Kalamazoo Wings Playoff Chances

Lost to Trenton 2-3 (so), average seed up 0.007 to 3

80 points 36 23-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Average seed
Trenton 3 Kalamazoo 2 (so)	0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway

Saturday	100.0*	Average seed
None

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Chances based on how well the Kalamazoo finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Count

90		5	0		-	0	Yes	0	16	84									613,869
89		4	0		-	1	Yes	0	6	94									708,483
88		4	1		-	0	Yes		2	98									1,683,348
		3	0		-	2	Yes		2	98									320,133
87		3	1		-	1	Yes		0	100									1,525,684
		2	0		-	3	Yes		0	100									71,333
86		3	2		-	0	Yes		0	100									1,811,880
		2	1		-	2	Yes		0	100									507,362
		1	0		-	4	Yes		0	100									7,711
83	-85						Yes			100									2,929,267	*
82		1	4		-	0	Yes			93	4	3	0						246,552
		0	3		-	2	Yes			92	3	4	1						43,651
81		0	4		-	1	Yes			84	1	6	8	0					51,825
80		0	5		-	0	Yes			60	0	8	26	6					26,161

Total:							Yes	0	2	98	0	0	0	0					10,547,259

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Trenton 3 Kalamazoo 2 (so)	-0.1
Stockton 6 Victoria 7 (so)	0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Elmira vs Kalamazoo	-0.20.00.00.20.20.2
Stockton vs Victoria	0.00.00.00.00.00.1

* A starred outcome is not statistically different from zero (< 3σ), so it might actually have no effect.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish regular season at lottery seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19

90	5	0		-	0	0	0	14	2	84
89	4	0		-	1		0	4	1	94
88	4	1		-	0			1	1	96	2
	3	0		-	2			1	1	96	2
87	3	1		-	1			0	0	92	8
	2	0		-	3			0	0	92	8
86	3	2		-	0			0	0	74	26
	2	1		-	2			0	0	74	26
	1	0		-	4			0	0	73	27
85	2	2		-	1					45	55
	1	1		-	3					45	55
	0	0		-	5					33	67
84	2	3		-	0					17	83
	1	2		-	2					17	83
	0	1		-	4					17	83
83	1	3		-	1					4	96
	0	2		-	3					4	96
82	1	4		-	0					0	92	2	3	3		0
	0	3		-	2					0	92	1	2	4		1
81	0	4		-	1						84	0	1	6	0	8		0
80	0	5		-	0						60	0	0	8	0	26		6

Total:						0	0	1	0	67	30	0	0	0	0	0		0