Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.009 to 77.4%

13 points 6 1-1 0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2	+5.5		+1.7		+0.6
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3	+5.0		+2.2		+0.6
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)	-0.8				*-0.1
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)	-0.5
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0	*+0.1
Detroit 2 Calgary 5			+0.2
San Jose 2 Chicago 0			-0.2		-0.0
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5			+0.1
New Jersey 4 NY Rangers 2			-0.1
Ottawa 5 Buffalo 2			-0.1
San Jose 4 Nashville 3					-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Dallas vs Anaheim	-5.6-0.8-0.9+3.7+4.2+4.6		-3.0-0.8-0.6+2.2+2.4+2.5		-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.5
Colorado vs Anaheim	-5.5-1.0-1.0+4.0+4.4+4.5		-2.9-0.6-0.8+2.2+2.3+2.4		-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.5+0.5
Montreal vs Boston			-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.0+0.2
Phoenix vs Chicago					-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

78	-93								In		Yes		100															303	*
77		30	6		-	4	0		In		99.5	%	100			0												219	*
76		30	7		-	3	0		In		Yes		100															416	*
75		29	7		-	4	0		In		99.2		100	0		0												742	*
74		29	8		-	3	0		In		99.1		100	0		0												1,278	*
73		28	8		-	4	0		In		98.5		100	0		0												2,034	*
72		28	9		-	3	0		In		96.7		99	1		0												3,228	*
71		27	9		-	4	0		In		95.3		98	1		1												4,926	*
70		26	9		-	5	0		In		91.8		96	2		2												7,214	*
69		26	10		-	4	0		In		84.9		94	3	0	3												10,428	*
68		25	10		-	5	0		In		77.2		89	6	0	5	0											14,168	*
67		25	11		-	4	0		In		66.6		83	9	0	7	0											18,729	*
66		24	11		-	5	0		In		52.8		75	14	0	11	0											24,010	*
65		24	12		-	4	0		In		38.0		65	19	1	15	0	0										29,951	*
64		23	12		-	5	0		In		23.6		52	25	2	21	1	0										35,972	*
63		23	13		-	4	0		In		12.1		37	30	4	27	2	0										42,677	*
62		22	13		-	5	0		In		4.8		24	32	7	32	5	0	0									48,443	*
61		22	14		-	4	0		In		1.3		13	30	10	36	10	1	0									53,421	*
60		21	14		-	5	0		In		0.2		5	23	14	36	19	4	0	0								33,342	*
		22	15		-	3	0		In		0.3		6	24	13	36	17	3	0									23,968	*
59		21	15		-	4	0		In		0.0		2	16	15	32	26	8	1	0								22,411
		20	14		-	6	0		100.0	%	0.0		2	14	15	30	28	9	1	0	0							37,570	*
58		20	15		-	5	0		100.0		No		0	7	15	21	33	18	5	1	0							22,620
		21	16		-	3	0		100.0		0.0		0	8	15	21	33	19	5	1	0							38,534	*
57		20	16		-	4	0		99.7		No		0	3	12	10	29	29	13	3	0	0						29,722	*
		19	15		-	6	0		99.7		No		0	3	12	10	29	29	13	3	0							30,366	*
56		19	16		-	5	0		97.6		No			1	8	3	17	32	26	11	2	0	0					34,250	*
		20	17		-	3	0		98.3		No			1	9	4	20	32	24	9	2	0						23,768	*
55		19	17		-	4	0		89.7		No			0	4	1	7	22	33	23	9	2	0	0				26,338	*
		18	16		-	6	0		89.8		No			0	5	1	7	22	32	23	8	2	0					27,444	*
54		18	17		-	5	0		69.7		No			0	2	0	2	9	24	32	21	8	1	0	0			48,906	*
53		18	18		-	4	0		46.2		No			0	1	0	0	3	13	29	31	17	5	1	0			22,613	*
		17	17		-	6	0		34.2		No			0	1		0	1	9	23	33	23	9	1	0			20,613	*
52		17	18		-	5	0		15.8		No				0		0	0	3	12	27	31	19	6	1	0		36,927	*
51		17	19		-	4	0		4.0		No				0			0	0	3	14	29	31	17	4	0	0	30,752	*
50		16	19		-	5	0		0.8		No				0			0	0	1	5	18	31	30	13	3	0	25,110	*
49		16	20		-	4	0		0.1		No				0				0	0	1	7	22	34	26	9	1	19,715	*
48		15	20		-	5	0		Out		No										0	2	11	28	35	20	4	15,219	*
47		15	21		-	4	0		Out		No											0	4	18	37	31	10	11,248	*
46		14	21		-	5	0		Out		No											0	1	9	30	42	19	8,192	*
45		14	22		-	4	0		Out		No											0	0	4	20	43	32	5,733	*
44		13	22		-	5	0		Out		No													2	11	40	47	3,949	*
43		13	23		-	4	0		Out		No													0	6	33	60	2,603	*
42		12	23		-	5	0		Out		No													0	3	28	69	1,735	*
41		12	24		-	4	0		Out		No														2	19	79	1,060	*
40		11	24		-	5	0		Out		No														1	14	85	690	*
39		11	25		-	4	0		Out		No															6	94	372	*
38		10	25		-	5	0		Out		No														0	3	96	217	*
37		10	26		-	4	0		Out		No														1	7	92	130	*
13	-36								Out		No																100	224	*

Total:									77.4	%	10.2	%	17	10	6	14	10	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim 6 San Jose 3	-1.2
Anaheim 6 Los Angeles 2	-1.2
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 4 (ot)	+0.2
San Jose 2 Chicago 0	+0.1
Columbus 1 Los Angeles 2 (so)	+0.1
San Jose 4 Nashville 3	+0.1
Edmonton 7 Vancouver 8 (ot)	*+0.0
Colorado 1 Dallas 0	-0.0
St. Louis 2 Nashville 0	-0.0
Detroit 2 Calgary 5	-0.0
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 5	-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Dallas vs Anaheim	+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.9-1.0-1.1
Colorado vs Anaheim	+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.9-1.0-1.0
Phoenix vs Chicago	+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Los Angeles	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Vancouver	-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.1*+0.0
Montreal vs Boston	+0.0-0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0
St. Louis vs Detroit	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

78	-93								100
77		30	6		-	4	0		100						0
76		30	7		-	3	0		100
75		29	7		-	4	0		99	1	0				0
74		29	8		-	3	0		99	1	0				0
73		28	8		-	4	0		99	1	0				0
72		28	9		-	3	0		97	2	1				0
71		27	9		-	4	0		95	3	1				1
70		26	9		-	5	0		92	5	2				2
69		26	10		-	4	0		85	9	3		0		3
68		25	10		-	5	0		77	12	6	0	0		5	0	0
67		25	11		-	4	0		67	17	9	0	0		7	0	0
66		24	11		-	5	0		53	22	13	0	0	0	10	0	0
65		24	12		-	4	0		38	27	18	1	1		14	0	0		0
64		23	12		-	5	0		24	28	22	3	2	0	20	1	1		0
63		23	13		-	4	0		12	25	24	6	4	0	24	2	2	0	0
62		22	13		-	5	0		4	18	22	10	7	0	28	5	5	0	0		0
		23	14		-	3	0		5	21	22	10	6	0	27	4	5	0	0
61		22	14		-	4	0		2	12	16	14	9	1	27	9	9	0	1		0
		21	13		-	6	0		1	10	14	14	10	1	27	10	11	0	1	0	0
60		21	14		-	5	0		0	4	8	15	11	2	21	15	18	2	3	0	0		0
		22	15		-	3	0		0	6	8	16	11	2	22	14	16	1	3	0	0
59		21	15		-	4	0		0	2	3	12	11	5	13	18	22	5	8	0	1	0	0		0
58		20	15		-	5	0		0	0	1	7	8	7	5	16	21	12	17	2	5	0	1	0	0
57		20	16		-	4	0			0	0	3	4	8	1	9	12	17	22	8	12	1	3	0	0	0
		19	15		-	6	0			0	0	3	5	7	1	9	12	18	22	7	12	1	3	0	0
56		19	16		-	5	0				0	1	2	6	0	3	4	14	16	16	20	5	10	0	2	0	0
55		19	17		-	4	0					0	1	4	0	1	0	6	6	16	18	14	19	4	8	2	0	0	0
54		18	17		-	5	0					0	0	2		0	0	1	1	8	7	17	19	13	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
53		18	18		-	4	0					0	0	1		0		0	0	2	1	10	8	18	20	20	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
52		17	18		-	5	0							0				0		0	0	3	1	11	9	18	22	18	10	5	1	0	0	0
51		17	19		-	4	0							0						0	0	0	0	3	2	7	15	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
50		16	19		-	5	0							0						0		0		1	0	1	4	10	18	23	20	13	6	2	0	0
49		16	20		-	4	0							0								0		0		0	1	2	7	15	22	23	18	9	3	1	0
48		15	20		-	5	0																			0	0	0	1	5	11	20	25	21	11	4	1	0
47		15	21		-	4	0																				0	0	0	1	3	10	20	26	23	12	4	0
46		14	21		-	5	0																							0	1	3	10	20	28	24	11	2
45		14	22		-	4	0																							0	0	1	4	11	24	30	23	7
44		13	22		-	5	0																								0	0	1	4	15	30	34	16
43		13	23		-	4	0																										0	1	7	22	41	28
42		12	23		-	5	0																											0	3	16	40	41
41		12	24		-	4	0																												1	9	35	55
40		11	24		-	5	0																											0	0	5	27	68
39		11	25		-	4	0																													1	22	77
38		10	25		-	5	0																													1	9	90
37		10	26		-	4	0																													2	12	87
36		9	26		-	5	0																														1	99
35		9	27		-	4	0																														3	97
34		8	27		-	5	0																														5	95
13	-33																																					100

Total:									10	7	6	4	4	2	9	5	6	4	5	3	4	3	3	2	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1