How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 5 Florida 6 +6.4
+1.2
+0.6
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)-0.5
-0.1
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 +0.3
+0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)*-0.2
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5 +0.2
+0.1
NY Islanders 0 Pittsburgh 5 +0.2
Tampa Bay 5 NY Rangers 3 +0.2
Toronto 4 Boston 2 *+0.1
Ottawa 5 Buffalo 2 +0.1
Washington 3 Toronto 2 (so)*-0.1
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2 -0.1
Pittsburgh 6 New Jersey 1 *+0.1
NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 4 *+0.1
Toronto 7 Carolina 5 *+0.1
+0.1
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.2
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0 +0.1
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3 +0.1
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 -0.1
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 +0.1
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Winnipeg vs Florida-5.0-0.4-0.4+4.3+5.0+5.2
-1.6-0.2-0.3+1.4+1.7+1.7
-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.6+0.6
Philadelphia vs Florida-5.1-0.5-0.3+4.0+4.6+5.0
-1.6-0.3-0.2+1.3+1.6+1.6
-0.6-0.1-0.0+0.4+0.5+0.5
Montreal vs Boston+0.2*-0.2*-0.1-0.5*-0.3*-0.0
-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders+0.2*-0.2*+0.0*-0.2-0.3-0.2
Buffalo vs Montreal-0.1*-0.2-0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.3
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Ottawa vs Carolina+0.2*-0.0*-0.1-0.4*-0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Winnipeg vs Toronto-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.4+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.4*+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3
Pittsburgh vs Washington-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Los Angeles-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
78-92In99.8%100804*
77316-30In99.31000592*
76306-40In98.310001,145*
75307-30In97.49912,003*
74297-40In94.39913,553*
73298-30In92.198205,933*
72288-40In87.4973009,436*
71289-30In81.09550014,623*
70279-40In71.49190121,568*
69269-50In61.286120131,305*
682610-40In48.6791812043,328*
672510-50In34.9702523057,503*
662511-40In22.5583335075,524*
652411-50In12.44640680094,386*
642412-40In5.33345111110115,025*
632312-50In1.821451715200136,041*
622313-40In0.511402518500155,964*
612213-50In0.15313221102086,403*
2314-30In0.153232211010086,174*
602214-40In0.022236201640071,606
2113-60100.0%0.02203620175000115,194*
592114-50100.0No0113715231120073,410
2215-30100.0No01237152211200123,014*
582115-4099.9No05331024207100102,732*
2014-6099.9No053410241961096,403*
572015-5099.5No022741927164000196,559*
562016-4096.8No1201102627133000188,879*
551916-5087.0No0120316302611200101,037*
2017-3089.7No0140418302392074,769*
541917-4069.0No080172232228100159,009*
531817-5042.8No0400210263219510140,559*
521818-4019.9No200314303115400120,593*
511718-506.9No1001519332812200100,209*
501719-401.8No0001824342471081,079*
491619-500.3No0003133034174063,690*
481620-400.1No001519352910148,719*
471520-500.0No000210293720336,492*
461521-400.0No0004193831826,095*
451421-50OutNo011132411518,514*
441422-40OutNo00524452612,538*
431322-50OutNo021544388,550*
421323-40OutNo1939515,388*
411223-50OutNo0433633,268*
401224-40OutNo0225732,011*
391124-50OutNo120791,232*
381125-40OutNo01288645*
371126-30OutNo01089329*
361026-40OutNo991203*
351027-30OutNo694103*
12-34OutNo100321*
Total:77.5%5.1%1214177777665432212,914,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 5 Florida 6 -1.3
Toronto 7 Carolina 5 -0.2
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)+0.2
Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Winnipeg vs Florida+1.2+0.1+0.1-1.0-1.1-1.3
Philadelphia vs Florida+1.1+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.1-1.1
Ottawa vs Carolina-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.1
Winnipeg vs Toronto+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
79-92100
78315-40991
77316-309910
76306-409810
75307-309721
74297-409451
73298-3092620
72288-408710300
71289-3081145000
70279-40711990010
69269-506125120010
682610-4049301801200
672510-5035352412300
662511-40223629430500
652411-501233328607100
642412-40527311411092100
632312-5021925201611042000
622313-40010162522311850000
612213-50058242579128110000
602214-40023182313514124400000
592114-50011118192131210912000
582115-40005122219816146601000
572015-5000262104316131413340000
562016-40013170111071916111123000
551916-5001120042151019168920000
541917-40007001073191318161041000
531817-500040002110521161913620000
521818-40020000311381722181041000
511718-5001000105281623211462000
501719-400000102614222318931000
491619-50000001512212420114100
481620-40000001411202521125100
471520-500000131020262312410
461521-4000013102128231130
451421-5000141224292281
441422-400015152930173
431322-5000272134279
421323-4000313313717
411223-50016254127
401224-4003174139
391124-500193950
381125-40163063
371126-30052768
361026-4011880
351027-301783
34927-40991
33928-30496
31-32100
30729-403367
12040-00100
Total:577788343434343333322222111100