How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Colorado 6 Edmonton 9 +5.6
+0.3
+0.6
Edmonton 7 Vancouver 8 (ot)-2.4
-0.3
-0.3
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 -0.3
-0.0
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 +0.2
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 +0.2
Colorado 1 Dallas 0 +0.2
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)*-0.1
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0 *-0.1
Columbus 2 Detroit 5 *+0.1
Washington 4 Pittsburgh 0 +0.1
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Dallas+4.7+4.2+3.4-2.6-2.7-8.6
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.5
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.8
Phoenix vs Chicago*+0.1-0.3-0.6-0.4*-0.3+0.2
Minnesota vs Vancouver*+0.0-0.5*-0.3*-0.3*-0.2+0.2
St. Louis vs Detroit*-0.0*-0.3*-0.2*-0.2-0.4+0.2
Columbus vs Calgary*+0.1-0.4*-0.2*-0.3-0.5*+0.1
+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Montreal+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
76-87InYes100302*
75314-40In97.8%98292*
74315-30In97.4982189*
73305-40In91.2955374*
72306-30In88.79460753*
71296-40In84.992801,427*
70297-30In75.28613002,514*
69287-40In65.880180104,289*
68288-30In52.972261107,080*
67278-40In39.3623423011,280*
66279-30In26.0514144017,195*
65269-40In14.93847770025,248*
64259-50In6.826521291036,746*
632510-40In2.6165019133050,055*
622410-50In0.7843271661066,065*
612411-40In0.133234171220084,351*
602311-50In0.0121381618510105,685*
592312-40100.0%0.001138122312200126,077*
582212-5099.9No0534724218100147,278*
572213-4099.2No0227318271751000167,339*
562113-5095.9No020192427144000183,009*
552114-4088.1No01404172924102000111,751*
2013-6082.2No011021328281430082,531*
542014-5065.7No080162031249200201,083*
532015-4042.1No0400210263219610077,525
1914-6038.7No040292432217100123,411*
521915-5016.7No0200312283218500110,026*
2016-3021.1No20041530301540084,382*
511916-406.5No1001518322912200184,385*
501816-501.7No00018243524710168,794*
491817-400.3No00031331341630150,193*
481717-500.1No0001521372881129,784*
471718-400.0No0002113237162108,843*
461618-500.0No00005224127588,820*
451619-40OutNo0021338371070,536*
441519-50OutNo00731441854,822*
431520-40OutNo00322482740,438*
421420-50OutNo0114473729,908*
411421-40OutNo008424921,033*
401321-50OutNo05356014,169*
391322-40OutNo0228709,404*
381222-50OutNo0121776,047*
371223-40OutNo117823,794*
361123-50OutNo013872,240*
351124-40OutNo07931,309*
341024-50OutNo496779*
331025-40OutNo397438*
321026-30OutNo397201*
31926-40OutNo298120*
9-30OutNo100346*
Total:50.1%1.0%26123567899987532,914,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 6 Edmonton 9 -1.1
Edmonton 7 Vancouver 8 (ot)+0.5
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 +0.1
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 +0.0
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Dallas-0.9-0.8-0.7+0.5+0.5+1.6
Columbus vs Calgary-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Washington-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0
Phoenix vs Chicago-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Nashville vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
76-87100
75314-40982
74315-309712
73305-409145
72306-3089560
71296-40857800
70297-30751113000
69287-406615180010
68288-305319261110
67278-4039233222300
66279-30262538440400
65269-401523407706000
64259-50719391311081100
632510-403133119181112300
622410-5017202324311560100
612411-400310222771071112000
602311-5001417261271015350100
592312-40001102018391581112000
582212-500051321161113174701000
572213-40002721035131710152501000
562113-5000317011810151981314000
552114-4001120033121415206113000
542014-5000800106515171420103100
532015-4000400021981820201141000
1914-600040021871719211362000
521915-500020000321211212216831000
511916-40010001053112023191151000
501816-500000010391723221472000
491817-4000000271523241783100
481717-50000000251322251993100
471718-4000000151322262010300
461618-50000001513242720820
451619-40000151526281861
441519-5000017183028133
431520-40002102433236
421420-50001516333313
411421-40029264022
401321-50014204233
391322-4002133847
381222-500173359
371223-40042868
361123-5022177
351124-40001485
341024-500990
331025-400594
321026-30694
31926-40496
29-30100
28727-50595
9-27100
Total:113357123333434455444444433221