"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 -7.4
-1.0
-0.7
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 -7.0
-1.3
-0.7
Colorado 1 Dallas 0 +0.3
San Jose 4 Nashville 3 *+0.2
+0.0
Columbus 2 Detroit 5 *+0.1
*+0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 *+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)*+0.1
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Phoenix vs Chicago-7.4-1.6-1.5+4.9+5.8+6.2
-0.6-0.2-0.3+0.4+0.5+0.5
-0.7-0.2-0.1+0.5+0.6+0.6
Colorado vs Anaheim+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Columbus vs Calgary+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1*-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Detroit+0.0*-0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Edmonton vs Dallas+0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
73-86In99.5%100203*
72295-40In98.69911141*
71296-30In94.6982260*
70286-40In89.19451532*
69287-30In85.29351906*
68277-40In76.0889021,545*
67278-30In63.981140502,529*
66268-40In50.273201703,985*
65269-30In33.6612511206,109*
64259-40In20.24732318108,684*
632510-30In9.933356233012,441*
622410-40In3.5203782870016,998*
612310-50In0.810321332122022,348*
602311-40In0.142316312150028,173*
592211-50100.0%0.01141725291220034,790*
582212-4099.9No0715163223710041,274*
572112-5099.4No0211725321741047,801*
562113-4097.0No1721431291330021,113
2012-6096.1No1721329301440032,088*
552013-5084.9No04041732281230021,652
2114-3085.4No04051831261230036,449*
542014-4066.5No0201723332382035,370*
1913-6055.6No010041831281330025,384*
531914-5030.9No10172233251020023,382
2015-3037.9No0100210263321710019,857
1813-7028.9No10017213126112019,341*
521915-4011.2No00029243323810042,053*
2016-2013.2No00021125312181020,193*
511815-502.5No00021127332061022,218
1916-303.6No000031429311751019,032
1714-702.4No00021024332271018,756*
501816-400.4No0003143132173038,014*
1917-200.6No00014163030154018,092*
491716-500.1No001620342810150,343*
481717-400.0No0029273621444,943*
471617-50OutNo0041636341038,266*
461618-40OutNo01829422032,056*
451518-50OutNo00419443225,767*
441519-40OutNo00112414620,235*
431419-50OutNo006355915,629*
421420-40OutNo03277011,477*
411320-50OutNo0120798,213*
401321-40OutNo0013865,610*
391221-50OutNo09913,863*
381222-40OutNo6942,539*
371122-50OutNo04961,533*
361123-40OutNo0298982*
351023-50OutNo199571*
341024-40OutNo199320*
10-33OutNo100440*
Total:43.8%1.4%344567778888888904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 2 Chicago 0 +1.4
Calgary 4 Chicago 1 +1.4
Detroit 2 Calgary 5 -0.1
San Jose 4 Nashville 3 -0.1
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0 -0.0
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)*-0.0
Buffalo 5 Florida 6 *-0.0
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)-0.0
Phoenix 4 Dallas 2 *-0.0
Columbus 2 Detroit 5 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Phoenix vs Chicago+1.5+0.3+0.3-1.0-1.2-1.2
Columbus vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Detroit-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0
Edmonton vs Dallas-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*-0.0
Colorado vs Anaheim-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1-0.0
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay*-0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders-0.0+0.0*+0.1*-0.0*+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Anaheim-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.0-0.0
Buffalo vs Montreal+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Washington-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
74-86100
73305-30991
72295-409911
71296-309532
70286-4089551
69287-3085851
68277-4076129002
67278-3064171400500
66268-4050221911700
65269-30342724111200
64259-4020272843017110
632510-3010232876021230
622410-403162413802356000
612310-5019161611123912020
602311-400371613317141925000
592211-5001211115916236120200
582212-40016873131913203601000
572112-5000248169162391614010
562113-400126022121516236121300
2012-600115022111316237131300
552013-500030043141616226123000
2114-30014004414161521511300
542014-4000201065161715211241000
2115-20002001166161814201141000
531914-500100107616182216831000
2015-3000100011761718211583100
521915-4000000211081822191152000
1814-60000010751422221683100
511815-500000215121923191252000
1916-300000031513192219115100
501816-4000000139162223157310
1715-60000001381522221683100
491716-50000002512202419114100
481717-40000141019252213510
471617-50001381826251551
461618-4000028192826133
451518-500003102331258
441519-40001414293517
431419-500017234029
421420-40002144044
411320-500183358
401321-400042670
391221-50021880
381222-4011188
371122-501991
361123-400694
351023-50397
341024-40298
33924-50199
10-32100
Total:122222323343434344444444444444