San Francisco Bulls Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Beat Bakersfield 5-1, playoff odds up 17.9 to 65.8%

12 points 5 10-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bakersfield 1 San Francisco 5	+8.0		+0.1
Steelheads 4 Las Vegas 1	+1.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco vs Bakersfield	+5.8+3.0+3.0-3.9-3.8-8.3		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Brabham		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

122		55	0		-	0	In		Yes		100													422,637
103		44	8		-	3	In		50.0	%	50	25	25											4	*
102		44	9		-	2	In		No		100													2	*
101		42	8		-	5	In		55.6		67	22	11											9	*
100		42	9		-	4	In		55.6		61	17	22											18	*
99		41	9		-	5	In		30.9		45	25	29											55	*
98		40	9		-	6	In		22.3		45	28	26	2										94	*
97		40	10		-	5	In		16.3		39	25	33	2										221	*
96		39	10		-	6	In		9.6		31	32	33	3	0									479	*
95		39	11		-	5	In		9.1		32	30	32	6	0									949	*
94		38	11		-	6	In		4.6		26	35	31	7	0									1,938	*
93		37	11		-	7	In		2.3		20	37	33	10	1									3,842	*
92		37	12		-	6	In		1.2		14	36	37	12	1									7,500	*
91		36	12		-	7	In		0.4		8	36	39	15	2	0								14,556	*
90		36	13		-	6	In		0.1		5	33	39	20	3	0								27,433	*
89		35	13		-	7	In		0.0		2	28	38	26	5	0								49,954	*
88		35	14		-	6	In		0.0		1	23	34	34	9	0	0							90,797	*
87		34	14		-	7	In		No		0	17	28	39	14	1	0							160,072	*
86		34	15		-	6	In		No		0	12	21	43	21	3	0							277,290	*
85		33	15		-	7	In		No		0	8	14	42	30	5	0							470,716	*
84		33	16		-	6	In		No		0	5	9	38	38	9	0	0						779,707	*
83		32	16		-	7	In		No		0	3	5	31	45	16	0	0						1,265,100	*
82		32	17		-	6	In		No		0	2	3	24	48	24	1	0						2,012,823	*
81		31	17		-	7	In		No			1	1	16	47	33	2	0						3,119,661	*
80		31	18		-	6	In		No			0	1	10	43	43	3	0						4,738,634	*
79		30	18		-	7	In		No			0	0	6	37	51	6	0						7,042,143	*
78		30	19		-	6	In		No			0	0	3	29	58	10	0						10,239,425	*
77		29	19		-	7	100.0	%	No			0	0	2	21	62	15	0	0					14,567,430	*
76		29	20		-	6	100.0		No			0	0	1	15	63	21	1	0					20,267,801	*
75		28	20		-	7	100.0		No			0	0	0	10	60	28	1	0					27,603,125	*
74		27	20		-	8	100.0		No			0	0	0	6	56	36	2	0					36,784,091	*
73		27	21		-	7	100.0		No			0	0	0	3	49	43	4	0					47,959,775	*
72		26	21		-	8	100.0		No			0	0	0	2	42	50	6	0					61,253,517	*
71		26	22		-	7	99.9		No			0		0	1	34	55	10	0					76,511,274	*
70		25	22		-	8	99.8		No			0		0	0	27	58	14	0					93,589,766	*
69		25	23		-	7	99.6		No				0	0	0	20	59	20	0					112,056,948	*
68		24	23		-	8	99.1		No					0	0	14	58	27	1					131,349,851	*
67		24	24		-	7	98.1		No			0		0	0	10	54	34	2					150,703,916	*
66		23	24		-	8	96.7		No					0	0	6	49	41	3					169,257,455	*
65		23	25		-	7	94.4		No						0	4	42	48	6					186,107,168	*
64		22	25		-	8	91.1		No						0	2	35	54	9					200,328,704	*
63		22	26		-	7	86.7		No						0	1	28	58	13					211,028,013	*
62		22	27		-	6	81.1		No						0	1	21	59	19					217,663,913	*
61		21	27		-	7	74.5		No						0	0	15	59	25					219,675,327	*
60		21	28		-	6	67.0		No						0	0	11	56	33					217,005,767	*
59		20	28		-	7	59.0		No							0	7	52	41					209,777,941	*
58		20	29		-	6	50.7		No							0	4	46	49					198,381,056	*
57		19	29		-	7	42.6		No							0	3	40	57					183,601,167	*
56		19	30		-	6	34.9		No							0	2	33	65					166,222,503	*
55		18	30		-	7	27.9		No							0	1	27	72					147,167,744	*
54		18	31		-	6	21.8		No							0	0	21	78					127,452,734	*
53		17	31		-	7	16.6		No							0	0	16	83					107,886,228	*
52		17	32		-	6	12.3		No							0	0	12	88					89,316,894	*
51		16	32		-	7	8.9		No							0	0	9	91					72,236,808	*
50		16	33		-	6	6.2		No							0	0	6	94					57,090,878	*
49		15	33		-	7	4.3		No								0	4	96					44,073,012	*
48		15	34		-	6	2.8		No								0	3	97					33,229,231	*
47		14	34		-	7	1.8		No								0	2	98					24,445,082	*
46		14	35		-	6	1.2		No								0	1	99					17,562,064	*
45		13	35		-	7	0.7		No								0	1	99					12,305,275	*
44		13	36		-	6	0.4		No								0	0	100					8,410,639	*
43		12	36		-	7	0.2		No									0	100					5,600,501	*
42		12	37		-	6	0.1		No									0	100					3,633,148	*
41		12	38		-	5	0.1		No									0	100					2,298,354	*
40		11	38		-	6	0.0		No									0	100					1,414,166	*
39		11	39		-	5	0.0		No									0	100					843,973	*
38		10	39		-	6	0.0		No									0	100					492,055	*
37		10	40		-	5	0.0		No									0	100					277,759	*
36		9	40		-	6	0.0		No									0	100					152,353	*
35		9	41		-	5	0.0		No									0	100					80,759	*
34		8	41		-	6	0.0		No									0	100					41,817	*
33		8	42		-	5	0.0		No									0	100					20,961	*
32		7	42		-	6	0.0		No									0	100					10,061	*
12	-31						Out		No										100					430,965	*

Total:							65.8	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	1	7	22	36	34					3,738,896,028

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bakersfield 1 San Francisco 5	-0.5
Steelheads 4 Las Vegas 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Francisco vs Bakersfield	-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.6

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

122		55	0		-	0	100
103		44	8		-	3	50	50
102		44	9		-	2		100
101		42	8		-	5	56	33	11
100		42	9		-	4	56	28	6	11
99		41	9		-	5	31	42	20	7
98		40	9		-	6	22	32	35	10	1
97		40	10		-	5	16	34	33	12	4
96		39	10		-	6	10	33	34	16	6	1	0
95		39	11		-	5	9	25	33	21	10	2	0
94		38	11		-	6	5	19	34	26	12	4	0
93		37	11		-	7	2	13	28	30	18	7	2	0
92		37	12		-	6	1	7	20	31	25	12	4	1	0
91		36	12		-	7	0	3	14	27	29	19	7	2	0
90		36	13		-	6	0	1	7	19	29	25	14	4	1	0	0
89		35	13		-	7	0	0	3	11	24	29	20	9	2	0	0	0
88		35	14		-	6	0	0	1	5	15	27	27	17	6	1	0	0
87		34	14		-	7		0	0	2	8	19	28	24	13	4	1	0	0	0
86		34	15		-	6		0	0	0	3	11	22	28	22	10	3	0	0
85		33	15		-	7			0	0	1	5	14	25	27	19	8	2	0	0	0
84		33	16		-	6			0	0	0	1	6	17	27	26	16	5	1	0	0
83		32	16		-	7			0	0	0	0	2	9	20	28	24	12	4	0	0
82		32	17		-	6				0	0	0	1	3	11	23	29	22	9	2	0
81		31	17		-	7					0	0	0	1	5	15	27	29	18	5	0	0
80		31	18		-	6					0	0	0	0	2	7	19	30	29	13	1	0
79		30	18		-	7						0	0	0	0	3	10	25	35	24	2	0
78		30	19		-	6							0	0	0	1	4	16	36	38	6	0
77		29	19		-	7							0	0	0	0	2	8	30	49	11	0	0
76		29	20		-	6							0	0	0	0	0	4	21	56	18	0	0	0	0		0
75		28	20		-	7									0	0	0	1	13	58	26	1	0	0	0	0
74		27	20		-	8								0	0	0	0	0	8	55	35	2	0	0	0	0	0
73		27	21		-	7										0	0	0	4	49	43	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
72		26	21		-	8										0	0	0	2	42	50	6	0	0	0	0	0	0
71		26	22		-	7										0	0	0	1	34	55	10	0	0	0	0	0	0
70		25	22		-	8											0	0	0	27	58	14	0	0	0	0	0	0
69		25	23		-	7											0	0	0	20	59	20	0	0	0	0	0	0
68		24	23		-	8												0	0	14	58	27	0	0	0	0	0	0
67		24	24		-	7												0	0	10	54	34	0	0	0	1	1	0
66		23	24		-	8												0	0	6	49	41	0	0	0	1	1	0
65		23	25		-	7													0	4	42	48	0	0	0	2	3	1
64		22	25		-	8													0	2	35	54	0	0	0	2	4	2
63		22	26		-	7													0	1	28	58	0	0	0	2	7	4
62		22	27		-	6													0	1	21	59	0	0	0	3	9	7
61		21	27		-	7													0	0	15	59	0	0	0	2	11	12
60		21	28		-	6													0	0	11	56	0	0	0	2	13	18
59		20	28		-	7														0	7	52	0	0	0	2	14	25
58		20	29		-	6														0	4	46	0	0	0	1	15	33
57		19	29		-	7														0	3	40	0	0	0	1	14	42
56		19	30		-	6														0	2	33	0	0	0	1	13	51
55		18	30		-	7														0	1	27		0	0	0	11	60
54		18	31		-	6														0	0	21		0	0	0	10	68
53		17	31		-	7														0	0	16			0	0	8	76
52		17	32		-	6														0	0	12			0	0	6	82
51		16	32		-	7														0	0	9			0	0	5	86
50		16	33		-	6														0	0	6			0	0	3	90
49		15	33		-	7															0	4			0	0	2	93
48		15	34		-	6															0	3				0	2	95
47		14	34		-	7															0	2				0	1	97
46		14	35		-	6															0	1				0	1	98
45		13	35		-	7															0	1				0	1	99
44		13	36		-	6															0	0				0	0	99
43		12	36		-	7																0				0	0	99
42		12	37		-	6																0				0	0	100
41		12	38		-	5																0				0	0	100
40		11	38		-	6																0					0	100
39		11	39		-	5																0					0	100
38		10	39		-	6																0					0	100
37		10	40		-	5																0					0	100
36		9	40		-	6																0					0	100
35		9	41		-	5																0					0	100
34		8	41		-	6																0					0	100
33		8	42		-	5																0					0	100
32		7	42		-	6																0					0	100
31		7	43		-	5																					0	100
30		7	44		-	4																					0	100
29		6	44		-	5																					0	100
12	-28																											100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	22	36	0	0	0	1	7	26