0											9,534	*
64		25	10		-	4	0		In		19.2		45	41	6	7	0											13,342	*
63		24	10		-	5	0		In		9.1		31	47	11	10	1	0										17,810	*
62		24	11		-	4	0		In		3.4		19	46	18	14	3	0	0									23,102	*
61		23	11		-	5	0		In		0.8		9	40	27	18	6	1	0	0								29,201	*
60		23	12		-	4	0		In		0.1		4	29	34	19	12	2	0	0								35,424	*
59		22	12		-	5	0		In		0.0		1	18	39	16	18	7	1	0								42,025	*
58		22	13		-	4	0		100.0	%	No		0	9	38	12	22	15	4	0	0							18,606
		21	12		-	6	0		99.9		No		0	8	37	11	23	16	5	1	0	0						29,346	*
57		21	13		-	5	0		99.5		No		0	3	32	5	19	24	13	3	0	0						53,531	*
56		21	14		-	4	0		97.5		No			1	25	2	12	25	22	10	2	0	0					34,278	*
		20	13		-	6	0		95.8		No			1	22	1	9	23	26	14	4	0	0					23,183	*
55		20	14		-	5	0		87.0		No			0	16	0	3	15	27	25	10	2	0	0				22,528
		21	15		-	3	0		89.6		No			0	18	0	5	17	27	22	8	2	0	0				18,206
		19	13		-	7	0		83.3		No			0	15	0	3	13	26	26	13	3	0	0				19,480	*
54		20	15		-	4	0		68.4		No			0	11	0	1	7	21	30	22	8	1	0				34,147	*
		19	14		-	6	0		57.2		No			0	8	0	0	4	16	29	27	13	3	0	0			27,874	*
53		19	15		-	5	0		33.7		No				5		0	1	7	21	31	24	9	2	0			22,851
		20	16		-	3	0		35.1		No				5	0	0	1	7	21	31	23	9	2	0	0		38,248	*
52		19	16		-	4	0		14.6		No				3		0	0	2	10	25	32	21	7	1	0	0	22,205
		18	15		-	6	0		12.8		No				3		0	0	2	8	23	32	22	8	1	0		36,394	*
51		18	16		-	5	0		3.2		No				1			0	0	2	11	26	33	20	6	1	0	20,562
		19	17		-	3	0		4.0		No				1			0	0	2	11	27	32	19	6	1	0	34,664	*
50		18	17		-	4	0		1.1		No				1				0	1	4	16	31	30	15	3	0	18,563
		17	16		-	6	0		0.8		No				0				0	0	3	14	29	31	17	4	0	30,873	*
49		17	17		-	5	0		0.2		No				0				0	0	1	5	20	34	28	11	1	44,069	*
48		17	18		-	4	0		0.0		No				0					0	0	2	9	26	36	22	5	37,671	*
47		16	18		-	5	0		0.0		No				0						0	0	3	16	35	34	11	31,804	*
46		16	19		-	4	0		Out		No										0	0	1	8	28	42	21	25,583	*
45		15	19		-	5	0		Out		No											0	0	3	19	44	33	20,031	*
44		15	20		-	4	0		Out		No												0	1	11	41	47	15,389	*
43		14	20		-	5	0		Out		No												0	0	6	34	60	11,432	*
42		14	21		-	4	0		Out		No													0	3	26	71	8,143	*
41		13	21		-	5	0		Out		No													0	1	19	81	5,784	*
40		13	22		-	4	0		Out		No														0	13	87	3,906	*
39		12	22		-	5	0		Out		No														0	8	91	2,576	*
38		12	23		-	4	0		Out		No														0	5	95	1,675	*
37		11	23		-	5	0		Out		No															3	97	1,017	*
36		11	24		-	4	0		Out		No															1	99	644	*
35		10	24		-	5	0		Out		No															2	98	378	*
34		10	25		-	4	0		Out		No															1	99	192	*
10	-33								Out		No																100	290	*

Total:									51.8	%	2.2	%	4	7	13	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton 7 Vancouver 8 (ot)	+0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)	*+0.1
Detroit 2 Calgary 5	+0.1
Toronto 4 Boston 2	*-0.0
Columbus 2 Detroit 5	*-0.0
Toronto 7 Carolina 5	-0.0
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0	-0.0
San Jose 2 Chicago 0	-0.0
Buffalo 5 Florida 6	*+0.0
Calgary 4 Chicago 1	+0.0
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1	*+0.0
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3	*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Minnesota vs Vancouver	-1.3-1.2-1.0+0.4+0.4+1.6
Edmonton vs Dallas	+0.1+0.2+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Calgary	-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Colorado vs Anaheim	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Detroit	-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Anaheim	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

73	-88								100
72		29	6		-	4	0		97	1	1				0
71		29	7		-	3	0		95	3	2		0
70		28	7		-	4	0		91	5	3
69		28	8		-	3	0		81	9	9		0		0
68		27	8		-	4	0		75	12	12	0	0		1
67		27	9		-	3	0		63	17	17	0	0		2	0
66		26	9		-	4	0		48	23	24	1	2		3	0	0
65		25	9		-	5	0		33	26	31	2	3	0	5	0	0
64		25	10		-	4	0		19	26	36	5	6	0	7	0	0
63		24	10		-	5	0		9	22	37	10	11	0	9	1	1	0	0
62		24	11		-	4	0		3	16	30	16	17	1	12	2	3	0	0		0
61		23	11		-	5	0		1	8	19	21	24	3	12	5	5	0	1		0		0
60		23	12		-	4	0		0	3	9	20	27	7	10	8	10	1	2	0	0		0
59		22	12		-	5	0		0	1	3	15	26	13	6	10	14	4	7	0	1	0	0
58		22	13		-	4	0			0	1	8	20	18	2	9	13	9	13	2	4	0	0		0
		21	12		-	6	0			0	1	7	18	18	2	9	13	10	14	2	5	0	1		0	0
57		21	13		-	5	0			0	0	3	11	21	0	5	7	12	17	7	12	1	3	0	0	0
56		21	14		-	4	0				0	1	5	19	0	2	2	9	11	13	18	6	11	1	3	0	0	0
55		20	14		-	5	0					0	2	14		0	0	3	3	12	14	14	20	5	10	3	0	0	0
		21	15		-	3	0					0	2	16	0	0	0	5	4	13	15	13	18	4	8	2	0	0
		19	13		-	7	0					0	2	13		0	0	3	3	11	12	13	20	6	12	4	1	0
54		20	15		-	4	0					0	1	10		0	0	1	1	6	5	15	16	13	18	10	3	1	0	0
		19	14		-	6	0					0	0	8		0		0	0	3	3	12	15	14	21	14	5	2	0	0	0
53		19	15		-	5	0						0	5				0	0	1	0	6	5	16	17	21	16	8	3	1	0	0
		20	16		-	3	0						0	6		0		0	0	2	1	8	7	17	18	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
		18	14		-	7	0						0	5				0	0	1	0	6	5	14	16	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
52		19	16		-	4	0						0	3				0		0	0	2	1	9	7	16	23	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
		18	15		-	6	0						0	3				0		0	0	2	1	8	6	16	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0
51		18	16		-	5	0						0	1						0		0	0	2	1	4	11	18	23	21	12	6	2	0	0	0
		19	17		-	3	0						0	2						0		0	0	3	2	6	15	21	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
50		18	17		-	4	0							1								0	0	1	0	1	4	10	17	23	21	15	7	2	0	0	0
		17	16		-	6	0							0								0		0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
49		17	17		-	5	0							0								0		0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
48		17	18		-	4	0							0										0		0	0	0	1	3	9	18	25	23	14	5	1	0
47		16	18		-	5	0							0														0	0	1	3	8	17	26	25	15	5	1
46		16	19		-	4	0																						0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3
45		15	19		-	5	0																							0	0	0	3	9	22	31	25	8
44		15	20		-	4	0																								0	0	1	4	13	30	35	17
43		14	20		-	5	0																									0	0	1	6	23	40	30
42		14	21		-	4	0																										0	0	2	14	39	45
41		13	21		-	5	0																											0	1	7	33	59
40		13	22		-	4	0																												0	4	26	70
39		12	22		-	5	0																													2	17	81
38		12	23		-	4	0																													1	13	86
37		11	23		-	5	0																													0	8	92
36		11	24		-	4	0																													0	4	96
35		10	24		-	5	0																														4	96
34		10	25		-	4	0																														2	98
10	-33																																					100

Total:									2	2	4	4	6	7	2	2	3	2	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3