Victoria Salmon Kings Playoff Chances

Beat Stockton 7-6 (so), make playoffs up 0.03 to 100%

64 points 30 33-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Stockton 6 Victoria 7 (so)	Yes
Idaho 2 Ontario 3	0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
None

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Chances based on how well the Victoria finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

74		5	0		-	0	Yes					2	35	63		333,929
73		4	0		-	1	Yes					0	20	79		491,528
72		4	1		-	0	Yes						6	94		1,168,463
		3	0		-	2	Yes						6	94		290,741
71		3	1		-	1	Yes						2	98		1,383,750
		2	0		-	3	Yes						2	98		86,037
64	-70						Yes							100		6,875,010	*

Total:							Yes					0	3	97		10,629,458

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stockton vs Victoria	-0.10.00.00.00.00.0
Idaho vs Ontario	0.00.00.00.00.00.1

* A starred outcome is not statistically different from zero (< 3σ), so it might actually have no effect.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish regular season at lottery seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19

74		5	0		-	0										2		35	0	63
73		4	0		-	1										0		20		79
72		4	1		-	0												6		94
		3	0		-	2												6		94
71		3	1		-	1												2		98
		2	0		-	3												2		98
64	-70																			100

Total:																0		3	0	97